First of all, penbeast0, I wish you good luck. Hopefully, the winner of this Florida Bowl can bring home the O'Brien Trophy!!!
Miami vs. Orlando
Heat Roster
PG: Johnson/Harper
SG: Wade/Harper
SF: James
PF: McAdoo/Nance
C: Mutombo/Sikma
Magic Roster
PG: Kidd/DJ
SG: DJ/Dantley
SF: McGrady
PF: Nowitzki/Roundfield
C: Russell/Rollins
Johnson vs. Kidd
Both players are great passers with high basketball IQ and great assist/TO ratio. Kidd is a superior defender but Magic is a much better consistent scorer.
Advantage: Heat
Wade vs. DJ
Both players are similar in size but DJ is quicker with D-Wade being more stronger and more explosive. However, I can't deny Wade's ability to lead the Heat to a championship.
Advantage: Heat
James vs. McGrady
We're looking at a 5-year prime McGrady (starting from 00' season - 05' playoffs). Pen's argument is not lucid because his numbers include McGrady's CAREER number against LeBron and not just numbers during McGrady's prime. For the relevance of this matchup, one must compare the H2H matchups that took place between 03'-05'. I have seen most of these games, and I saw that McGrady and James did guard one another (played 5 games against each other but in one of them LeBron left scoring only 3 points in 17 minutes).
H2H matchup (03'-05')
James: 24.8 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 5.0 apg, 1.5 spg, 1.0 bpg, 4.5 topg, 43% FG, 41% 3PT, 73% FT
T-Mac: 35.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 6.5 apg, 2.0 spg, 0.3 bpg, 1.8 topg, .48% FG, 47% 3PT, 79% FT
While I think if today's LeBron went against T-Mac of 02'-03', the gap could be closer, but numbers have shown that prime McGrady doesn't fear LeBron and had played well against him.
As you can see McGrady destroyed LeBron in almost all aspects of the game. On the other hand, D-Wade has never guarded Prime McGrady. At least during that span, it's been Odom, Eddie Jones, or Caron Butler.
Advantage: McGrady
McAdoo vs. Nowitzki
As former MVPs, both players are terrific scorers with great outside shooting. However, Nowitzki is a considerably better ball-handler and a passer. Plus, while McAdoo averaged over 2 blocks in his prime, overall he didn't have a reputation as a defender.
NBA.com wrote:Extremely sensitive to criticism, especially about his perceived lack of defensive skills, McAdoo's withdrawn manner won him few friends in the media or in Buffalo.
McAdoo was criticized for his defensive efforts. But then again, despite his criticism, I don't think McAdoo was a poor defender. I just don't think he was great defensively.
Dirk is perhaps one of the worst defenders entering this league. Perhaps many of you guys remember when Dirk was called "Irk," because he played no D.

However, the Dirk Nowitzki on my team is the one of the 03'-08' season and his early criticism is irrelevant to this discussion. Under Avery Johnson, his defense has improved significantly (especially his man-to-man defense) averaging 13.32 defensive win shares per season; not a great number but still respectable. I think Dirk and McAdoo was comparable defenders.
Plus, what I really like about Dirk is that he is extremely efficient without the ball, i.e.: he's a great catch and shooter. I also like Dirk's 3-point shooting in this matchup.
Indeed this is an intriguing matchup, while McAdoo is more of a dominant scorer, Nowitzki has proven that he is effective off-ball which doesn't interfere with the roles of his teammates. These two should off-set each other.
Advantage: Push
Mutombo vs. RussellAgree with everything penbeast0 said. I think both he and I agree that Russell has the edge with his better man-to-man defense and passing.
Prime Russell has very few flaws. And when it comes to playoffs, the man had elevated in every aspect of the game: shooting %, FT%, ppg, rpg, apg, you name it. Moreover, his intangibles as a player can't be matched by anyone on the Heat's roster.
Advantage: Magic
Heat Bench vs. Magic BenchIf you are looking at talent and scorers as a whole, you will say that Miami has an edge. While Dantley is the best scorer off the bench (Roundfield will also see some action) in this series, but Miami has Sikma, Nance, and Harper (also reserves, Dandrige and Daniels), who are all great scorers. If you're looking at offense only, his bench kills mine.
However, my team is composed of role players who can impact the game without scoring: defense and ball movement. I also think my bench's defense is better than pen's. I am not saying that his bench plays poor defense, but I think mine's better. Overall, if you emphasis is defense and having players with well-defined roles, I'd say my bench is more favorable.
With regards to my team's defense. I want to expand on Rollins. I think Rollins was one of the most underrated defenders of all-time; maybe he wasn't well-recognized, because he didn't play a lot of minutes. I guess that makes him an ideal defensive anchor off the bench. Rollins had size and was a good rebounder and shotblocker; he finished top 3 in blocked shots 6 times. At the time of his retirement, he was fourth all-time in career blocked shots (behind Hakeem, KAJ, and Eaton). Sikma is one of the most cerebral players in the league who also grabs a lot of boards and plays great defense, but I think Rollins is slightly better defensively based on per minute production (which is important because usually bench players don't see a lot of minutes).
Nance has significant height advantage and is the better shotblocker. Roundfield in my opinion is a better rebounder than Nance as indicated by total rebounding rate % during their primes.
Battier will see limited playing time as a defender and a spot-up shooter.
Dantley is my main scoring threat off the bench and he is the best non-starting scorer in this series. His only purpose is to expose mismatch in the low post and provide efficient scoring off the bench. People see him as a mere post player which is false. In fact, he is an excellent open court player, a greater outside shooter and a terrific slasher to the basket. An outstanding scorer all-around, with 54% FG.
His mental approach to the game was very strong and his will to dominate on offense cannot be fathomed or put into words. In this series, I think he's an ideal explosive scorer off the bench.
NBA.com wrote:On the court, the athletic Dantley was as smooth an outside shooter as could be, a force on the inside with an explosive first step, and a master of psychology. Sometimes he intentionally allowed his first shot of the game to be blocked, and then, for the rest of the night, he used his patented head fake to burn his defender.
Dantley will NOT slow down my team's offense. Moreover, the Utah team that he played in was one of the fasterst teams in the league. Consider the pace factor of 81' - 85' Jazz.
80'-81' Jazz: 97.7 (23rd of 23)
81'-82' Jazz: 103.9 (3rd of 23)
82'-83' Jazz: 107.3 (2nd of 23)
83'-84' Jazz: 104.9 (3rd of 23)
84'-85' Jazz: 105.1 (2nd of 23)
And finally, Mookie will see limited playing time in this series. If he sees minutes, he'll be used to bring up the ball and initiate fast breaks. On the other end of the court, he's also a good defender.
Advantage: Push, but I like mine better.
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Pen has built an awesome team with a lot of players that I like: Magic, Wade, Sikma, Mutombo, and Harper. However, I do have a concern main and it's not about ego's colliding and an emergence of a headcase; I personally believe there aren't enough balls in his system.
I think Miami has too starters that dominates the ball, especially with guys like Wade, LeBron and McAdoo. Of course, for players who dominate the ball, high usage rate equates to high number of turnovers.
Usage Rate (considering players over 25%)
Miami Heat Starters
Dwyane Wade: 31.2
LeBron James: 31.2
Bob McAdoo: 25.8
Orlando Magic Starters
Tracy McGrady: 30.8
Dirk Nowitzki: 26.4
As you can see, as talented as they are, 3 of Miami's starters have high usage rate. My team only has two, and they are my main offensive tools.
Maybe a team can get away with having many high usage players. But now, let's consider the turnovers.
Turnovers
Miami Heat Starters
Dwyane Wade: 3.9
LeBron James: 3.3
Bob McAdoo: ? (TOs weren't measure prior to 78'-79' season, but McAdoo averaged 4.1 turnovers per game during 77' - 80'. Considering that his prime was in 74'-78', I assume it was higher.)
Orlando Magic Starters
Tracy McGrady: 2.6
Dirk Nowitzki: 2.0
Again, among Miami's starters who have a usage rate of over 25%, they also have a considerably higher number of turnovers per game.
While McGrady and Nowitzki have high usage rate %, their turnovers are considerably lower. That's because they can come off screens and perform as catch-and-shooters. While McGrady and Dirk both dominate the ball, there is a subtle difference and it's not to the same extend as to Wade and James whose TO numbers indicate that their biggest strength is shown when they possess the basketball in their hands.
With Magic being their primary ball-handler, I think having players like McAdoo, Wade, and LeBron makes the team appear "too crowded". It is often the case that having too many high usage players... - there aren't enough balls to go around the roster. More things can be said about Miami's bench, where almost every player takes at least 14 FGA and has a usage rate of 20.
I think pen's team looks best on paper in this competition with a wide variety of talented players. However, I honestly believe my team is more well-rounded, and gives a more balanced production on the court. My team offers more defense, more range that leads to better spacing, more defined-roles, and our center, Russell, is the glue guy that holds the entity of this team.