Trying to Rank the Best Playoff Teams in History
Posted: Sat Feb 24, 2024 10:54 pm
Sports is our Business
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https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=64&t=2360347
eminence wrote:What's the start year?
Seems like a perfectly reasonable list of best extended playoff runs. Obviously there's always individual situations to discuss on specific teams, but I think this is a good starting point of clear/reasonable data.
Rishkar wrote:It feels weird that there aren't more stretches of the Celtics dynasty and that the one set of years is so low. Were they really just winning a title by barely being the best team in the league every year?; this data seems to dispell the notion that they were a superteam brimming with HoF talent.
OldSchoolNoBull wrote:1. As a Bulls fan and MJ fan, I am happy to see the Bulls dynasty taking two of the top three spots.
2. I am surprised the 84-86 Celtics are all the way down at #18, and that the 80-82 Celtics are higher at #13. The former is Bird's peak and the 86 Celtics are so celebrated, so I would have thought 84-86 would be higher.
3. Maybe I shouldn't be, but I am a bit surprised the 12-14 Spurs rank higher than the 03-05 Spurs; the former probably is a deeper team, but the latter represents peak Duncan.
4. As mentioned by others, surprised not to see more of the 60s Celtics here.
5. The 15-17 Cavs being that high is probably a real testament to LeBron because, honestly, I never, ever thought of that Cavs core as being an ATG team on the level of Jordan's Bulls, Steph's Warriors, Showtime, Bird's Celtics, Russell's Celtics, the Bad Boys, Shaq/Kobe Lakers, Duncan's Spurs, etc. They never struck me as being on that level outside of LeBron. However, I have always thought the 2015 and 2016 Finals were the best LeBron ever played. I feel like all of those Cavs runs were LeBron carry jobs to varying degrees.
6. I'm glad the Heatles aren't in the Top 10.
7. An observation - Magic and Kareem are the only two star players to be on three different runs on the list - Magic on three Lakers runs, Kareem on two Lakers runs and the Bucks run.
eminence wrote:The obvious improvement for a 'best' list would be to factor in series win%/titles to some degree. As a Jazz fan I can tell you nobody seriously thinks of the '96-'98 Jazz a contender for top 10 playoff team ever. And rightfully so, rNet is nice for predictive purposes, but the goal is still to win titles.
eminence wrote:The obvious improvement for a 'best' list would be to factor in series win%/titles to some degree. As a Jazz fan I can tell you nobody seriously thinks of the '96-'98 Jazz a contender for top 10 playoff team ever. And rightfully so, rNet is nice for predictive purposes, but the goal is still to win titles.
homecourtloss wrote:eminence wrote:The obvious improvement for a 'best' list would be to factor in series win%/titles to some degree. As a Jazz fan I can tell you nobody seriously thinks of the '96-'98 Jazz a contender for top 10 playoff team ever. And rightfully so, rNet is nice for predictive purposes, but the goal is still to win titles.
This is probably a good idea, especially if we’re trying to find the “goodness” of an entire 3-year period that isn’t carried by one or two of the years. The ‘96-‘98 Jazz were very good, but as you say, nobody thought of them as a top 10 type of something though in some other time period perhaps they win a title. Everyone else on this list won at least one title.
1996-1998 Bulls: 3 titles
2016-2018 Warriors: 2 titles, one finals (game 7, last minute)
1991-1993 Bulls: 3 titles
2015-2017 Cavs: 1 title, 2 Finals
2012-2014 Spurs: 1 title, 1 Finals, one WCF
2000-2002 Lakers: 3 titles
1985-1987 Lakers: 2 titles, 1 WCF
1970-1972 Bucks: 1 title, 2 CF
1987-1989 Pistons: 1 title, 1 Finals, 1 ECF
1996-1998 Jazz: 2 Finals, 1 WCF
2008-2010 Lakers: 2 titles, 1 Finals
2011-2013 Heat: 2 titles, 1 Finals
1980-1982 Celtics: 1 title, 2 ECF Finals
2003-2005 Spurs: 2 titles, 1 WCSF
2004-2006 Pistons: 1 title, 1 Finals, 1 ECSF
1993-1995 Rockets: 2 titles, 1 WCSF
1959-1961 Celtics: 3 titles
1984-1986 Celtics: 2 titles, 1 Finals
1980-1982 Lakers: 2 titles, 1 first round
1989-1991 Lakers: 2 Finals, 1 WCSF
OldSchoolNoBull wrote:2. I am surprised the 84-86 Celtics are all the way down at #18, and that the 80-82 Celtics are higher at #13. The former is Bird's peak and the 86 Celtics are so celebrated, so I would have thought 84-86 would be higher.
3. Maybe I shouldn't be, but I am a bit surprised the 12-14 Spurs rank higher than the 03-05 Spurs; the former probably is a deeper team, but the latter represents peak Duncan.
OldSchoolNoBull wrote: 4. As mentioned by others, surprised not to see more of the 60s Celtics here.
OldSchoolNoBull wrote: 5. The 15-17 Cavs being that high is probably a real testament to LeBron because, honestly, I never, ever thought of that Cavs core as being an ATG team on the level of Jordan's Bulls, Steph's Warriors, Showtime, Bird's Celtics, Russell's Celtics, the Bad Boys, Shaq/Kobe Lakers, Duncan's Spurs, etc. They never struck me as being on that level outside of LeBron. However, I have always thought the 2015 and 2016 Finals were the best LeBron ever played. I feel like all of those Cavs runs were LeBron carry jobs to varying degrees.
With Lebron, the 2015 Cavs went 50-19(59-win). Without they went 3-10 going at a 19-win pace. With all three of Love, Kyrie, and Lebron, the Cavs were 42-5(73-win) improving from 4-11 with just kyrie and love 21-win(note that's a 3-year sample, not just 2015).
eminence wrote:The obvious improvement for a 'best' list would be to factor in series win%/titles to some degree. As a Jazz fan I can tell you nobody seriously thinks of the '96-'98 Jazz a contender for top 10 playoff team ever. And rightfully so, rNet is nice for predictive purposes, but the goal is still to win titles.
homecourtloss wrote:OldSchoolNoBull wrote:2. I am surprised the 84-86 Celtics are all the way down at #18, and that the 80-82 Celtics are higher at #13. The former is Bird's peak and the 86 Celtics are so celebrated, so I would have thought 84-86 would be higher.
3. Maybe I shouldn't be, but I am a bit surprised the 12-14 Spurs rank higher than the 03-05 Spurs; the former probably is a deeper team, but the latter represents peak Duncan.
It’s a calculation using rNRtg, so a few series can change things. The ‘85 Celtics played a series in which they won a series vs. the Cavs 3-1, but didn’t outscore the Cavs. The 1986 Celtics didn’t destroy a relatively weak NRtg finalist in the Rockets.
As for the Spurs, no surprise there as the 2003 team didn’t have a really dominant blowout series win and that obviously affects NRtg. It doesn’t help that you had the 2005 Spurs get outscored by the Pistons in the Finals. Meanwhile the 2012 Spurs obliterated their first two round opponents and were only stopped by an all time talented albeit younger OKC team.
OldSchoolNoBull wrote:5. The 15-17 Cavs being that high is probably a real testament to LeBron because, honestly, I never, ever thought of that Cavs core as being an ATG team on the level of Jordan's Bulls, Steph's Warriors, Showtime, Bird's Celtics, Russell's Celtics, the Bad Boys, Shaq/Kobe Lakers, Duncan's Spurs, etc. They never struck me as being on that level outside of LeBron. However, I have always thought the 2015 and 2016 Finals were the best LeBron ever played. I feel like all of those Cavs runs were LeBron carry jobs to varying degrees.
VanWest82 wrote:OldSchoolNoBull wrote:5. The 15-17 Cavs being that high is probably a real testament to LeBron because, honestly, I never, ever thought of that Cavs core as being an ATG team on the level of Jordan's Bulls, Steph's Warriors, Showtime, Bird's Celtics, Russell's Celtics, the Bad Boys, Shaq/Kobe Lakers, Duncan's Spurs, etc. They never struck me as being on that level outside of LeBron. However, I have always thought the 2015 and 2016 Finals were the best LeBron ever played. I feel like all of those Cavs runs were LeBron carry jobs to varying degrees.
Outside of 2015 with all the injuries, "carry job" is too strong imo. You go down the rosters and those Cavs teams had a ton of talent. What they didn't have were back up creators, and so they sucked anytime Lebron wasn't on the floor. Kyrie wasn't good enough at that point to be an offense onto himself like we've seen at times with Boston, Nets, and Mavs; he was more of secondary creator with Cavs. Even one more decent creator off the bench would've done wonders for that team, but they chose to go with pieces that fit around Lebron instead, and it's hard to quibble with the results.
1996 Jazz
1st Round vs. Blazers: +13.9 rNet (+9.9 rORtg, -4.0 rDRtg)
WCSF vs. Spurs: +20.6 rNet (+10.6 rORtg, -10.0 rDRtg)
WCF vs. Sonics: +11.2 rNet (+2.8 rORtg, -8.4 rDRtg)
Postseason: +15.0 rNet (+6.7 rORtg, -8.3 rDRtg)
1997 Jazz
1st Round vs. Clippers: +12.2 rNet (+14.1 rORtg, +1.9 rDRtg)
WCSF vs. Lakers: +8.7 rNet (+7.3 rORtg, -1.4 rDRtg)
WCF vs. Rockets: +7.5 rNet (+8.8 rORtg, +1.3 rDRtg)
Finals vs. Bulls: +11.2 rNet (+1.4 rORtg, -9.8 rDRtg)
Postseason: +9.6 rNet (+6.5 rORtg, -3.1 rDRtg)
1998 Jazz
1st Round vs. Rockets: +6.8 rNet (-4.9 rORtg, -11.7 rDRtg)
WCSF vs. Spurs: +4.7 rNet (+2.4 rORtg, -2.3 rDRtg)
WCF vs. Lakers: +23.3 rNet (+12.4 rORtg, -10.9 rDRtg)
Finals vs. Bulls: -1.5 rNet (-3.7 rORtg, -2.2 rDRtg)
Postseason: +7.3 rNet (+0.1 rORtg, -7.2 rDRtg)