tsherkin wrote:Owly wrote:On 1) ... don't know about physical ... in the playoffs in a limited time frame as clear cut alpha scorer it does repeat but to be clear I'm not saying samples in one playoffs are small I'm saying cumulatively this is a small sample (and in a limited range of contexts).
I understood what you were saying, but it wasn't a trend limited to the playoffs, so that's somewhat moot.
my impression is Robinson was more broadly neither notably good nor bad in terms of resilience against good centers.
Not what I said. I said "physical front lines" for a reason. It wasn't about quality of center, it was about strength, and about their ability to play him physically and force him away from the rim, or to bother him on the shot.
More broadly you seem to be talking shorter mid-range stuff and there the (limited) data and the simplest explanation is Hakeem was better there though samples are limited and I'd be happy to see fuller data. IDK about the off the bounce stuff which is why I haven't really commented on it, again I'd be happy to see data: impression is in the shorter midrange Olajuwon was good at making difficult shots (though that doesn't always make them good shots).
I agree that Olajuwon took a lot of shots which were what you would generally categorize as "lower quality." He was good at making them (relatively) and that helped his inelasticity in efficiency come the playoffs. I said this earlier. And I also noted that it lowered his overall ceiling of efficiency in the RS, which does change some of the tone between the two players in terms of impact on RS offense on lower-quality teams (on which both were often playing).
Keep in mind I am a fan of David Robinson. I think well of him. I watched a lot of him. And Olajuwon. In the 90s, centers were my primary focus in the game of basketball. Interior offense is also what I primarily coached. This is an area of emphasis for me.
Last go round here
1) As ever open to seeing data
2) Okay well the quote was "good defenses/physical frontcourts". And I kind of assume the idea is defenses good at defending centers for which teams with good centers is for me an adequate proxy that I actually have seen some form of data. As above, open to seeing new/your sources.
(All numbers below are RS)
Fwiw, eyeballing him versus the Rileyball and Ewing/Oakley/Mason era Knicks (including '96 for that frontcourt, and one of the games is under JVG) the most notriously physical team and physical frontline .... looking at the average of game BPMs there's little evidence of an
overall struggle at 9.533333333 (9.1 was his RS average for the spell).
Shooting wise
EFG% versus Knicks 0.538922156
average of season averages versus all teams (this is actually slightly inflated versus a true weighted average, '92 is his best shooting season in these [raw] terms but he suffers an injury and gets up fewer attempts - it should be lower but I’m not doing the proper average right now) 0.5228
Robinson up versus Knicks
TS% versus Knicks 0.581725
TS% against league (actual, properly weighted this time) .586
Robinson narrowly worse versus Knicks … because … 0.653465 from the line (I’d suggest luck rather than free throw defense).
One
very small sample, am open to evidence … not seeing it in here versus the archetype.
3) Yes, I’m (trying to) grant you/ acknowledge Olajuwon’s shorter midrange and inelasticity (though I think also some luck – before doing any adjustments to account for which years he plays the largest samples in Olajuwon’s career TS% is up in the playoffs – [if this holds with closer inspection] unless you’re not trying [to some degree] in the RS, I believe that’s luck).