Profile of a Championship Centerpiece
Posted: Thu Jul 25, 2024 6:44 pm
This is a super-melodramatic title. Really, this is just a little "I'm bored" exercise, like my thread on the GB about NBA Finalists.
I figured I'd do some really fast looks at the guys at the center of championship teams these past 45 years as a way to stall before I have to redo all the 80s Finalist team stuff I wiped out with an errant Ctrl+V earlier, heh.
There's a huge amount of subjectivity involved in this, and a bunch of stats which people contest all the time (and which are all on b-ref), so I'll use a couple of them and then add some other stuff as we get into the eras where we have it, I suppose. For now, I'll look at BPM, OBPM and DBPM with WS/48 and VORP. Just sifting through the basics, you know? On some times, it'll be a little fuzzy (like the 1980 Lakers), so I might add two guys. Anyway, here we go. Didn't really know what to do with the Pistons. I guess the nod is to Isiah, but that team won with defense and their frontcourt, particularly with their physical D and defensive rebounding. And Joe Dumars. Anyway, I added Laimbeer, but it's a bit fuzzy.
Obviously, initially I'm just looking at teams which did win the title. Later, maybe I'll look at some in-year rankings for some more context.
1980-99 Averages
.217 WS/48, +4.7 OBPM, +1.7 DBPM, +6.5 BPM, +6.3 VORP
If you remove Jordan, then it's .197, +3.8, +1.6, +5.5 and +5.4.
Average rTS was +4.0%. The worst showings were Isiah (-3.6 in 90, -0.9% in 89), and Bird in 81 (-0.6%), the only negative showings. Then Bird's +0.9% in 84 is the next-worst, tied with Jordan's 98. Lowest after that is +2% from 89 Laimbeer and 95 Olajuwon.
So then. 1980-1999, a quick search for guys who rocked the following lines: >= .210 WS/48, +4 OBPM, +6 VORP over 60+ GP and 30+ MPG.
Obviously, VERY specific, stat-influenced, etc. I'm going to stop making that qualification at some point, but yeah, this is just very loose stuff. There are various issues with this, in part because it heavily favors offensive box score stuff.
Seven guys did it more than 3 times: Magic (5), Bird (6), Barkley (6), D Rob and Karl Malone (7), John Stockton (9), and Jordan (11). Erving snuck in there 3 times despite starting his career much earlier. And KAJ managed it twice.
If you relax that to .200+ WS/48, then you get 8 more results, including a bunch more Drexler and one season from Pippen (97, though, not 1994).
If I now add in a minimum DBPM of +1.5, we drop down from the original 63 to 44 entries. Couple one-offs, but it's mostly Bird, Magic, Jordan, Drexler, D Rob, Stockton and Erving. Malone vanishes.
Obvious exclusions include Olajuwon and Moses Malone. Magic gets a bunch more love than he ought to, likely from his steals. If I remove the OBPM criterion, we pop to 47 entries, and suddenly Olajuwon is there in 93 and 94.
===
All in all, no major revelations here.
Guys who stuff the box score rise to the top. Guys who score more efficiently are well-represented. Guys who score on weak efficiency eventually craft a degree of ceiling for themselves, requiring some skew more toward the defensive side (and to more distributed team offense). I grabbed 26 entries from title squads and 12 of them were at +4% rTS or better, and 17 were at +3% or better. To no one's surprise, it's easier when your focal players are able to gain that much distance from league average.
Anecdotally, it isn't hard to envision a few things breaking differently here and there to change who was on those title lists. But a fun little time-waster for me, so for those of you who stuck to the end, thanks xD Maybe it'll generate some decent conversation.
I figured I'd do some really fast looks at the guys at the center of championship teams these past 45 years as a way to stall before I have to redo all the 80s Finalist team stuff I wiped out with an errant Ctrl+V earlier, heh.
There's a huge amount of subjectivity involved in this, and a bunch of stats which people contest all the time (and which are all on b-ref), so I'll use a couple of them and then add some other stuff as we get into the eras where we have it, I suppose. For now, I'll look at BPM, OBPM and DBPM with WS/48 and VORP. Just sifting through the basics, you know? On some times, it'll be a little fuzzy (like the 1980 Lakers), so I might add two guys. Anyway, here we go. Didn't really know what to do with the Pistons. I guess the nod is to Isiah, but that team won with defense and their frontcourt, particularly with their physical D and defensive rebounding. And Joe Dumars. Anyway, I added Laimbeer, but it's a bit fuzzy.
Obviously, initially I'm just looking at teams which did win the title. Later, maybe I'll look at some in-year rankings for some more context.
1980-99 Averages
.217 WS/48, +4.7 OBPM, +1.7 DBPM, +6.5 BPM, +6.3 VORP
If you remove Jordan, then it's .197, +3.8, +1.6, +5.5 and +5.4.
Average rTS was +4.0%. The worst showings were Isiah (-3.6 in 90, -0.9% in 89), and Bird in 81 (-0.6%), the only negative showings. Then Bird's +0.9% in 84 is the next-worst, tied with Jordan's 98. Lowest after that is +2% from 89 Laimbeer and 95 Olajuwon.
So then. 1980-1999, a quick search for guys who rocked the following lines: >= .210 WS/48, +4 OBPM, +6 VORP over 60+ GP and 30+ MPG.
Obviously, VERY specific, stat-influenced, etc. I'm going to stop making that qualification at some point, but yeah, this is just very loose stuff. There are various issues with this, in part because it heavily favors offensive box score stuff.
Seven guys did it more than 3 times: Magic (5), Bird (6), Barkley (6), D Rob and Karl Malone (7), John Stockton (9), and Jordan (11). Erving snuck in there 3 times despite starting his career much earlier. And KAJ managed it twice.
If you relax that to .200+ WS/48, then you get 8 more results, including a bunch more Drexler and one season from Pippen (97, though, not 1994).
If I now add in a minimum DBPM of +1.5, we drop down from the original 63 to 44 entries. Couple one-offs, but it's mostly Bird, Magic, Jordan, Drexler, D Rob, Stockton and Erving. Malone vanishes.
Obvious exclusions include Olajuwon and Moses Malone. Magic gets a bunch more love than he ought to, likely from his steals. If I remove the OBPM criterion, we pop to 47 entries, and suddenly Olajuwon is there in 93 and 94.
===
All in all, no major revelations here.
Guys who stuff the box score rise to the top. Guys who score more efficiently are well-represented. Guys who score on weak efficiency eventually craft a degree of ceiling for themselves, requiring some skew more toward the defensive side (and to more distributed team offense). I grabbed 26 entries from title squads and 12 of them were at +4% rTS or better, and 17 were at +3% or better. To no one's surprise, it's easier when your focal players are able to gain that much distance from league average.
Anecdotally, it isn't hard to envision a few things breaking differently here and there to change who was on those title lists. But a fun little time-waster for me, so for those of you who stuck to the end, thanks xD Maybe it'll generate some decent conversation.