Better versus greatest I think matters more down the list than at the top, or the further back you go. So I will mark a few names based on how confident I am they would translate forward as well as in their time, using the current best player in the league as a measuring stick.
- Lebron: was the best player in the world four years ago, the top scorer in the league two years ago, and is still roughly top ten. Zero uncertainty and continues to be an easy and obvious #1.
- Kareem: looking at Wemby a bit, easy to picture him as an elite scorer
and defender. Mild uncertainty here though because unclear how that profile matches against Jokic and/or regular season Embiid.
- Wilt: moderate uncertainty because of the variability of his career, but I still believe in the defence of players like Russell and Thurmond back then (their offence is what would likely cap their value today with singular defensive impact more neutered), and the transition from 1964 to 1967 suggests he could fulfill a Sabonis-esque offensive role while being one of the better defenders in the league.
- Hakeem: low uncertainty; only real potential criticism is overall efficiency being capped a couple of tiers below Jokic, but the defence translates spectacularly well, and he can be a functional offensive hub in much the same way Embiid has been
- Duncan: moderate uncertainty by virtue of negative comparisons with Hakeem without the dynamism that keeps Hakeem relevant, but he was still somewhat recently a fringe top ten player even well outside his prime
- Garnett: only mild uncertainty, for reasons that have been discussed to death here; has a lower scoring ceiling than every name here but is better than a player like Draymond across the board, and Draymond has consistently shown superstar impact in the postseason even recently
- Shaq: moderate uncertainty; while every other big I mentioned at least has some grey area in whether their defence could elevate them above Jokic, but with Shaq the question is more about how much closer the modern games brings him to Jokic’s level. Still an easy top five talent though.
- Jordan: moderate uncertainty; still probably the best wing in the game, but degree of separation from players like Shai and Kawhi is unclear, and without a comfortable degree of separation cannot be reasonably argued above Jokic
- Kobe: same as above because of a more modern scoring arsenal and better technical passing, but lacks Jordan’s outlier athleticism as a slasher and defender, and his argument over Kawhi is completely dependent on him maximising his superior playmaking
- Magic: moderate uncertainty because of defensive questions and lack of clarity on the extent to which he could maintain his status as an outlier playmaker; not better than Jokic, but would be extremely efficient and would be in conversation with Haliburton and Luka as the league’s best creator, which like with Luka could give a claim to best postseason player.
- Steph: led a title team two years ago

Add Jokic to make this a top twelve. If forced to cut down the list, I would probably start with Kobe, but I am willing to entertain arguments that Kobe might be more of an outlier today than I am crediting. Among the rest of the moderate uncertainty players, unsure who would be the second cut.
Other potential
inclusions are Luka, who is on the right trajectory but needs a larger playoff sample and continued improvement on defence (true neutral would be great); if this were just top ten on offence, he is an automatic inclusion, and might press for top five.
On that note, Nash is an interesting name to consider. I believe in him as the second best shooter in league history and potentially its best playmaker, both of which can skew in his favour today in a way they did not in 2005-07 when Duncan was his superior. Haliburton is his modern heir, and I think right now Nash remains a comfortable tier ahead (will see how Haliburton’s game continues to develop). Limited by his size though, and for versatility reasons trails behind Steph as an overall asset.
Healthy Kawhi can contend. We will see how possible that still is, but in theory, he is up there with any wing scorer and defender.
Giannis has a lot of frustrating flaws but by virtue of playing in the modern league translates more apparently than most of the moderate uncertainty names I listed.
Sixteen names there, and I feel confident that the top ten “best” should come from that list. Maybe I am overlooking someone, but if I am it is probably a perimetre player, and to add more perimetre players I would need to be a lot lower on bigs historically when if anything I think the 2021-24 consensus top three shows how basketball will always tend to be a big man’s game at the highest level.