I think it's that Payton's Drtg, DRAPM, and similar measures that elevate Jason Kidd have never matched up to Payton's reputation with Nate McMillan actually coming out higher in those kind of measures
Correct.
Which is why plus/minus numbers are totally unreliable, despite what's it's authors/creators profess.
Plus/minus only compares a player's numbers
to his teammates, and not anyone else in the league. So if your backup is just as good a defender as you are, or better, the numbers are
not going to show that
both players were great on defense.
The 6 seasons McMillan was Payton's primary backup Payton was all-defensive 1st team 3 of those seasons. But where Payton had a high per minute steal rate those 6 seasons, McMillan had
the highest in the league (and a better defensive rebounder and shot blocker than Payton). Both were excellent defenders (McMillan was all-defensive 2nd team twice during those 6 seasons).
But here we are some 3 decades after they actually played with someone who never watched either play when they actually did in fact play trying to tell the world Payton was not a great defender because their mathematical concoction says so. And when you point that out to them, they don't say well in this case the concoction is wrong - no, they
insist this player they never saw play was not good on defense. Or, as in this case, not as good a defender as another good defender on another team but
who's backup was a poor or not very good defender.
And as mentioned in other threads, DRtg, PER, Win Shares, VORP, and any number of these other so called "advanced" analytical measures do
not account for individual player shot defense. Never have.
but it was a surprise when I first had it pointed out to me.
A surprise to you because you know Payton was a great defender and those measures were clearly BS, or a surprise to you because you thought oh those measures must be right and everyone who voted Payton to multiple all-defensive 1st teams must be wrong?
The above, not eye factor or anything else, is the main argument for Kidd's defensive impact.
Kidd's defensive impact? Not his team's defensive impact?
Ok.
From 1997-98 to 2000-01, Phoenix as a team was 4th best in the league defensively at 99.3 pts/100poss allowed (Kidd lead the team in minutes played). Only San Antonio, New York, and Miami were better defensively.
From 2001-02 to 2006-07 New Jersey as a team was 3rd best in the league defensively at 100.3 pts/100poss allowed (Kidd lead the team in minutes played). Only San Antonio and Detroit were better.
But from 1992-93 to 1999-00 Seattle as a team was 4th best in the league defensively at 102.5 pts/100poss allowed (Payton lead the team in minutes played). Only New York, Portland, and Chicago were better. 4th best - yet that Seattle team ranked just 14th in lowest 2pt FG% allowed (47.6%), just 8th in lowest 3pt FG% allowed, and ranked only 18th in highest defensive rebounding percentage (68.3%) all that time.
Then how did they rank 4th best defensively? Because they ranked 1st in steals (11.1 st/g), and 1st in opponent turnovers forced (18.7 to/g). Those 8 seasons Payton had 1444 steals, no other Sonics player had even half that many. That's 22% of the team's total steals over all that time.
So what does this say about Payton's defensive impact?