2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread]

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2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#1 » by AEnigma » Fri Jun 28, 2024 7:20 pm

This will serve as the Official Thread and home base for the 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE.

PLEASE READ ALL OF THIS POST TO BE FAMILIAR WITH THE PROCESS AND GUIDELINES

Project History
This is an update of a project that first took place in 2010, following largely the same rules, goals, and structure:
Doctor MJ wrote:We go back through the years and vote for who we think had the 5 best seasons each year. This will work like an MVP voting, but will cover both regular and post seasons.

Anyone who would like to be part of the project, just say so in this thread over the next few days. 2 requirements though:

1) This project's going to take a while. Please don't sign up without planning to be in it for the long haul. It'll be okay if stuff comes up and you have to pull out, or if you miss a few votes, but if you don't have an interest in really going back into NBA history to do this, please don't sign up.

2) Every year you vote, you've got to spend some time on research. I'll put a structure in place to make it easier for people - but you'll still have to put some time in.

- The criteria of "best season" is meant to emulate MVP thinking. Obviously different people think about MVP differently, so it's okay that the same holds for our POY. That said, this is a proof-in-pudding award. If a player got injured, got disgruntled, etc one season, that has to be factored in.

- Voting weights will be just like the MVP: 10-7-5-3-1. This will be used note only to determine POYs, but we'll also track POY shares over players' careers.

- Each voting will take 3 days. I'll add them up at the end. You can change your voting after you post it up until I do the final count, but please do it by editing your original post to make it easier for me.

- Votings will overlap since they aren't dependent on each other, so sometimes we'll have more than one voting "live" at once.

- This will be an NBA-centric project, but will include leagues that became incorporated into the NBA. So for example in 1976, NBA & ABA will both be considered.

This time around, we will also be conducting votes for Offensive Player of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year.

Project Purpose
While we create a Ranked List as a part of this project, and that List then becomes an entity we can analyze, it is important to understand that the List itself is not the primary purpose of the project.

The project's purpose is to encourage deep thought among those who participate and read by forcing participants to consider players in depth thread-by-thread, and having them make arguments and debate along the way.

And the hope in doing this is to build a community and that community's institutional knowledge.

Becoming a Voter
To become a voter before the project, just express your interest posting in this thread. You must be approved by the runner (in this case, me) before you become a voter. I am not looking to be too exclusive at the start of the project. That said, I am concerned about people only showing up for certain players, so once we hit the 1960s/1970s I will be more strict about any new additions or reentries (barring good cause for absence or strong history of knowledge shown in prior projects). 1971 Thread EDIT: No new entries without reasonable justification and a long history of prior engagement with forum projects. Please DM me if you want to join. 1993 Thread EDIT: The standard to request late admittance is at least seven threads of involved participation in discussion of that year pre-tally, by which I mean offering thoughts on the players and their season and engaging with the thoughts of others on average at least twice per thread before I close voting (because otherwise someone could just make a quick series of post-hoc contributions; the intent here is to show real commitment to the project).

Additionally, there is an expectation to be invested in the entire history here, so I am requesting that interested people make sure they have a good sense of their complete ballot voting for all eras, rather than just from the 1980s onward.

Voter Standards
* Post as much as you want in any thread, but only have one Voting post, and please make clear at the top of your post that this is your Voting post and make that post easy for me to read as I tally.
* Feel free to change your mind on your vote before the deadline, but EDIT the existing Voting post so I don't count both your old and new post. I also appreciate messages informing me of edits, as they make oversights much less likely.
* You must give reasoning for all your votes. Votes without any reasoning at all will be tossed.
* You can pick the awards on which you vote thread to thread, but you must complete a full ballot to be counted: 5 ranked spots for Player of the Year, 3 ranked spots for Offensive/Defensive Player of the Year.
* As a voter you are expected to follow the discussion consistently. We don't want people to just show up blind every once in a while and vote. We expect you to keep engaged from thread to thread to thread, etc. However, it is a long project and it is unrealistic to expect all voters to be here for all votes. We just want you to try to stay involved for this extended run as best you can.
* Contrarian votes can be and have been sincere, but they look a lot more sincere when you take the time to fully present your reasoning rather than transparently pretend nothing is amiss. There is a significant difference between a properly justified and internally consistent contrarian vote, and a vote whose purpose is to undermine the project itself. Ballots which threaten to do the latter and derail the project discussion via blatant vote manipulation are liable to be tossed. If it happens twice, the offending poster will be removed from the project.

Pre-Project Determinations
1. Where do we start the project? With the 1955 season, start of the shot clock era (and same as the original project)? With the 1952 season, when we gain access to minutes data? With the 1951 season, when we start to have player rebounding data (and black players were first signed)? With the 1950 season, when the BAA merged with the NBL? With the 1947 season, the founding of the BAA as a rival league to the NBL? Or with the 1946 season, immediately following the resolution of World War II? ANSWER: This project will start with the 1949-50 season.

2. Where do we stop the project? In the 2009 season, where the original project started? Or should we stop at a later date — perhaps up to the 2015 season, which was the first season we voted on OPoY and DPoY. ANSWER: The final year of this project will be the 2013-14 season.

3. Should the 2010 ballots be counted — truly making this an update rather than an replacement — or should they be ignored/discounted? If they are counted, should they be weighed equally ballot by ballot, equally by result (i.e. we average our end result with the old result), or something else? ANSWER: Not “officially”.

DETERMINATIONS SET HERE.

Additional Pre-Project Discussion Topics
* What significant results do you think you may vote to change?
* Which years do you think were correct #1-5?
* Which players do you think might fare better in a 2024 vote than in a 2010 vote?
* What is your general ballot philosophy?
* Are there any years or eras where you feel significantly uncertain about which players to list on your ballot, for any of the three awards?

I anticipate starting no later than July 8th.

Current Voter List
Spoiler:
AEnigma wrote:
Aleco wrote:
Ardee wrote:
B-Mitch 30 wrote:
Bad Gatorade wrote:
Bastillon wrote:
capfan33 wrote:
ceofkobefans wrote:
Djoker wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
Dr. Positivity wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Eminence wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
homecourtloss wrote:
IlikeSHAIguys wrote:
konr0167 wrote:
LA Bird wrote:
Lebronnygoat wrote:
McBubbles wrote:
Narigo wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:
Paulluxx9000 wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
rk2023 wrote:
ShaqAttac wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:
theonlyclutch wrote:
toodles23 wrote:
trelos6 wrote:
trex_8063 wrote:
ZeppelinPage wrote:
70sFan wrote:
________________________________________
Layaway Voters
* MyUnibroDavis

Spreadsheet of Historical RealGM All-Season Award Winners

Retro Offensive Players of the Year:
Spoiler:
George Mikan (1950)
Alex Groza (1951)
Bob Cousy (1952-55)
Paul Arizin (1952/56)
Bob Pettit (1957/59-60)
Dolph Schayes (1958)
Oscar Robertson (1961-69)
Jerry West (1966/69-70)
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1971-72/74/77/1979-80)
Tiny Archibald (1973)
Rick Barry (1975)
Julius Erving (1976)
George Gervin (1978)
Larry Bird (1981)
Magic Johnson (1982-91)
Michael Jordan (1992-93/96-98)
Reggie Miller (1994)
Shaquille O’Neal (1995/99-2002)
Tracy McGrady (2003)
Dirk Nowitzki (2004/11)
Steve Nash (2005-07/10)
Kobe Bryant (2008)
Lebron James (2009/12-14)
Retro Defensive Players of the Year:
Spoiler:
George Mikan (1950-54)
Mel Hutchins (1955-56)
Bill Russell (1957-69)
Dave DeBusschere (1970)
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1971/74)
Wilt Chamberlain (1972-73)
Artis Gilmore (1975)
Dave Cowens (1976)
Bill Walton (1977-78)
Elvin Hayes (1979)
Caldwell Jones (1980)
Robert Parish (1981)
Jack Sikma (1982)
Tree Rollins (1983)
Mark Eaton (1984-86)
Hakeem Olajuwon (1987-90/93-94)
David Robinson (1991/95)
Patrick Ewing (1992)
Scottie Pippen (1996)
Dikembe Mutombo (1997-99)
Alonzo Mourning (2000)
Tim Duncan (2001-03/07)
Ben Wallace (2004-06)
Kevin Garnett (2008/10-12)
Dwight Howard (2009)
Marc Gasol (2013)
Joakim Noah (2014)

List of Years and Results
1950s
Spoiler:
1950George Mikan (1.000)
1951George Mikan (1.000)
1952George Mikan (1.000)
1953George Mikan (0.970)
1954George Mikan (0.970)
1955Dolph Schayes (1.000 / 0.970)
1956Paul Arizin (0.856 / 0.889)
1957Bob Pettit (0.936 / 0.935)
1958Bob Pettit (0.818 / 0.838)
1959Bill Russell (0.975 / 0.987)
1960s
Spoiler:
1960Bill Russell (0.979 / 0.942)
1961Bill Russell (1.000 / 1.000)
1962Bill Russell (1.000 / 0.957)
1963Bill Russell (1.000 / 0.986)
1964Bill Russell (0.879 / 0.807*)
1965Bill Russell (1.000 / 1.000)
1966Bill Russell (0.873 / 0.841)
1967Wilt Chamberlain (1.000 / 1.000)
1968Wilt Chamberlain (0.813 / 0.833)
1969Bill Russell (0.931 / 0.874)
1970s
Spoiler:
1970Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.950 / 0.786*)
1971Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1.000 / 1.000)
1972Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1.000 / 0.990)
1973Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.777 / 0.868)
1974Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1.000 / 0.989)
1975Rick Barry (0.683 / 0.810)
1976Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.787 / 0.752*)
1977Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.918 / 0.893)
1978Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.845 / 0.773)
1979Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.922 / 0.943)
1980s
Spoiler:
1980Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (0.979 / 0.991)
1981Larry Bird (0.736 / 0.775)
1982Magic Johnson (0.800 / 0.696*)
1983Moses Malone (0.943 / 0.976)
1984Larry Bird (0.892 / 0.957)
1985Magic Johnson (0.875 / 0.851)
1986Hakeem Olajuwon (0.779 / 0.653*)
1987Magic Johnson (1.000 / 0.985)
1988Magic Johnson (0.869 / 0.800*)
1989Magic Johnson (0.840 / 0.736*)
1990s
Spoiler:
1990Michael Jordan (0.940 / 0.925)
1991Michael Jordan (0.864 / 0.947)
1992Michael Jordan (0.975 / 0.991)
1993Hakeem Olajuwon (0.894 /0.751*)
1994Hakeem Olajuwon (1.000 / 0.993)
1995Hakeem Olajuwon (0.931 / 0.925)
1996Michael Jordan (0.954 / 0.984)
1997Michael Jordan (0.840 / 0.925)
1998Michael Jordan (0.763 / 0.878)
1999Tim Duncan (1.000 / 0.959)
2000s
2000Shaquille O’Neal (1.000 / 1.000)
2001Shaquille O’Neal & Tim Duncan (0.744 / 0.902 & 0.674)
2002Tim Duncan (0.954 / 0.847)
2003Tim Duncan (1.000 / 0.976)
2004Kevin Garnett (0.962 / 0.986)
2005Tim Duncan (0.906 / 0.883)
2006Dwyane Wade (0.700 / 0.829)
2007Tim Duncan (0.950 / 0.929)
2008Lebron James (0.742 / 0.642*)
2009Lebron James (1.000 / 0.977)
2010Lebron James (0.950 / 0.862)
2011Dirk Nowitzki (0.878 / 0.922)
2012Lebron James (1.000 / 1.000)
2013Lebron James (1.000 / 1.000)
2014Lebron James (0.940 / 0.954)

CONCLUSION
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#2 » by Dutchball97 » Fri Jun 28, 2024 7:35 pm

Looking forward to participate. I'd prefer to start it with the 1950 season as the first real NBA season.

I think it'd be an interesting concept to update the list by adding our votes to the original ballots but it might be an option to weigh the new votes heavier to make sure changes are possible without discounting the votes from back then. Wouldn't have an issue with a completely new list either though. As to when to stop, we'll have to see if the project runs out of steam at any point especially if we do a new list. Can't really replace the results with 5 people voting for seasons 20 people voted for in 2010.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#3 » by AEnigma » Fri Jun 28, 2024 7:40 pm

For my own part will answer:

1. 1950 > 1951 > 1952 > 1955 > 1947 > 1946
2. 2009, but continuing OPoY and DPoY through 2014.
3. Support it with 50% weight by result or with no weight. The former would be a lot more work.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#4 » by Djoker » Fri Jun 28, 2024 7:43 pm

1. I'd start with 1955 as the first season of the shot clock. Basketball before that wasn't really basketball as we know it. Saying that the shot clock revolutionized the game is actually understating its impact IMO. Also by the mid 50's, some black players started entering the league.

2. Continue all the way through to the end basically. At least until 2014 to do OPOY and DPOY for every season.

3. Count the ballots from the old project with equal weight to the new ballots. I don't understand the rationale for weighing votes differently. That doesn't sound very democratic! :lol:
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#5 » by Dutchball97 » Fri Jun 28, 2024 7:55 pm

Djoker wrote:3. Count the ballots from the old project with equal weight to the new ballots. I don't understand the rationale for weighing votes differently. That doesn't sound very democratic! :lol:


Mainly because there is a lot more information and stats out there now compared to 2010. There is a good chance the voters from back then would also vote differently in some cases.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#6 » by ardee » Fri Jun 28, 2024 11:13 pm

1. 1955. I think pre-shot clock basketball is a fundamentally different sport and frankly don't really have confidence in my ability to evaluate players before it came about.

2. Continue to present day. I think the project is indeed a replacement rather than an update, otherwise we'd just do OPOY and DPOY for every year dating back to the start and skip POY. When we redo top 100s we don't only re-vote on active players who have added years since the last project, we re-vote on all of them.

3. I don't think the old ballots should be counted. It's a different project and those votes were made with less information and context. People can go back and read both projects if they want to see different points of view.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#7 » by trex_8063 » Fri Jun 28, 2024 11:31 pm

I'm OK with anywhere between '50 and '55, though I guess I'd err toward earlier. '52 strikes me as a decent starting point, too (first year mpg available).
Prior to '50 I feel like the available information gets more and more spare and messy/noisy. I'd assume Mikan is the best each year (if we can include NBL seasons prior to '49), but as to who is 2nd/3rd/etc, it's a bit of a crap-shoot for some of those really early years, imo.

I don't have a strong opinion regarding how far forward in time to go.


ardee wrote:
3. I don't think the old ballots should be counted. It's a different project and those votes were made with less information and context. People can go back and read both projects if they want to see different points of view.


I would tend to agree. The other complication with this is that you may have voters who participated in BOTH projects; are the opinions of those persons then basically double-counted?
At any rate, I'd lean toward just letting this project stand on its own.


btw, I'm not sure if I'd be super-consistent, though will be following the project, and would like to participate when I can (I think I can contribute on POY most of the time; might bow out of OPOY/DPOY, just to save time [often limited info in early years, too]).
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#8 » by AEnigma » Fri Jun 28, 2024 11:47 pm

trex_8063 wrote:you may have voters who participated in BOTH projects; are the opinions of those persons then basically double-counted?

In the scenario where each ballot is counted equally, no, we would exclude the old one. In the scenario where total results are weighed at a certain proportion, it would not really matter outside of the dual participant being able to claim they influenced both votes — which would already be true.

btw, I'm not sure if I'd be super-consistent, though will be following the project, and would like to participate when I can (I think I can contribute on POY most of the time; might bow out of OPOY/DPOY, just to save time [often limited info in early years, too]).

Sounds good, will move you to the “active” voters group.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#9 » by LA Bird » Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:11 am

1. For completeness, I would just go with 1947 since that was the first 'official' season as the NBA defines it. Do I think the level of basketball back then was remotely close to what it is today? Hell no. But neither was 1955 for that matter. There was no significant change in quality of play immediately after the introduction of the shot clock and the only reason 1955 is commonly used is because it's an easy line of demarcation (same as 1980 for 'modern' basketball). Picking among 50/51/52 seems a bit arbitrary IMO and 46 just feels unnecessary with the inclusion of only one pre-NBA season.

2. If we are staying true to the name, I don't see why we can't go until 2023. All the POY from 2010 to 2023 would still be retro.

3. Strong no. And I am quite confused why this is even a point of discussion. We re-do the careers and peaks project much more frequently every 3 years and nobody ever brought up the idea of counting the votes from previous lists. But now we are re-doing a project from 14 years ago, we start including previous votes? What is the rationale here?
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#10 » by OhayoKD » Sat Jun 29, 2024 2:55 am

ardee wrote:1. 1955. I think pre-shot clock basketball is a fundamentally different sport and frankly don't really have confidence in my ability to evaluate players before it came about.

2. Continue to present day. I think the project is indeed a replacement rather than an update, otherwise we'd just do OPOY and DPOY for every year dating back to the start and skip POY. When we redo top 100s we don't only re-vote on active players who have added years since the last project, we re-vote on all of them.

3. I don't think the old ballots should be counted. It's a different project and those votes were made with less information and context. People can go back and read both projects if they want to see different points of view.

Old ballots definitely should not be counted. If new voters feel differently about players that should be reflected in actual placements.

homecourtloss wrote:1. 1955
2. Lean towards 2009
3. Old votes shouldn’t count

Having the same chronological ending date when several nba seasons have been played doesn't really make sense. If the last project was 9 years ago then we should probably go 9 seasons past
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#11 » by homecourtloss » Sat Jun 29, 2024 5:40 am

1. 1955
2. Lean towards 2009
3. Old votes shouldn’t count
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#12 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 30, 2024 3:29 pm

I am not as familiar with pre 60's nba (or even pre 80's nba) but i am willing to learn as i participate
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#13 » by Paulluxx9000 » Tue Jul 2, 2024 12:16 am

Interested in participating!
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#14 » by One_and_Done » Tue Jul 2, 2024 8:29 pm

I'll be happy to participate.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#15 » by AEnigma » Tue Jul 2, 2024 9:31 pm

One_and_Done wrote:I'll be happy to participate.

I will be interested to see how you approach an explicitly in-era project.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#16 » by ShaqAttac » Wed Jul 3, 2024 8:54 pm

idk much about the older eras tbh but can i vote?
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#17 » by bastillon » Thu Jul 4, 2024 11:22 pm

ardee wrote:1. 1955. I think pre-shot clock basketball is a fundamentally different sport and frankly don't really have confidence in my ability to evaluate players before it came about.

2. Continue to present day. I think the project is indeed a replacement rather than an update, otherwise we'd just do OPOY and DPOY for every year dating back to the start and skip POY. When we redo top 100s we don't only re-vote on active players who have added years since the last project, we re-vote on all of them.

3. I don't think the old ballots should be counted. It's a different project and those votes were made with less information and context. People can go back and read both projects if they want to see different points of view.


+1 agree with every point.

I think it's very important to start in the 50s. The last time we did it, we went backwards and a lot of people pretty much learned new info as we went back and couldn't take it into account.

Also, we should wait some time before starting this project. I don't think starting next Monday makes much sense.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#18 » by iggymcfrack » Fri Jul 5, 2024 4:58 am

I’m interested, but don’t want to commit until the parameters are a little more fleshed out.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#19 » by AEnigma » Fri Jul 5, 2024 5:17 am

bastillon wrote:Also, we should wait some time before starting this project. I don't think starting next Monday makes much sense.

Not understanding this.
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Re: 2024 Retro Player of the Year Project UPDATE [Discussion Thread] 

Post#20 » by AEnigma » Fri Jul 5, 2024 5:21 am

ShaqAttac wrote:idk much about the older eras tbh but can i vote?

So long as you maintain an expected level of explanation for your votes, yes. I would suggested reflecting on why your vote in the 2024 Player of the Year thread was insufficient and strive to adhere to a more usual Player of the Year standard.

Goes for everyone that votes with insufficient explanations will not be counted, although I will let people know when that is the case.

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