penbeast0 wrote:trex_8063 wrote:I only saw the first reply, but I'm guessing most are following suit.
And I'd have to agree: it's Kawhi, and not overly close, imo. I was never as sold on Moncrief's defense as his reputation/accolades would suggest. I don't think he peaked as high on that end as Kawhi (though he may well have been more consistent on defense during their respective primes).
But Kawhi is a SO MUCH better offensive player [really not close at all, imo], that that seals the deal for me. It's not like Moncrief's longevity is really any better, either.
EDIT: Era considerations then hedge things slightly further in Kawhi's favour [for me]; consequently I have Moncrief at least 50 places behind him on my ATL.
Not sure what Kawhi did a lot better offensively relative to era. Looking at TS Add, our best era relative measure of scoring ability, Kawhi has 4 seasons in his career over 100 TS Add. Moncreif has 5. But then you look at the numbers and Sid has the best (201), Kawhi the 2nd and 3rd best, Sid the 4th, 5th, and 6th best seasons.
Sid was the better ballhandler and offensive rebounder (though some of that is era), Kawhi more shooting range (though probably not as much when adjusted for era), I'm not seeing Kawhi being "SO MUCH better" offensively. I think Kawhi's only real case is playoff performance.
Semantically, I may have overstated the gap a little, thinking the gap in shooting efficiency was bigger than it actually is. That said......
Regarding TS Add, there are a couple things you're not considering [which I believe you should]:
1)
It's a cumulative stat. In the 100+ seasons for Moncrief, the fewest games he played in any of those seasons was 73. In Kawhi's 100+ years, he played as many as 74 just ONCE, and otherwise played 72 or fewer. Not that I want to reward him for his lack of durability, but it should also be noted that in some instances the fewer games is not entirely his body's fault: he's got THREE seasons in his career that were shortened (by 16 games in '12, due to player strike; by 10 games in each of '20 and '21 as result of Covid); Moncrief doesn't have ANY such seasons in his career.
Kawhi trails Sidney by fewer than 70 TS Add, despite having played 139 fewer games (fwiw, if we pro-rate Kawhi's figures for the number of games the season was shortened in '12, '20, and '21, he closes the gap in career TS Add by nearly half).
Anyway, Kawhi's TS Add/game is +1.5874, vs +1.3897 for Moncrief......which, a gap of +0.2
per game is not at all insignificant in a stat for which we view +100 for an
entire season to be really really good.
2) I believe one also needs to look at scoring volume.
Someone scoring a severely anemic 12 pts/100 possessions at +0.3% rTS will end up with a marginally higher TS Add than a 1st-option scorer averaging 35 pts/100 poss at +0.1% rTS (assuming the same playing time). But I'd be reluctant to call them similar-tiered scorers.
For real/concrete example of what I'm talking about: Ben Wallace had a TS Add of +14.1 in '99.......that's better than all but TWO seasons of Allen Iverson's career. So was he a better scorer that year than those other 11 Iverson seasons?
Now, that's a deliberately hyperbolic example to illustrate the point; obviously the gap in volume between Moncrief and Kawhi is smaller........but it
is there.
Moncrief averaged 24.7 pts/100 for his career (vs. 31.2 for Kawhi). Sid doesn't have a single season that matches Kawhi's career average, and only ONE year where he's even within 3 pts of Kawhi's career mark.
So when I'm seeing a TS Add comparison that looks close----
NOTE: You arbitrarily used the +100 cut-off and noted Sid has 4 of the top six [5 of the top seven, actually] seasons between them in TS Add. But if, for example, I chose 40+ as the cut-off [or 50+ if using Kawhi's pro-rated figures], Kawhi has 10 of the top 17 seasons between them (and 7 of the top 12 if using the pro-rated figures [he'd have 8 of the top 14 even without])---I want to take notice of relevant gaps in scoring volume.
So I don't think the scoring comparison favours Sid in the way you're saying.
To be fair, Sid does do a little more assisting than Kawhi in the rs (5.8/100 possessions, vs 4.7 for Kawhi). Though Kawhi rebounds a lot more, fwiw (not on the offensive glass, though I think that's largely a product of era: league avg OREB% in '85 [middle of Sid's career] was 32.9%; in '17 [middle of Kawhi's career] was 23.3%).
However, then I'd also look at turnover economy. And that is not at all close.
Kawhi's career rs Modified TOV% is 6.47%. To put that in perspective, Jordan's career mTOV% was 6.54%. Kawhi is in a GOAT-tier among wings.
Moncrief's was 8.48%.
And then you sort of hit the nail on the head with mention of playoffs. If it is fair to say the offensive comparison gets blown wide open,
this is where it happens.....
In the playoffs, per 100 possessions, Moncrief suffers the following changes: -1.7 pts (-1.8% TS), -0.9 ast, and +0.3 tov (also -0.2 reb). mTOV% of 9.83% (that's just about Pete Maravich territory).
Kawhi, per 100 possession, sees the following changes in the playoffs: -0.3 pts (but +1.9% TS), -0.5 ast, +0.1 tov (+1.1 reb, fwiw). mTOV% of 7.23%.
So whereas Sidney sees small to moderate declines straight across the board (everything), Kawhi sees signficantly smaller ticks downward in pts, ast, and turnover economy, while seeing significant INCREASES in shooting efficiency and rebounding.
SUMMARY:
I view Kawhi as the slightly lesser playmaker, though the slight
better scorer (strictly in terms of volume and shooting efficiency), and with FAR better turnover economy. He's the better rebounder, too.
And that's in the rs.
In the playoffs, I view him as the
substantially better scorer (in terms of volume and efficiency--->neither of these things at all close in the playoffs), the much better rebounder, only slightly lesser passer/playmaker, and even further ahead in turnover economy.