RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Paul George)

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RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Paul George) 

Post#1 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Feb 10, 2024 5:12 pm

Our system is now as follows:

1. We have a pool of Nominees you are to choose from for your Induction (main) vote to decide who next gets on the List. Choose your top vote, and if you'd like to, a second vote which will be used for runoff purposes if needed.

2. Nomination vote now works the same way.

3. You must include reasoning for each of your votes, though you may re-use your old words in a new post.

4. Post as much as they want, but when you do your official Vote make it really clear to me at the top of that post that that post is your Vote. And if you decide to change your vote before the votes are tallied, please edit that same Vote post.

5. Anyone may post thoughts, but please only make a Vote post if you're on the Voter list. If you'd like to be added to the project, please ask in the General Thread for the project. Note that you will not be added immediately to the project now. If you express an interest during the #2 thread, for example, the earliest you'll be added to the Voter list is for the #3.

5. I'll tally the votes when I wake up the morning after the Deadline (I don't care if you change things after the official Deadline, but once I tally, it's over). For this specific Vote, if people ask before the Deadline, I'll extend it.

Here's the list of the Voter Pool as it stands right now (and if I forgot anyone I approved, do let me know):

Spoiler:
AEnigma
Ambrose
ceilng raiser
ceoofkobefans
Clyde Frazier
Colbinii
cupcakesnake
Doctor MJ
Dooley
DQuinn1575
Dr Positivity
DraymondGold
Dutchball97
f4p
falcolombardi
Fundamentals21
Gibson22
HeartBreakKid
homecourtloss
iggymcfrack
LA Bird
JimmyFromNz
Joao Saraiva
lessthanjake
Lou Fan
Moonbeam
Narigo
OhayoKD
OldSchoolNoBull
penbeast0
Rishkar
rk2023
Samurai
ShaqAttac
Taj FTW
Tim Lehrbach
trelos6
trex_8063
ty 4191
WintaSoldier1
ZeppelinPage


Alright, the Nominees for you to choose among for the next slot on the list (in alphabetical order):

Paul George
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Cliff Hagan
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Bobby Jones
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Damian Lillard
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Rasheed Wallace
Image

As requested, here's the current list so far along with the historical spreadsheet of previous projects:

Current List
Historical Spreadsheet
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#2 » by falcolombardi » Sat Feb 10, 2024 5:42 pm

I vote for paul george here

I am unfamiliar with cliff hagan

bobby jones seems to be a fairly similar profile in most aspects to george as a defensive star big wing with great impact, but in less minutes and whike shouldering less offense share and defensive attention

I like rasheed a lot as a bit of a poor man garnett but he never seemee to step up offensively for how high his skill was

and lillard is a one man offense (with some playoffs stinkers) but a big issue on the other end and even as a first option i cannot say his team results are any better than george who is a seamless fit on any team

I think i would be fine with rasheed or lillard but this id paul george for me

Paul george as pick
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#3 » by LA Bird » Sat Feb 10, 2024 5:48 pm

Vote 1: Paul George
Vote 2: Bobby Jones
Nom 1: Rudy Gobert
Nom 2: Larry Nance


Edit: Switched to Gobert for nominations because neither of my guys are getting votes

Copy pasting my previous posts:

Arguments for George over Jones
Spoiler:
• Higher career minutes already and George can level up to 40+ min in the playoffs while Jones is still stuck at under 30 min
• Both have top notch non-box impact metrics but George likely faced relatively tougher competition as a starter
• Jones crushes George in defensive accolades but considering the latest DRAPM has George around 3rd in the league over the last decade behind only Draymond and Gobert, the gap is probably not that big. Both very versatile defenders with similar size though Jones has the clear edge as a shot blocker.
• Scoring is not close at all. Jones peaked at 15ppg while George's career average is above 20. In particular, 2019 George is low key one of most underrated peaks and he was 2nd behind only Harden for the scoring title.
• George's passing and handles aren't as good as the top wings he's usually grouped with but against a traditional 4, he wins this comparison handily even though Jones is a good passer too.

Feels like the offensive gap between the two is comfortably bigger than the defensive gap... thoughts?

Arguments for Nance and comparison with McHale (voted in at 48)
Spoiler:
For example, these are the career stats of McHale vs Nance, another PF from the same era who is usually ranked far below him.

McHale: 30118 MP, 17.9 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 1.7 APG, 0.4 SPG, 1.7 BPG, 60.5% TS, 20.0 PER, 113.0 WS, 34.3 VORP
Nance: 30697 MP, 17.1 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.6 APG, 0.9 SPG, 2.2 BPG, 58.6% TS, 19.9 PER, 109.6 WS, 43.5 VORP

McHale is clearly a better scorer (especially in playoffs) but Nance is ahead, at least statistically, in all other areas. Hell, Nance's peak scoring average (22.5 ppg on 60.7% TS) is actually almost identical to McHale's in his one season without Bird (22.5 ppg on 60.8% TS) and one could argue Nance's style of scoring is more era portable and easier to build around. If we dig into non-box impact metrics, Nance is ahead in ElGee's prime WOWYR (+5.1 vs +3.6), career WOWYR (+5.6 vs +2.6), and generally looks better in Moonbeam's RWOWY graph too. As a counterpoint, McHale was among top of the league in the limited 1988 RAPM data from squared2020 (even above Bird) but the problem with that is we saw how the Celtics dropped off the following season without Bird. All in all, I think the gap between McHale and Nance is not that big and considering one is usually ranked in the 40s and the other in the 80s in all time lists, the question then becomes whether McHale is moving down, Nance is moving up, or a bit of both. Personally, I don't feel comfortable going super high for Nance yet which means I can't really justify putting McHale in my top 50 while staying consistent.

Arguments for DJ and other similar defense-first point guards
Spoiler:
Not saying they should all be making top 100 but I want to give a shout out to a particular player archetype that seems to be underrated in general. There has been an all time level defensive point guard with inefficient scoring about every decade since the 80s (DJ/Mookie/Kidd/Jrue) and their impact seem to be much better than their mediocre box score composites would suggest every time. Kidd's impact is well known but Jrue and Mookie are regularly among league leaders in RAPM too. Jrue outperformed Davis/Giannis in on/off in 7 out of 9 seasons when they were teammates and Mookie is the only player besides Curry with six consecutive 10+ on/off seasons (he potentially has a longer streak because we don't have data in previous seasons).

Dennis Johnson is the only player here we don't have complete on/off numbers for. There are some mixed signals - squared2020's limited RAPM data later in his career has DJ only above average in 85 and average in 88 but he looks pretty impressive in Moonbeam's RWOWY (~95 percentile through most of 80s), and ElGee's WOWY variants (above Kidd in 4 out of 5 metrics). DJ played for three different franchises in his career and was on elite defensive teams everywhere he went (-3.7 average relative defense for a decade with the weakest being a -1.5). You could argue he was lucky to play in a period without GOAT level defensive bigs but DJ is the only point guard in history with actual arguments for DPOY and he did it several seasons. This is still one of the most underrated defensive performances ever in a Finals game:



Even if you take a more traditional approach and just look at accolades, 3 titles as a key starter including a FMVP, 1x All NBA 1st, 1x All NBA 2nd, 5x All Star, 9x All Defense is still strong for a back end top 100 candidate. For example, Tony Parker has been inducted around 75 the last 3 projects with a comparable resume.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#4 » by trelos6 » Sat Feb 10, 2024 8:03 pm

Vote: Rasheed Wallace

Amazing ceiling raiser. I recently heard, teams play is often based off the limitations of their 4. Can they spread the floor? Can they facilitate? Can they play high level D? I think Sheed lets you play any way you like. Quite versatile, not many weaknesses, and played hard.

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Alt: Paul George

Looking at the new RAPM that’s dropped, PG was +3.4 on offense and -4.6 on D. That’s a +8 overall, in the same tier as KG, Curry and Duncan. I think defensively, he’s one of the top 5 or so players in the last 15-20 years. Super versatile player, I think he’d fit on any team with his shooting, ball handling and great D.

nom: Rudy Gobert

One of the best defensive players in the last 20 years, and he wasn’t a 0 on offense. Great screener.


alt nom: Larry nance

Very good player for 10 or so seasons.

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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#5 » by penbeast0 » Sat Feb 10, 2024 8:09 pm

Vote: Bobby Jones. More than a decade of straight 1st team All-Defense votes combined with high efficiency, though not high volume scoring, and good playmaking. Not a great rebounder for his position but could play 2-5 at either end. Probably the greatest glue guy in NBA history and in his time where he was the best player on his team (75 and 76 for example), his team was the best in the league both years though they came up short in the playoffs. The most 1st team All-Defense awards, best player on two Nugget teams that had the best record in the NBA (though both came up short in the playoffs), great efficiency without being just an inside scorer, excellent passer, decent offensive rebounder, defensively good at blocking out rather than getting the board, good shot blocker for a forward, good steals, could play up to the 5 or down to the 2, limited minutes because of a physical condition but probably the greatest glue guy in the history of the NBA.

Stronger defensive impact than any of the nominated players, most efficient scorer along with Billups, one of the better playmakers for his position above everyone here except maybe Billups, he was the best player on the 75 Nuggets who had the best record in the league and made a big impact everywhere he went. The only real issue is his limited minutes and I think his impact is strong enough to overcome that.

Alt vote: Damon Lillard. Lillard moves the needle offensively (again now in Milwaukee) but moves it back a bit with his defense; history of playoff problems has me a bit behind the guys I've been championing to nominate.


I just don't see either Vince or Tmac as that impactful to winning. Big stats guys and I loved VInce being one of the rare nerds to play in the NBA at his time but someone has to convince me they have great impact on top end winning like Jones has. Tmac was such a strange duck, he was incredibly talented but his coaches have called him out for poor practice habits and he never seemed to mesh well with Yao. In Orlando when Grant Hill went down and in Houston whenever Yao would go down though, it seemed like he would slip into a nearby phone booth and play like Superman for a stretch. Really not sure what to make of him. Not sure on Paul George, he seems a reach this early. Hasn't played 57 games since 1919 and had some injury limitations even before that, never was really one of the league's best at anything but very versatile, hasn't got the winning resume either.

Nomination: Adrian Dantley Easily the greatest scorer left. Amazing combination of volume and efficiency.

One of only 5 players in NBA history to have a season over .400 TS Add, something neither LeBron James or Micheal Jordan ever accomplished! Of the top 11 guys in this stat, everyone else is in except for Alex Groza whose career was ended quickly over college point shaving scandals in the 50s. And it wasn't isolated, he was consistently among the league leaders in both scoring and efficiency for his whole career.

His history with coaches is mixed. Frank Layton in Utah ripped him publicly as a selfish player though he later tried to walk it back a few times. On the other hand, Chuck Daly praised his professionalism, work ethic, and even his defense. But basically he is a serious candidate as one of the greatest wing scorers to ever play and everyone close to him in volume and efficiency is in.

Code: Select all

TS ADD LEADERS (single season) -- thanks to Owly for posting this

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar 460.4
Steph Curry 454.7
Charles Barkley 433.5
Wilt Chamberlain 430.3
Adrian Dantley 404.8

Kevin Durant 394.9
Oscar Robertson 392.5
Jerry West 374.3
George Mikan 365.5
Karl Malone 362.8

+ Alex Groza '50. 377.4


Alternative nomination: Sam Jones the main scoring threat on the NBA's greatest dynasty and notable for his clutch scoring. After Jones, I see Rudy Gobert as more impactful than Damon Lillard and Jason Tatum as having coming up into view.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#6 » by Clyde Frazier » Sat Feb 10, 2024 8:12 pm

Life got in the way the last few weeks but will try to get back into voting soon. Has there been any discussion of McAdoo as a nominee? Played 13 years, back to back seasons of 300+ TS Add in '74 and '75 (his MVP season), won 2 titles with the lakers with a decent size role in '82.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/mcadobo01.html
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#7 » by penbeast0 » Sat Feb 10, 2024 8:41 pm

Compare to Amare with better defense but shorter prime. His first 4 years he looked like a top 50 NBA player. Great offensive big though he had trouble matching up to the true centers (and they to him). Then he didn't play full seasons again due to injuries and issues with his teams until coming back as a reserve in LA for 2 seasons. He became quite unpopular in both New York and Boston having trouble playing with Spencer Haywood then trouble playing for Dave Cowens.

If he has 8 good years instead of 4, I'm voting for him. Can't see him as better career value than Adrian Dantley or Rudy Gobert.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#8 » by Owly » Sat Feb 10, 2024 8:58 pm

penbeast0 wrote:Alt vote: Wes Unseld

Far from sold on this but he's a homer choice as the leader of the team I grew up with, the 60s/70s Bullets.

I just don't see either Vince or Tmac as that impactful to winning. Big stats guys and I loved VInce being one of the rare nerds to play in the NBA at his time but someone has to convince me they have great impact on top end winning like Jones has. Tmac was such a strange duck, he was incredibly talented but his coaches have called him out for poor practice habits and he never seemed to mesh well with Yao. In Orlando when Grant Hill went down and in Houston whenever Yao would go down though, it seemed like he would slip into a nearby phone booth and play like Superman for a stretch. Really not sure what to make of him. Not sure on Paul George, he seems a reach this early. Hasn't played 57 games since 1919 and had some injury limitations even before that, never was really one of the league's best at anything but very versatile, hasn't got the winning resume either. Lillard would be my choice here but his history of playoff problems has me a bit down on him; moves the needle offensively (again now in Milwaukee) but moves it back a bit with his defense.

I believe Unseld just got in.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#9 » by penbeast0 » Sat Feb 10, 2024 9:17 pm

oops, duh. okay, now I have a decision to make until someone I think is more deserving gets nominated.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#10 » by trelos6 » Sat Feb 10, 2024 9:46 pm

Clyde Frazier wrote:Life got in the way the last few weeks but will try to get back into voting soon. Has there been any discussion of McAdoo as a nominee? Played 13 years, back to back seasons of 300+ TS Add in '74 and '75 (his MVP season), won 2 titles with the lakers with a decent size role in '82.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/mcadobo01.html


I have Bob McAdoo around 90.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#11 » by trex_8063 » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:56 am

Induction vote: Damian Lillard
J.E.'s full career [playoff included] RAPM has him as tied [with Steph Curry] as the 2nd-best offensive RAPM of the last quarter century.
Tremendous shooting range (literally 2nd only to Steph Curry), has been able to score at volume at very nice shooting efficiency with reasonably solid playmaking and very good turnover economy for a number of years now.
He basically came into the league "NBA-ready", and was REALLY durable for his first nine seasons.
If looking at ANY of his rate metrics (impact metrics included), bear in mind he's averaged 36.3 mpg for his career.


Alternate vote: Paul George
AEnigma's convinced me to move this guy up a bit, but I'm bumping him in the emergence of Damian Lillard as a nominee.

Turnover economy leaves something to be desired (playmaking too, I guess)......but you have to like the combination of reasonably efficient volume scoring and elite wing defense that PG13 gives you. His longevity isn't great; though it's not terrible at this point either.

His impact profile is pretty strong: 6th in J.E.'s vanilla playoff-included '97-'24 RAPM (though admittedly in significantly fewer minutes than 3 of the 5 guys ahead of him, and roughly equal proportion of those immediately behind him).



Nomination: Bob Cousy
Alternate nomination: Allen Iverson

I may swap these two, pending prevailing winds. Not a fan of Iverson; hate how I often end up being his defender.

Cousy's a legend, prototype [to a degree], key piece of multiple contenders, has an impact profile that's better than many assume, particularly considering the ORtg/DRtg's on bbref may be skewed by assumed turnover rates which may not apply to the Celtics of circa-1960 [because they were jacking up shots so early in the shotclock]......which means their offense was possibly better [and defense worse] than indicated.
See circa-post #20 in the #71 thread for further arguments regarding the Houdini of the Hardwood.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#12 » by OldSchoolNoBull » Sun Feb 11, 2024 4:53 am

penbeast0 wrote:Compare to Amare with better defense but shorter prime. His first 4 years he looked like a top 50 NBA player. Great offensive big though he had trouble matching up to the true centers (and they to him). Then he didn't play full seasons again due to injuries and issues with his teams until coming back as a reserve in LA for 2 seasons. He became quite unpopular in both New York and Boston having trouble playing with Spencer Haywood then trouble playing for Dave Cowens.

If he has 8 good years instead of 4, I'm voting for him. Can't see him as better career value than Adrian Dantley or Rudy Gobert.


First *6 years. His rookie year he was playing fewer minutes, then every year from 74 to 78 he's putting up between 25.8ppg and 34.5ppg and 12.8rpg and 15.1rpg, while recording TS Adds of 346.7, 332.6, 169.4, 153.2, and 195.0. He didn't have much playoff success in those years but, to be fair, in 74, 75, and 76, he lost to an eventual Finalist all three times and the eventual champion twice(74/76 Celtics, 75 Bullets).

Then he has a four-year stint with the Lakers where he has a legit rotational role - dude was playing 18-21mpg, he wasn't just a garbage-minute guy or anything - on a team that goes to the Finals every year in that span and wins the title twice. I think we shouldn't undervalue his contributions to those Lakers teams, even though he wasn't what he had been. His case would be considerably harder to make without his time there.

He put up Shaq-like box numbers early in his career and than later was a significant rotation player on a perennial contender. I think he deserves a spot on the list. Maybe not quite yet, but at some point.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#13 » by Samurai » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:07 am

Vote for #72: Bobby Jones. Yes I have reservations about his lack of longevity and durability. But I'm pretty sure that I would take Jones and his reduced minutes over Draymond if I were drafting a team, so seeing Green get selected convinced me to consider him. Gotta admit that there is bias here since Jones is one of my favorite players of all time. Despite averaging less than 30 minutes/game during his NBA career, he still has ten All Defensive First Team awards and one Second Team selection (in his second to last season averaging only 20 minutes/game). He was nicknamed The Secretary of Defense for good reason. He didn't shoot much but he was highly efficient, leading the league in FG% three times and finishing in the top 20 in TS% nine times. But as good as he was at playing basketball, how he conducted himself may have been even more admirable. He was always a gentleman with honor; he didn't drink, smoke or use profanity, always raised his hand when called for a foul - even telling a ref who mistakenly called a foul on a teammate that he was the one who actually committed the foul, even though that was his fifth foul! When teammates tried to show him ways to "cheat" by grabbing an opponent's jersey or committing a foul when the ref wasn't looking, he adamantly refused to do so. He would reply "if I have to play defense by holding on, that's when I quit." Teammate Dr J described Jones as "a player who's totally selfless, who runs like a deer, jumps like a gazelle, plays with his head and heart each night, and then walks away from the court as if nothing happened." And former teammate Charles Barkley said "if everyone in the world was like Bobby Jones, the world wouldn't have any problems."

Alternate vote: Paul George. 8 time all star and 6-time All NBA team (one first team and five third team honors). Four-time All Defensive Team (two first team and two second team). Averaged over 20 ppg ten times.

Nomination: Sam Jones. Ten rings but some will take that with a grain of salt for being Russell's teammate. Three-time All NBA Second Team (cursed by playing guard at the same time that Oscar and West were in their primes) and had three top ten finishes in MVP voting. Seven top twenty finishes in both points/game and TS% indicates that he was not only a scoring threat but an efficient shooter as well. I don't have a good feel on how good he was on defense; he had 9 top twenty finishes in DWS but Russell was obviously the primary driver of the team's excellent defense and KC Jones typically drew the assignment of defending the opposing team's primary backcourt scorer. One of the greatest bank shot artists of all-time; he was banking in shots before Tim Duncan was even born.

Alternate nomination: Adrian Dantley. I acknowledge that the 6-time all star can be a polarizing player. But in his prime he was an elite scorer, leading the league twice and finished in the top ten in ppg 5 times. Preferred higher percentage shots closer to the rim rather than hoisting 30-footers, finishing in the top 15 in TS% for a dozen consecutive years. He was also a magnet at drawing fouls, finishing in the top ten in FT attempts 10 times, leading the league twice.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#14 » by OldSchoolNoBull » Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:37 am

penbeast0 wrote:Alternative nomination: Sam Jones the main scoring threat on the NBA's greatest dynasty and notable for his clutch scoring.


Samurai wrote:Nomination: Sam Jones. Ten rings but some will take that with a grain of salt for being Russell's teammate. Three-time All NBA Second Team (cursed by playing guard at the same time that Oscar and West were in their primes) and had three top ten finishes in MVP voting. Seven top twenty finishes in both points/game and TS% indicates that he was not only a scoring threat but an efficient shooter as well. I don't have a good feel on how good he was on defense; he had 9 top twenty finishes in DWS but Russell was obviously the primary driver of the team's excellent defense and KC Jones typically drew the assignment of defending the opposing team's primary backcourt scorer. One of the greatest bank shot artists of all-time; he was banking in shots before Tim Duncan was even born.


You two have been supporting Jones, and I feel that others will too as the project progresses. My question, as a Sharman champion, is what is the argument for Jones getting in and Sharman not?

I mean, first of all, I should correct penbeast's quote. It should read:

the main scoring threat on the second two-thirds of the NBA's greatest dynasty


He wasn't a starter until Sharman was gone, and while he played the same role - the main scoring threat - Sharman was simply better.

Sharman's career average TS Add is almost double Jones's - 101.8 vs 52.5.
Their WS/48 is very comparable - .182 vs .178 in favor of Jones in RS, and .174 vs .157 in favor of Sharman in PO.
Their longevity is very comparable - 12 seasons for Jones, 11 for Sharman

Also, it's worth looking at the Celtics' rel ORtgs w/Sharman vs after Sharman left and Jones became the starter:

1951: +2.2(the year before Sharman arrived in Boston)
1952: +3.5
1953: +3.7
1954: +5.0
1955: +3.2
1956: +1.9
1957: -0.4(Russell arrives)
1958: -0.8
1959: -0.7
1960: -0.1
1961: -3.4(Sharman's last season)
1962: -1.5
1963: -2.9(Cousy's last season)
1964: -4.5
1965: -2.7
1966: -2.6
1967: +1.4
1968: -1.1
1969: -1.7

There are exceptions, but the general pattern is that the team offense was better with Sharman than with Jones. Now, you can say that Russell's arrival changed the whole complexion of the team, but they were still hovering just a hair below league average for four years after his arrival, and only in Sharman's final season did the offense taken a significant fall(I guess he was in some kind of decline - he recorded the lowest TS Add of his time in Boston that season, played the fewest games of his time in Boston, and he also only played 25mpg). You can also say that Sharman's time aligns with Cousy's time and Cousy is the reason for those higher ORtgs, but look at Cousy's last two years(albeit he was old).

One more thing worth noting, since Jones's Top-10 MVP finishes were brought up - Sharman had two of those himself, and he came in 5th the year BEFORE Russell arrived, which imo is in some ways more impressive.

And not that I necessarily think these types of things should matter so much, but since it was mentioned that Jones was 3x All-Second team, Sharman was 4x All-First team and 3x All-Second team(I know, I know, the aforementioned Oscar/West point, but still). Sharman was also an 8x All-Star compared to Jones' 5x. Also, Sharman has an ASG MVP to his name.

It feels like Jones is getting rewarded primarily for playing with Russell longer and thus winning more rings.

I won't ramble anymore, and I'm really not arguing against Jones' inclusion - I think he's deserving, but I think Sharman is even more deserving, and I just don't see any argument for Jones getting in and Sharman NOT. Take both or leave both, but you can't split them up imo.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#15 » by 70sFan » Sun Feb 11, 2024 7:39 am

penbeast0 wrote:Compare to Amare with better defense but shorter prime. His first 4 years he looked like a top 50 NBA player. Great offensive big though he had trouble matching up to the true centers (and they to him). Then he didn't play full seasons again due to injuries and issues with his teams until coming back as a reserve in LA for 2 seasons. He became quite unpopular in both New York and Boston having trouble playing with Spencer Haywood then trouble playing for Dave Cowens.

If he has 8 good years instead of 4, I'm voting for him. Can't see him as better career value than Adrian Dantley or Rudy Gobert.

I think you are underrating Bob's time in NY a little bit. He had two full seasons there (1977 and 1978) and although they were not on 1974-76 Braves level, that's two more prime seasons there.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#16 » by 70sFan » Sun Feb 11, 2024 7:50 am

Jones vs Sharman is a valid comparison. I think Sam beats him in the most critical thing - postseason play. Neither had an amazing longevity, but Jones seems to be way more productive in the playoffs.

About Celtics offenses - I don't think it's a matter of Bill being more impactful. Pre-Russell Celtics were offensive minded and didn't play defense well. Early Russell Celtics were also more offensive minded, with a lot of offense-first guys around Russell (Cousy, Sharman, Ramsey, Heinsohn). Jones peaked in the mid-1960s when Boston became a heavily defensive minded team. If you take a look at 1964 Celtics for example, Jones was the only relevant Celtics player who could be called an above average scorer throughout the season. Later Havlicek started to expand his offensive game and they added Howell, but in that 1963-66 window the Celtics didn't have much offensive talent and Sam stepped up big time in the playoffs (averaging 25 ppg on 53 TS%). I don't think Sharman was nearly as critical for Celtics offense as Jones.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#17 » by OldSchoolNoBull » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:05 am

70sFan wrote:Jones vs Sharman is a valid comparison. I think Sam beats him in the most critical thing - postseason play. Neither had an amazing longevity, but Jones seems to be way more productive in the playoffs.


There is no discenrable difference in their career playoff statlines except that Sharman has a higher WS/48 and Jones played a few less mpg:

Sharman: 18.5ppg/3.7rpg/2.6apg, 50.2% TS, .174 WS/48 in 33mpg
Jones: 18.9ppg/4.7rpg/2.3apg, 50.1% TS, .157 WS/48 in 30.2mpg

About Celtics offenses - I don't think it's a matter of Bill being more impactful. Pre-Russell Celtics were offensive minded and didn't play defense well. Early Russell Celtics were also more offensive minded, with a lot of offense-first guys around Russell (Cousy, Sharman, Ramsey, Heinsohn). Jones peaked in the mid-1960s when Boston became a heavily defensive minded team. If you take a look at 1964 Celtics for example, Jones was the only relevant Celtics player who could be called an above average scorer throughout the season. Later Havlicek started to expand his offensive game and they added Howell, but in that 1963-66 window the Celtics didn't have much offensive talent and Sam stepped up big time in the playoffs (averaging 25 ppg on 53 TS%). I don't think Sharman was nearly as critical for Celtics offense as Jones.


I mean, he was either #1 or #2 in TS Add on the team every year from 1953 to 1961, and there was often(in the earlier years) a sizeable gap between #2 and #3 on the team. And he was #1 in TS Add on two championship teams.

1953: Macauley/253.1, Sharman/166.4, Bob Donham/42.7
1954: Macauley/287.9, Sharman/192.9, Cousy/63.3
1955: Macauley/158.4, Sharman/130.8, Cousy/77.2
1956: Sharman/142.1, Macauley/125.7, Jack Nichols/26.3
1957: Sharman/131.0, Ramsay/42.3
1958: Ramsay/141.9, Sharman/103.2, Russell/39.7
1959: Russell/83.5, Sharman/58.4, S.Jones/38.9
1960: Sharman/116.0, Russell/88.2
1961: S.Jones/56.8, Sharman/29.5, Ramsay/12.2

Sharman's league-rankings for TS Add:

1953: #3
1954: #3
1955: #5
1956: #5
1957: #8
1958: #14
1959: #15
1960: #8
1961: #24

So that's 8 top 20 finishes, and 6 top 10 finishes, and 4 top 5 finishes. He was the greatest scoring guard of his era(unless you consider Arizin a guard).

And there's also this - these are Sharman's WS/48 ranks within the team for the four championships he was a part of:

1957 - #1 RS, #1 PO
1959 - #4 RS, #2 PO
1960 - #2 RS, #4 PO
1961 - #3 RS, #1 PO

He led two championship teams in WS/48 in the playoffs, and was #2 on another.

Again, I'm not arguing against Jones, I just don't see how you can keep Sharman out if you're letting Jones in.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#18 » by Owly » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:15 am

70sFan wrote:Jones vs Sharman is a valid comparison. I think Sam beats him in the most critical thing - postseason play. Neither had an amazing longevity, but Jones seems to be way more productive in the playoffs.

What is your measure/measures of choice here? At first glance career Reference composites see them as similar with Jones having an edge in PER and Sharman having a larger one in WS/48. And Sharman has a more substantial lead in OWS/48, whilst Jones ... who played all his career with Bill Russell ... makes up some ground in DWS/48.

To me, at first glance, and being of the opinion that what would "rightly" be Russell's DWS were probably overshared with teammates, if forced to give a preference, I would lean towards Sharman as the better playoff production (no accounting for career length, notional competition etc which could change things).
70sFan wrote:with a lot of offense-first guys around Russell (Cousy, Sharman, Ramsey, Heinsohn).

I think if not wrong, "offense-first" as a tag for Sharman is misleading. I don't pretend to have a great read on individual Celtics' D, and I'm not necessarily as low as some on Cousy or Heinsohn. Still, among that group (and granting I don't read as much about Ramsey, because there's less available, so I could have a blindspot there) Sharman seems the only one fairly consistently praised and noted for defense whilst Cousy sometimes gets some shots on that end (I think it's him of whom it had been said that his D was calling for Russell). Now I'm not going to put big stock into one (perhaps jokey) anecdote. As I say, substantial uncertainty here but I'd feel a little awkward putting them in the same bucket. This obviously doesn't necessarily alter your main point in this section.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#19 » by 70sFan » Sun Feb 11, 2024 10:23 am

OldSchoolNoBull wrote:There is no discenrable difference in their career playoff statlines except that Sharman has a higher WS/48 and Jones played a few less mpg:

Sharman: 18.5ppg/3.7rpg/2.6apg, 50.2% TS, .174 WS/48 in 33mpg
Jones: 18.9ppg/4.7rpg/2.3apg, 50.1% TS, .157 WS/48 in 30.2mpg

Yes, but that is because Jones was a bench warmer in his first three years in the league and he basically didn't play in the playoffs, while Sharman was a big time contributor since the first time Celtics made the playoffs. If you exclude first three Jones years from comparison and limit Sharman sample to the best 9 years, the difference starts to become more visible:

1953-61 Sharman: 18.6ppg/3.7rpg/2.5apg, 50.1% TS, .173 WS/48 in 33.1mpg
1961-69 Jones: 21.8ppg/4.8rpg/2.6apg, 50.7% TS, .159 WS/48 in 34.3mpg

Then there is what I briefly touched in my previous post - Sharman never had comparable run to 1963-66 Jones as a clear best offensive player on his team. Depending on how you weigh such things, Jones was also a better finals performer.

I mean, he was either #1 or #2 in TS Add on the team every year from 1953 to 1961, and there was often(in the earlier years) a sizeable gap between #2 and #3 on the team. And he was #1 in TS Add on two championship teams.

1953: Macauley/253.1, Sharman/166.4, Bob Donham/42.7
1954: Macauley/287.9, Sharman/192.9, Cousy/63.3
1955: Macauley/158.4, Sharman/130.8, Cousy/77.2
1956: Sharman/142.1, Macauley/125.7, Jack Nichols/26.3
1957: Sharman/131.0, Ramsay/42.3
1958: Ramsay/141.9, Sharman/103.2, Russell/39.7
1959: Russell/83.5, Sharman/58.4, S.Jones/38.9
1960: Sharman/116.0, Russell/88.2
1961: S.Jones/56.8, Sharman/29.5, Ramsay/12.2

Sharman's league-rankings for TS Add:

1953: #3
1954: #3
1955: #5
1956: #5
1957: #8
1958: #14
1959: #15
1960: #8
1961: #24

So that's 8 top 20 finishes, and 6 top 10 finishes, and 4 top 5 finishes. He was the greatest scoring guard of his era(unless you consider Arizin a guard).
And there's also this - these are Sharman's WS/48 ranks within the team for the four championships he was a part of:

1957 - #1 RS, #1 PO
1959 - #4 RS, #2 PO
1960 - #2 RS, #4 PO
1961 - #3 RS, #1 PO

He led two championship teams in WS/48 in the playoffs, and was #2 on another.

Yeah, Sharman was great and he deserves to be inside top 100. I just meant that Jones played in a different setting and had a bigger offensive role than he did.


Again, I'm not arguing against Jones, I just don't see how you can keep Sharman out if you're letting Jones in.

I don't think you can, both should make the top 100 quite clearly in my opinion.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #72 (Deadline ~5am PST, 2/13/24) 

Post#20 » by 70sFan » Sun Feb 11, 2024 10:32 am

Owly wrote:What is your measure/measures of choice here? At first glance career Reference composites see them as similar with Jones having an edge in PER and Sharman having a larger one in WS/48. And Sharman has a more substantial lead in OWS/48, whilst Jones ... who played all his career with Bill Russell ... makes up some ground in DWS/48.

Yeah, I usually don't bother with WS at this point. I simply meant raw slashline box score production. Jones scored more (significantly more at their peaks) on comparable efficiency (relative to the league) and had more memorable postseason moments than Sharman, who was quite good himself of course.

To me, at first glance, and being of the opinion that what would "rightly" be Russell's DWS were probably overshared with teammates, if forced to give a preference, I would lean towards Sharman as the better playoff production (no accounting for career length, notional competition etc which could change things).

I think we should account for the fact that Jones was a bench warmer in his first 3 years (probably not because of him being bad?), while Sharman played almost his whole postseason career during his prime. I always struggle to understand how people can compare career averages of two players with completely different career trajectories.

I think if not wrong, "offense-first" as a tag for Sharman is misleading. I don't pretend to have a great read on individual Celtics' D, and I'm not necessarily as low as some on Cousy or Heinsohn. Still, among that group (and granting I don't read as much about Ramsey, because there's less available, so I could have a blindspot there) Sharman seems the only one fairly consistently praised and noted for defense whilst Cousy sometimes gets some shots on that end (I think it's him of whom it had been said that his D was calling for Russell). Now I'm not going to put big stock into one (perhaps jokey) anecdote. As I say, substantial uncertainty here but I'd feel a little awkward putting them in the same bucket. This obviously doesn't necessarily alter your main point in this section.

I used "offense first" as a descriptive term, not to create a feeling that these guys were bad on defense. I don't think any of these players were really "bad" defenders. Cousy has a mixed reputation, but it's unlikely he was bad during late 1950s years based on what I saw/read. Heinsohn is another one with mixed reputation, but he looks solid on the tape. Ramsey was a very scrappy defender, often guarding bigger guys in footage I have seen. He also liked to draw charges (to put it in positive light), so I think he also had a value. Sharman has the reputation, although I haven't seen anything good or bad in his defense on limited footage we have (which is inconclusive).

I called them that way because their main value came from offense. That's not the case with mid-60s Celtics, who run guys like KC Jones, Sanders, young Havlicek etc.

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