Al Thornton: Future star, or 'veteran rookie'?
Posted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 5:02 am
This thread isn't to denigrate Thornton; he has played well this season, and the praise for his game is certainly deserved. However, I do wonder whether those suggesting him as a future star are missing one variable: his age.
Thornton is a beast, but at age 24, shouldn't he be much more impressive than his 18-21 year old counterparts? 12.7/4.5 on a TS% of .505 is solid as a rookie, but loses some of its lustre when one considers that he is older than six All-Stars this year (and four-fifths of the Eastern Conference starting line-up).
I ask because it is very difficult to find an easy comparison; there are virtually no players who have come through the college ranks, made their debuts so late, and went on the stardom. Only Dikembe Mutombo and David Robinson fit the bill, and both entered the league fully formed. Of course, the reverse is true; no college player save those two has entered and made such an immediate impact, nor showed the same kind of potential. Looking over the numbers, Brent Barry (another Clipper, coincidentally) is the closest comparator in terms of rookie success for a 24 year old.
So...is Al Thornton a late-bloomer who should be judged as an outstanding rookie and likely star, or just a physically mature 24 year old who is more likely to plateau than ascend?
Thornton is a beast, but at age 24, shouldn't he be much more impressive than his 18-21 year old counterparts? 12.7/4.5 on a TS% of .505 is solid as a rookie, but loses some of its lustre when one considers that he is older than six All-Stars this year (and four-fifths of the Eastern Conference starting line-up).
I ask because it is very difficult to find an easy comparison; there are virtually no players who have come through the college ranks, made their debuts so late, and went on the stardom. Only Dikembe Mutombo and David Robinson fit the bill, and both entered the league fully formed. Of course, the reverse is true; no college player save those two has entered and made such an immediate impact, nor showed the same kind of potential. Looking over the numbers, Brent Barry (another Clipper, coincidentally) is the closest comparator in terms of rookie success for a 24 year old.
So...is Al Thornton a late-bloomer who should be judged as an outstanding rookie and likely star, or just a physically mature 24 year old who is more likely to plateau than ascend?