Who is USA Olympic Basketball GOAT?
Posted: Sun Jul 28, 2024 11:16 pm
As with general GOAT rankings, use your own criteria.
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Laimbeer wrote:As with general GOAT rankings, use your own criteria.
Doctor MJ wrote:1988 +30.4 (Bronze, starring Majerle & Robinson, lost to Soviet team led by Sabonis & Marciulionis)
1992 +43.8 (Gold, starring Barkley & Jordan)
1996 +31.8 (Gold, starring Barkley & Robinson)
2000 +21.6 (Gold, starring Garnett & Carter)
2004 +4.6 (Bronze, starring Iverson & Duncan, lost repeatedly, but most notably to Ginobili's Argentina)
2008 +27.9 (Gold, starring Kobe & LeBron)
2012 +32.1 (Gold, starring Durant & LeBron)
2016 +22.5 (Gold, starring Durant & Kyrie)
2020 +20.0 (Gold, starring Durant & Holiday)
2024 +19.0 (Gold, starring LeBron & Curry)
Other than Kurland, Barkley's the first guy to be the best player on 2 Olympic teams, and what teams to do it with.
6. The 2004 team was just astonishingly bad. I think we'll probably be talking for many decades more about what happened there. It goes without saying that this by far the worst pro-era Team USA, and there's good reason to question whether some of the amateur teams from the deeper past (1956, 1960, 1984) would have been better.
Further, while folks lament the lack of talent on the roster, they had drastically more talent than any other team, and still went only 5-3. Fundamentally, this was team basketball not working.
7. From 2008 onward I'm not sure if there's that much to say other than to debate where to put LeBron & KD on our all-time list.
So then, guys who would be on my absolute shortlist for USA Olympic GOAT here:
- Bill Russell. The most dominant performance in the history of men's Olympic basketball. Period.
- Charles Barkley. The best international-style basketball player of "Jordan's generation" by a significant margin.
- Kevin Durant. I think he's earned the nod for the 2008-on group based both on how often he's played, and how well he's played.
I'd slide LeBron as the next guy to mention. Were I trying to make a starting 5, that 5th spot is where things start getting really debatable.
Doctor MJ wrote:Here's a breakdown of Team USA's MOV in Olympic history:
1976 -0.4 (Silver, crushed by USSR because Uljana Semjonova)
1980 n/a
1984 +32.7 (Gold)
1988 +13.8 (Gold)
1992 +29.0 (Bronze, unlucky loss to CIS, not due to CIS 3-point shooting, but worth noting Cynthia Cooper was on the team and being treated like a role player because Team USA never understood what they had in Cooper.)
1996 +28.6 (Gold)
2000 +21.8 (Gold)
2004 +23.8 (Gold)
2008 +37.6 (Gold)
2012 +34.8 (Gold)
2016 +37.3 (Gold)
2020 +19.3 (Gold)
2024 +15.7 (Gold)
Things worth noting:
1. I think people today tend to just assume that Team USA has always dominated women's basketball, but this really wasn't the case until roughly the start of the WNBA. I think the WNBA really helped here.
2. By the metric above they were at their most dominant in 2008 just barely over 2016, but I would be inclined to see the 2016 team as the best team in women's international basketball history, and it's just a question of whether they were better than the 2023 Las Vegas Aces.
3. The fall off in the 2020s for the women's team has made them less dominant than the men's again, and honestly, I don't think there's any "to be expected" reason for that. I understand that historically the WNBA doesn't have the same level of dominance over foreign leagues as the NBA does, but this was always true, and unlike in the men's game, we haven't seen any "best in world candidate" level talents emerge from outside the US in a long time (since Australia's Lauren Jackson, who was born in 1981).
To put another way: I think the 2023 Aces would win a Gold Medal in this Olympic tournament, so it's not a matter of the WNBA having weaker talent at the top, nor is about that top talent refusing to play for Team USA.
AEnigma wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:1988 +30.4 (Bronze, starring Majerle & Robinson, lost to Soviet team led by Sabonis & Marciulionis)
1992 +43.8 (Gold, starring Barkley & Jordan)
1996 +31.8 (Gold, starring Barkley & Robinson)
2000 +21.6 (Gold, starring Garnett & Carter)
2004 +4.6 (Bronze, starring Iverson & Duncan, lost repeatedly, but most notably to Ginobili's Argentina)
2008 +27.9 (Gold, starring Kobe & LeBron)
2012 +32.1 (Gold, starring Durant & LeBron)
2016 +22.5 (Gold, starring Durant & Kyrie)
2020 +20.0 (Gold, starring Durant & Holiday)
2024 +19.0 (Gold, starring LeBron & Curry)
Other than Kurland, Barkley's the first guy to be the best player on 2 Olympic teams, and what teams to do it with.
6. The 2004 team was just astonishingly bad. I think we'll probably be talking for many decades more about what happened there. It goes without saying that this by far the worst pro-era Team USA, and there's good reason to question whether some of the amateur teams from the deeper past (1956, 1960, 1984) would have been better.
Further, while folks lament the lack of talent on the roster, they had drastically more talent than any other team, and still went only 5-3. Fundamentally, this was team basketball not working.
7. From 2008 onward I'm not sure if there's that much to say other than to debate where to put LeBron & KD on our all-time list.
So then, guys who would be on my absolute shortlist for USA Olympic GOAT here:
- Bill Russell. The most dominant performance in the history of men's Olympic basketball. Period.
- Charles Barkley. The best international-style basketball player of "Jordan's generation" by a significant margin.
- Kevin Durant. I think he's earned the nod for the 2008-on group based both on how often he's played, and how well he's played.
I'd slide LeBron as the next guy to mention. Were I trying to make a starting 5, that 5th spot is where things start getting really debatable.
Barkley was 8th on the team in minutes in 1996 (played substantially less than Pippen and Malone). Robinson was 10th and played less than Shaq.
They were the points per game and points per minute leaders, and with Robinson I think you can lean on him being a heavier minute player in the Finals and semifinals, but Barkley was only top five in minutes twice, and neither were in the gold medal game.
Using minutes as a more direct proxy…
1988: Majerle and Charles Smith (Manning third, Robinson fifth)
1992: Jordan and Mullin (Pippen third, Barkley fifth)
1996: Pippen and Miller
2000: Carter and Garnett
2004: Iverson and Marbury (Duncan third but specifically limited in the elimination rounds)
2008: Lebron and Kobe
2012: Durant and Paul (Lebron third, and big gap after those three)
2016: Durant and Carmelo
2020/21: Durant and Jrue
2024: Lebron and Steph (Durant third)
Matches up pretty closely with your designations… except when it comes to Barkley and Robinson. Now, I am not really disputing Barkley’s perceived status on the Dream Team, nor am I really disputing Robinson’s perceived status on the 1988 team either… but in both those instances they were still playing starter minutes, and in 1996 they were not even close.
I would probably have an easier time backing Pippen looking at the 1992/96 combination than I would Barkley, between leading the 1992 team in assists (top three in minutes) and leading the 1996 team in minutes (top three in assists). And if we pretended Mullin and Miller were the same functional player, that off-ball shooting role was evidently more essential too.
Doctor MJ wrote:AEnigma wrote:Barkley was 8th on the team in minutes in 1996 (played substantially less than Pippen and Malone). Robinson was 10th and played less than Shaq.
They were the points per game and points per minute leaders, and with Robinson I think you can lean on him being a heavier minute player in the Finals and semifinals, but Barkley was only top five in minutes twice, and neither were in the gold medal game.
[Minutes per game] matches up pretty closely with your designations… except when it comes to Barkley and Robinson. Now, I am not really disputing Barkley’s perceived status on the Dream Team, nor am I really disputing Robinson’s perceived status on the 1988 team either… but in both those instances they were still playing starter minutes, and in 1996 they were not even close.
I would probably have an easier time backing Pippen looking at the 1992/96 combination than I would Barkley, between leading the 1992 team in assists (top three in minutes) and leading the 1996 team in minutes (top three in assists). And if we pretended Mullin and Miller were the same functional player, that off-ball shooting role was evidently more essential too.
Fair enough point as a category, but let's not that Barkley's was playing 18.1 MPG on a team where no one was playing more than 22.0 MPG, and none of their games were ever in real doubt. You can argue someone else deserved the MVP (Robinson makes sense) for that tournament, but I don't think you can argue that Barkley looked anything less that ultra-dominant when he played.
Re: Duncan playing less than Marbury. This is a reasonable point, though I'd note that this was really only the case because Duncan got into foul trouble. So while you could argue that Marbury was more valuable than Duncan - debatable given that I wouldn't let Marbury anywhere near the team - I think it's pretty clear that the team was built with the expectation that Duncan would be able to be a Top 2 minute guy.
AEnigma wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:AEnigma wrote:Barkley was 8th on the team in minutes in 1996 (played substantially less than Pippen and Malone). Robinson was 10th and played less than Shaq.
They were the points per game and points per minute leaders, and with Robinson I think you can lean on him being a heavier minute player in the Finals and semifinals, but Barkley was only top five in minutes twice, and neither were in the gold medal game.
[Minutes per game] matches up pretty closely with your designations… except when it comes to Barkley and Robinson. Now, I am not really disputing Barkley’s perceived status on the Dream Team, nor am I really disputing Robinson’s perceived status on the 1988 team either… but in both those instances they were still playing starter minutes, and in 1996 they were not even close.
I would probably have an easier time backing Pippen looking at the 1992/96 combination than I would Barkley, between leading the 1992 team in assists (top three in minutes) and leading the 1996 team in minutes (top three in assists). And if we pretended Mullin and Miller were the same functional player, that off-ball shooting role was evidently more essential too.
Fair enough point as a category, but let's not that Barkley's was playing 18.1 MPG on a team where no one was playing more than 22.0 MPG, and none of their games were ever in real doubt. You can argue someone else deserved the MVP (Robinson makes sense) for that tournament, but I don't think you can argue that Barkley looked anything less that ultra-dominant when he played.
Agree he was a dominant scorer, but when every other assessed team leader is top three in minutes regardless of how easily they were winning, I think it stands out that Barkley distinctly was not — without an equivalent situation as what Robinson had splitting a single position’s minutes among three similarly excellent talents.Re: Duncan playing less than Marbury. This is a reasonable point, though I'd note that this was really only the case because Duncan got into foul trouble. So while you could argue that Marbury was more valuable than Duncan - debatable given that I wouldn't let Marbury anywhere near the team - I think it's pretty clear that the team was built with the expectation that Duncan would be able to be a Top 2 minute guy.
Agree. Everyone else you listed as a leader was still top three in minutes, and Duncan deserves some degree of responsibility for his fouls (even if he is not the one controlling what referees decide to call). I wrote that out to highlight how Barkley and Robinson were demonstrable outliers in team load; even if we look at minutes per game for Barkley rather than total minutes, he caps out at fifth.
AEnigma wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:1988 +30.4 (Bronze, starring Majerle & Robinson, lost to Soviet team led by Sabonis & Marciulionis)
1992 +43.8 (Gold, starring Barkley & Jordan)
1996 +31.8 (Gold, starring Barkley & Robinson)
2000 +21.6 (Gold, starring Garnett & Carter)
2004 +4.6 (Bronze, starring Iverson & Duncan, lost repeatedly, but most notably to Ginobili's Argentina)
2008 +27.9 (Gold, starring Kobe & LeBron)
2012 +32.1 (Gold, starring Durant & LeBron)
2016 +22.5 (Gold, starring Durant & Kyrie)
2020 +20.0 (Gold, starring Durant & Holiday)
2024 +19.0 (Gold, starring LeBron & Curry)
Other than Kurland, Barkley's the first guy to be the best player on 2 Olympic teams, and what teams to do it with.
6. The 2004 team was just astonishingly bad. I think we'll probably be talking for many decades more about what happened there. It goes without saying that this by far the worst pro-era Team USA, and there's good reason to question whether some of the amateur teams from the deeper past (1956, 1960, 1984) would have been better.
Further, while folks lament the lack of talent on the roster, they had drastically more talent than any other team, and still went only 5-3. Fundamentally, this was team basketball not working.
7. From 2008 onward I'm not sure if there's that much to say other than to debate where to put LeBron & KD on our all-time list.
So then, guys who would be on my absolute shortlist for USA Olympic GOAT here:
- Bill Russell. The most dominant performance in the history of men's Olympic basketball. Period.
- Charles Barkley. The best international-style basketball player of "Jordan's generation" by a significant margin.
- Kevin Durant. I think he's earned the nod for the 2008-on group based both on how often he's played, and how well he's played.
I'd slide LeBron as the next guy to mention. Were I trying to make a starting 5, that 5th spot is where things start getting really debatable.
Barkley was 8th on the team in minutes in 1996 (played substantially less than Pippen and Malone). Robinson was 10th and played less than Shaq.
They were the points per game and points per minute leaders, and with Robinson I think you can lean on him being a heavier minute player in the Finals and semifinals, but Barkley was only top five in minutes twice, and neither were in the gold medal game.
Using minutes as a more direct proxy…
1988: Majerle and Charles Smith (Manning third, Robinson fifth)
1992: Jordan and Mullin (Pippen third, Barkley fifth)
1996: Pippen and Miller
2000: Carter and Garnett
2004: Iverson and Marbury (Duncan third but specifically limited in the elimination rounds)
2008: Lebron and Kobe
2012: Durant and Paul (Lebron third, and big gap after those three)
2016: Durant and Carmelo (Kyrie third)
2020/21: Durant and Jrue
2024: Lebron and Steph (Durant third)
Matches up pretty closely with your designations… except when it comes to Barkley and Robinson. Now, I am not really disputing Barkley’s perceived status on the Dream Team, nor am I really disputing Robinson’s perceived status on the 1988 team either… but in both those instances they were still playing starter minutes, and in 1996 they were not even close.
I would probably have an easier time backing Pippen for that 1992/96 combination than I would Barkley, between Pippen leading the 1992 team in assists (top three in minutes) and leading the 1996 team in minutes (top three in assists). And if we pretended Mullin and Miller were the same functional player, that off-ball shooting role was evidently more essential too.
Doctor MJ wrote:Quoting this post of mine from the WNBA forum:Doctor MJ wrote:Here's a breakdown of Team USA's MOV in Olympic history:
1976 -0.4 (Silver, crushed by USSR because Uljana Semjonova)
1980 n/a
1984 +32.7 (Gold)
1988 +13.8 (Gold)
1992 +29.0 (Bronze, unlucky loss to CIS, not due to CIS 3-point shooting, but worth noting Cynthia Cooper was on the team and being treated like a role player because Team USA never understood what they had in Cooper.)
1996 +28.6 (Gold)
2000 +21.8 (Gold)
2004 +23.8 (Gold)
2008 +37.6 (Gold)
2012 +34.8 (Gold)
2016 +37.3 (Gold)
2020 +19.3 (Gold)
2024 +15.7 (Gold)
Things worth noting:
1. I think people today tend to just assume that Team USA has always dominated women's basketball, but this really wasn't the case until roughly the start of the WNBA. I think the WNBA really helped here.
2. By the metric above they were at their most dominant in 2008 just barely over 2016, but I would be inclined to see the 2016 team as the best team in women's international basketball history, and it's just a question of whether they were better than the 2023 Las Vegas Aces.
3. The fall off in the 2020s for the women's team has made them less dominant than the men's again, and honestly, I don't think there's any "to be expected" reason for that. I understand that historically the WNBA doesn't have the same level of dominance over foreign leagues as the NBA does, but this was always true, and unlike in the men's game, we haven't seen any "best in world candidate" level talents emerge from outside the US in a long time (since Australia's Lauren Jackson, who was born in 1981).
To put another way: I think the 2023 Aces would win a Gold Medal in this Olympic tournament, so it's not a matter of the WNBA having weaker talent at the top, nor is about that top talent refusing to play for Team USA.
In term's GOAT, I'll make a short-list like I did with the men:
- Cheryl Miller (1984). The first cross-over women's basketball star in the US. To this day it's possible we haven't seen a more talent player, but much uncertainty there. Worth noting that in 1984 there was no 3-pointer, and Cheryl was Reggie Miller's sister. Her style of play didn't cry out for a 3 to be clear - I've tended to compare her to Barkley - but god, if she had the talent for a great 3-ball, she'd be absolutely terrifying in today's game.
- Lisa Leslie (1996-2008). The obvious choice from her era, and as noted, 2008 had the largest MOV of any team...though note that Leslie was past-peak by this point.
- Diana Taurasi (2004-2024). Has the longevity argument, and I would say was the MVP of the most impressive women's Olympic team we've ever seen (2016). I wish she hadn't been on 2024's team, but what can you do?
After that it's tricky. I think Teresa Edwards is an obvious choice given that she was a guard there from 1984 to 2000. The downside there for me is that I think Team USA thinking they should focus on Edwards (and Katrina McClain) rather than Cynthia Cooper was an incredibly huge misjudgment of talent and relates to why they didn't win Gold in 1992.
So I'll give the nod to Sue Bird, who was an invaluable player on many teams without really any drawbacks. I would even argue her decision to retire after 2020 rather than continue to 2024 is an argument for her over Taurasi.
5th spot, I'll go with Breanna Stewart. She and A'ja Wilson have defined the team the last two iterations while also being seen as the clear cut 2 best players in the world. Makes sense to consider them both. The downside? Well, I think Team USA has underperformed in each of the last two Olympics, particularly this one. They should be dominating more than the men are, and they're not despite the fact that there hasn't really been an emergence of superstar talents outside of the Americans among the women the way they haven in the men's game.
Red Robot wrote:Yeah, the case for Durant is pretty clear cut.
The list of NBA players with multiple appearances is short. Only four players have participated more than twice. Most of the players with two appearances were on the '92 and/or '96 teams that were so uncompetitive that it's hard to even say who was good.
So of those four players:
Durant
Carmelo
Robinson
LeBron
All were great in international play with good all-around games. But Durant was always the leading scorer, by a big margin, on great efficiency.