SHAQ32 wrote:You could go Antonio McDyess over KG for '98. Comparable regular season production.
Hmm.....I'm not really seeing that. McDyess had notably better shooting efficiency, but otherwise it looks pretty solidly in KG's favour:
Per game:
KG: 18.5 ppg @ 52.7% TS/9.6 rpg/4.2 apg/1.7 spg/1.8 bpg/2.3 topg [7.76% mTOV%]/2.7 fpg
AM: 15.1 PPG @ 57.1% TS/7.6 rpg/1.3 apg/1.2 spg/1.7 bpg/1.8 topg [9.56% mTOV%]/3.6 fpg
To summarize: KG is providing +3.4 pts, +2.0 reb, +2.9 ast......and all at the cost of just +0.5 tov [significantly better overall economy] and -0.9 FEWER fouls.
McDyess has the edge in shooting efficiency [which translates to around +0.6 pts value added per game, basically] as the only thing to off-set these sizable edges. Doesn't feel too close to me.
Advanced and impact metricsKG: 20.4 PER, .143 WS/48, +4.2 BPM, +5.63 PI RAPM [+2.55 NPI]
AM: 20.3 PER, .185 WS/48, +2.1 BPM, -0.36 PI RAPM [+0.47 NPI]
The per-miunute box-based metrics make them look somewhat comparable,
until we consider that this is in 30.1 mpg for McDyess, but in
39.3 mpg for Garnett.
And then the [non-box] impact signals are not remotely close.
SHAQ32 wrote:Comparable postseason play too but McDyess should get the nod going up vs Duncan & Robinson.
I can live with this statement (KG did have a slumped performance), though we're talking about 4 and 5-game samples, respectively. We're also only referring to the box-based indicators (the RAPM's above include [heavier-weighted] playoff signals, fwiw).
But again: comparable [one series] playoff runs, but with the rs not being close at all, imo.
idk, I'm willing to consider that I underrated McDyess for this year, but I see him as merely a higher end role player whereas I view KG as a fringe top-10 player in the league (I had Antonio at #47 for this year).