Warspite wrote: Did some research and according to the Hof website nominations fall into 4 commitees
1. North American Men
2. Women
3. Int players
4. Vets (over 35 yrs ago)
you need 5-7 votes in one of the last 3 categories and 7-9 votes for NA men.
According to there own rules Manu and Pierce dont compete against each other or against similar peers. Pierce will be competeing against American and Canadian players while Manu will be competeing against Int players. Its alot easier to beat out Barbossa, Nene, Okur and Peja than it is to beat out Duncan, Nash, Kobe, and Gilmore.
Of the nominated players in categories 1,2,4 there can only be 10 total nominated (ex WNBA GOAT candidate can bump a NBA HoF nominated player) Of the Int men a max of 2 can recieve HoF induction (I expect this rule to change over time). So for Manu not make the HoF there has to be 2 players/coaches with better careers than him for 35 yrs (assuming the rules are not altered) If the limit is rasied from 2 to 4 players like Scolla, Nene, Fernandez, both Gasols, AK47 and yes even Darko seem to be pretty close to locks for enshrinement. IMHO its pretty much a lock that the best Int player drafted every yr will make the HoF. I doubt very much there is 1 HoF American in every 2 or 3 draft classes on avg.
Well first off, there's a big difference between putting guys in different zones of competition and saying "FIBA > NBA".
Beyond that we'll just see what happens. Right now, the vast majority of HOF male players are Americans, so claims that there are going to be more international players in the Hall than American guys don't seem to have any merit.
As far as doubting that there's 1 American HOF per every 2/3 draft classes, well there are certainly a hell of a lot more NBAers making it than that from drafts in the 80s. Off the top of my head there's Isiah, Nique, Worthy, Jordan, Hakeem, Barkley, Stockton, Ewing, Malone, Robinson and Pippen. That's more than 3 times the amount the amount you're think is likely. So again, if the future resembles what you speak of, it won't be based off of any precedent we've been seeing over recent years.