penbeast0 wrote:Iverson was the modern equivalent of Pete Maravich. A flashy, fun to watch, low efficiency but low turnover gunner who probably hurt his team as much as he helped it, maybe more. He had the talent to be more but was encouraged and chose to be the player he was. Better than Maravich, but nowhere near a legit MVP or tier 1 super star. Ever.
Once again I find myself in unusual position of rising to Iverson's defense on this forum (unusual because I was not/am not a fan).
But I'm going to push back against a fair bit of the above post. Let's start with the comments I've colour-highlighted.....
They are basically contradicting each other, no? He's the "equivalent"......except that he's "better" (thus: NOT equivalent).
It's as though you recognized that the first comment---which was the first thing that jumped out at me, and which I was going to argue vehemently against---was not at all accurate, and thus pulled back from it by adding the second comment (though this begs the question, why leave the first one in at all?).
There are a number of reasons why Maravich is not a great comparison to him, and one of them relates directly to the sentence
in between the two red-highlighted lines:
penbeast0 wrote:....who probably hurt his team as much as he helped it, maybe more.
^^^This is not a true statement for Iverson.
I've demonstrated repeatedly in Top 100 Projects that Iverson (despite this narrative that exists on this forum) DID, in fact, have positive impact, and often somewhat substantially so. I realize the knee-jerk
overcorrection may be in response to his perception in casual fan circles--->which you even allude to in your last line. You're right there, btw: he never was a legit MVP. His level of impact consistently falls well short of that mark.
But that's a far cry from claiming he "hurts his team as much as he helps it, maybe more".
Looking at his PI RAPM (except '01, which is NPI), for example.....
He has only TWO sub-zero RAPMs (in 14 full or partial seasons); those two negatives were his rookie year and his final [partial] season.
He's got three seasons that were >+2 (one of them >+3), plus another couple years at +1.7 or better. Bear in mind he's often leading or nearly leading the league in mpg most of these years too. A +2.0 RAPM in 42-43 mpg is generally doing more good for your team [on a per
game basis] than someone who is +3.0 in 27-28 mpg, or better than someone who is +2.5 in 33 mpg.
And for as much as his low efficiency gunning supposedly MUST be hurting his team's offense, this isn't demonstrated in the data (like, really
at all).
His ORAPM is a positive for eleven consecutive years from '98-'08 (never lower than +0.9, in fact). He was top-10 in the league in ORAPM twice, top 16 four times, top 30 in the league seven times (that's most of his career; and was 33rd another year).
I've multiple times cited extensive WOWY data on Iverson. Looking his prime years of '99-'02 and '05-'06 (excluding '03 because he didn't miss any games, and '04 because it was an injury year where his metrics and impact signals were down [still hardly cherry-picking, as we're looking at SIX years, collectively):
They had a 232-164 [.586] record with him, and were 25-39 [.391] without him. That's an AVERAGE of +16 wins added to a full 82-game season. The average boost to their SRS was about +5. Additionally.....
The team averaged about +8 ppg with him, vs without him.
The team averaged about +1.5% TS with him, vs without him.
The team averaged more than a +3 boost to their ORtg with him, vs without him.
^^^All of his in spite of his detrimental "gunning".
Looking at his raw (game-to-game) WOWY over several seasons, his impact looks fairly close to contemporary Kevin Johnson (which is to say: really good). Comparing to some other guys I've run from slightly earlier era, it looks comparable to Isiah Thomas, and notably
better than Sidney Moncrief (though Moncrief has to lift from a higher baseline, having generally better teams around him in his prime).
With Maravich, on the other hand, we have almost NONE of these kinds of positive signals. He appears to hover just above or below neutral impact throughout his career. Even by Ben Taylor's WOWYR (which I've been skeptical of, but will nonetheless show for sake of completeness) shows a small, but clear, separation between the two of them: Iverson with a prime WOWYR of +1.7, Maravich with a +0.4.
That difference might not be coming entirely on the offensive end, either. Although Iverson was not a "good" defender, he did at least generate turnovers (if by gambling sometimes). And at any rate, we're comparing him to Maravich, who, at least in the early career games I've watched he looks like possibly the
single-worst defensive player I have ever seen.
We can discuss exactly what Iverson brings to the table besides his "chucking" that could possibly account for notable positive impact, but I don't want to derail any further.
Point being: Maravich is not at all a fair or accurate comparison for him.