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The case AGAINST keeping Millsap

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Is it time to move Millsap?

Poll ended at Sat Jan 21, 2017 7:47 pm

Do it now for whatever we can get of value
23
55%
Wait until the trade deadline gets closer
15
36%
Not just yet
0
No votes
No way should we even consider trading our best player
4
10%
 
Total votes: 42

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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#201 » by Jamaaliver » Tue Jan 10, 2017 12:14 pm

Adnan,

Know that the majority of us hear what you're saying and respect the perspective.

Big picture, Hawks have had lots of options regarding Millsap. They've chosen the safe path -- staying the course yet again.

Let's see how it goes from here.

Paul Millsap will not be traded. The Hawks’ all-star power forward has been taken off the trading block, according to several people familiar with the situation.

The Hawks recently began to look at ways to change the roster after a 16-16 start to the season. They had discussions with teams about several players, including Millsap, Kyle Korver, Thabo Sefolosha and Tim Hardaway Jr.

The Hawks took a “long, hard look” at trading Millsap but ultimately decided he is too valuable to the franchise and they want to keep him, according to one person familiar with change of decision. The new mandate may have come from Hawks ownership.

At first, the organization was simply doing its due diligence and seeing what the market would yield for Millsap. However, after further internal discussions, a decision was made to seriously consider offers before the NBA trade deadline of Feb. 23.
Here



I just hope we don't lose in the 2nd Round to the Cavs again...
Or to the Pacers in the First Round again...
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The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#202 » by ATL Boy » Tue Jan 10, 2017 12:27 pm

MaceCase wrote:
ATL Boy wrote:This team is not in a better position right now having stood pat with Millsap, letting Horford walk and paying Bazemore $70 million when (so far) the production has not been there rather than getting a couple of young pieces for Millsap, paying Horford, and not signing Bazemore to that contract. While we lose Millsap, like you said, we still would have kept Horford.
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Wishing,

and hoping,

and praying.

You are presenting your ideal scenario even if it flies in the face of all the facts and logic that occurred over the summer with cherry picked revisionist history.

1) Al Horford did not leave the Atlanta Hawks over money. This is revisionist history part 1. If you hear him tell it "Boston gave him the best chance at a championship" over playing with both Millsap and Dwight or whatever package could have been coupled together for Millsap. If an All Star frontcourt or an All Star Center with young players didn't make Al budge then certainly Oladipo, Sabonis (whom the Hawks surely would have selected as well as being as that's who their target at 12 was) and Ilyasova wouldn't have. You hear his family tell it, Atlanta sucks.

The money was a ruse, you do not get offered 20 million more than any other team to be secure through the age of 35 where you are heavily unlikely to recoup that money and then quibble over 6 million.

2) Revisionist history part 2 is your belief that Kent Bazemore had any factor in the Hawks refusal to go all in in a full max offer for Horford. It didn't, but if it did then certainly you would have to accept that, following that logic, trading for a player seeking a full max himself but in hindsight ending up with 85 million would have drastically impacted any max offer made to Horford. Read this as: the Hawks would have been even less likely to offer Horf his money.

3) Revisionist history part 3, the decision to resign Bazemore, a G-F who started at SF is highly unlikely to have been impacted by the arrival of Oladipo, a combo guard. Having Sabonis in tow and a new roster crunch of having 3 incoming players for 1 I'd say there's a good chance the Hawks even change their draft plans, perhaps trade one if not both of the 12 and 21 picks, right? Because if you're intention is bringing back Horford and going out for a Dwight you'd feel comfortable selling them on a roster with three rookies and two 4th year players to go along with Korver and Thabo as the vets, right? Read this as: why are you so confident Horford would have resigned to a rebuilding roster or Dwight for that matter?

4) If you feel sick paying a guy 70 million after a season of 13.4 PER, TS% of 55% and WS/48 of .94 then you should feel especially sick knowing that a guy having a season of 13.5 PER, TS% of 54% and WS/48 of .84 is due 85 million. Oladipo is not very good, he's a ball dominant combo that was allowed to chuck away on a lotto team but has struggled to make an impact beyond being a role player next to a superior ball dominant scoring point guard. That sounds a lot similar to Dennis, doesn't it? Age be damned, Oladipo has to reconstruct his game if the expectation is some star impact. Bazemore may have regressed considerably as a role player but Oladipo is developing into a highly overpaid one.

But if age is such a factor, Look at this

http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&hint=Victor+Oladipo&player_id1_select=Victor+Oladipo&y1=2017&player_id1=oladivi01&hint=Tim+Hardaway&player_id2_select=Tim+Hardaway&y2=2017&player_id2=hardati02

I don't know what people are seeing, they killed trading the 15th pick for Hardaway but have been dying to move Teague and now Millsap for the same version of a player. This is why I take opinions on "value" and the team "being in a better position" with a grain of salt.

How is my "ideal scenario" flying in the face of facts and logic when it was literally reported that $6 million was indeed what separated the two sides. Woj literally tweeted out that Boston and Washington were "falling back" on the Horford front because of how close he was to signing with Atlanta. You can continue to claim "revisionist history" all you want but it doesn't change the facts.

The Hawks didn't have bird rights on Bazemore and had to sign him using outright cap space. That definitely played a part on the Horford front and isn't the same as being able to go over the salary cap to re-sign Oladipo with bird rights.

I don't get this narrative everyone's pushing that Horford chose not to re-sign because of Dwight, I guess fabricated drama makes for a better story. The truth is that the Hawks had the ability to offer Horford the most money, had they done so Horford would still be a Hawk (see the first point of my post again).

I also don't know why you're comparing Oladipo to Hardaway when the argument was against Bazemore instead. And yes I do take age as important factor because being 24 and just entering one's prime is not the same as being 27 and in the middle of said prime.

Either way, we've derailed this thread enough. You can continue to make your little points but I'm done with this conversation. Just don't take too many posts to make those points because I'd like for this thread to get back on track.


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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#203 » by MaceCase » Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:09 pm

ATL Boy wrote:How is my "ideal scenario" flying in the face of facts and logic when it was literally reported that $6 million was indeed what separated the two sides. Woj literally tweeted out that Boston and Washington were "falling back" on the Horford front because of how close he was to signing with Atlanta. You can continue to claim "revisionist history" all you want but it doesn't change the facts.

Horford literally said Boston gave him the best chance for a championship and his family literally blamed Atlanta and its fans.

The Hawks didn't have bird rights on Bazemore and had to sign him using outright cap space. That definitely played a part on the Horford front and isn't the same as being able to go over the salary cap to re-sign Oladipo with bird rights.

That literally did not play a part with anything given that Bazemore and no one for that matter was literally signed to anything. The Hawks could have literally just dumped Splitter and not picked up Scott's option to literally fit Horford's cap hold and go beyond the cap to resign him.

I don't get this narrative everyone's pushing that Horford chose not to re-sign because of Dwight, I guess fabricated drama makes for a better story. The truth is that the Hawks had the ability to offer Horford the most money, had they done so Horford would still be a Hawk (see the first point of my post again).

*looks around to see where I mentioned Horford didn't re-sign because of Dwight.....sees nothing* You're the one fabricating that drama although that too was literally reported as well (but Horford literally denied it). Horford in a recent interview literally said he's not a Center. Horford was literally offered the most money by any team, certainly more than Boston and turned it down. The Hawks are not beholden to grossly overpay players anymore see: Johnson, Joe and Al was not strictly motivated by money.

I also don't know why you're comparing Oladipo to Hardaway when the argument was against Bazemore instead. And yes I do take age as important factor because being 24 and just entering one's prime is not the same as being 27 and in the middle of said prime.


I touched tremendously on Bazemore. In great detail, actually. If you want to overlook that and focus on the one snippet on Hardaway, sure. He was just there as an addendum to further prove that Oladipo.....ain't worth much especially given that he was literally traded with a lotto pick just to get Serge Ibaka after all.

Either way, we've derailed this thread enough. You can continue to make your little points but I'm done with this conversation. Just don't take too many posts to make those points because I'd like for this thread to get back on track.

Yes, I'd like to get back to Millsap and have people stop pretending that Oladipo is this great get all so that the sacred cow Horford could have hypothetically returned.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#204 » by PandaKidd » Tue Jan 10, 2017 3:12 pm

Yes, I'd like to get back to Millsap and have people stop pretending that Oladipo is this great get all so that the sacred cow Horford could have hypothetically returned.


I think you grossly are making an overblown assumption that i believe Horford to be a "sacred cow". I was merely commenting on how it could have looked had we traded Millsap for the same package that OKC got, and if we still could have signed Horford (who is younger) and Dwight.

I dont really care that Horford left, and I wasnt interested in paying him that contract either. I was merely stating we COULD have gotten something for 31 year old Millsap that was a 24 year old 17ppg scorer who is only 24
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#205 » by MaceCase » Tue Jan 10, 2017 3:29 pm

PandaKidd wrote:
Yes, I'd like to get back to Millsap and have people stop pretending that Oladipo is this great get all so that the sacred cow Horford could have hypothetically returned.


I think you grossly are making an overblown assumption that i believe Horford to be a "sacred cow". I was merely commenting on how it could have looked had we traded Millsap for the same package that OKC got, and if we still could have signed Horford (who is younger) and Dwight.

I dont really care that Horford left, and I wasnt interested in paying him that contract either. I was merely stating we COULD have gotten something for 31 year old Millsap that was a 24 year old 17ppg scorer who is only 24

And I think you are grossly making an overblown assumption that I addressed that directly at you specifically. The Hawks could have had Horford either way, he chose to go to Boston. The league is populated with plenty of players that could average 17ppg if they were given the minutes or attempts, that isn't something special.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#206 » by Jamaaliver » Tue Jan 10, 2017 4:29 pm

The league is populated with plenty of players that could average 17ppg if they were given the minutes or attempts, that isn't something special.



Then why the heck would we even consider keeping Millsap and paying him $25+ million to avg 17 ppg for another season as a Hawk?

Do you guys think we are going all-in for the rest of this season and then allowing Paul to walk away this summer for one of the many other players that could score in that range?
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#207 » by MaceCase » Tue Jan 10, 2017 4:51 pm

Jamaaliver wrote:
The league is populated with plenty of players that could average 17ppg if they were given the minutes or attempts, that isn't something special.



Then why the heck would we even consider keeping Millsap and paying him $25+ million to avg 17 ppg for another season as a Hawk?

Do you guys think we are going all-in for the rest of this season and then allowing Paul to walk away this summer for one of the many other players that could score in that range?

He does a tad bit more than that but obtuse and facetious post for the win!
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#208 » by Geaux_Hawks » Tue Jan 10, 2017 6:24 pm

Jamaaliver wrote:
The league is populated with plenty of players that could average 17ppg if they were given the minutes or attempts, that isn't something special.



Then why the heck would we even consider keeping Millsap and paying him $25+ million to avg 17 ppg for another season as a Hawk?

Do you guys think we are going all-in for the rest of this season and then allowing Paul to walk away this summer for one of the many other players that could score in that range?


Other than possibly not having an actual GM controlling roster moves, I think the issue and mindset is that we're not getting the pieces we want back for Sap.

Obviously a worthwhile pick is in any discussion, but I would think we could overlook having a high enough pick if we got back a quality player/prospect to essentially off-set the loss of Milsap. Looking at the teams in the mix for Sap, only Denver really gives us that, but who knows what players we are asking for from them or what they are even willing to part with.

Having signed Howard recently, the goal is to definitely stay competitive. So that means a trade of Sap would be for a quick re-tool seeing as we traded KK. If we can't do that, we may just see what we have already and hope for improvements internally to push what may be a stronger frontcourt over the top if we don't buy before the deadline.

Why lose him for nothing if we don't pay him what he wants? Well, who knows.... We might find a way to dump Baze, extend THJ thinking he is a guy that can average 17+ PPG, assume Dennis will progress even more, and re-sign Sap anyway hoping he is still a quality two way player for 2-3 more years.

That's considering the fact that we may look to fill his void through a trade not involving him, or use Moose to take his spot since he can space the floor better for Dwight. There's a **** ton of questions that need to be answered at the end of the day.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#209 » by Jamaaliver » Tue Jan 10, 2017 6:31 pm

Geaux_Hawks wrote:
Jamaaliver wrote:
The league is populated with plenty of players that could average 17ppg if they were given the minutes or attempts, that isn't something special.



Then why the heck would we even consider keeping Millsap and paying him $25+ million to avg 17 ppg for another season as a Hawk?

Do you guys think we are going all-in for the rest of this season and then allowing Paul to walk away this summer for one of the many other players that could score in that range?


Other than possibly not having an actual GM controlling roster moves, I think the issue and mindset is that we're not getting the pieces we want back for Sap.

Having signed Howard recently, the goal is to definitely stay competitive.

There's a **** ton of questions that need to be answered at the end of the day.



Thanks for a thoughtful, well written response, man.

All very good points.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#210 » by PandaKidd » Tue Jan 10, 2017 9:27 pm

I dont think this front office has any clue what they are doing:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2685665-tim-hardaway-jr-trade-rumors-latest-news-speculation-surrounding-hawks-guard?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=programming-national

According to ESPN's Zach Lowe on his podcast, The Lowe Post, the Hawks are "already shopping" Hardaway for a second-round draft pick because "they don't want to pay him."

The 24-year-old is owed $3.3 million with a $5.7 million cap hit next season before he becomes a restricted free agent, per Spotrac.

Now in his fourth year in the league and his second with the Hawks, Hardaway is averaging 11.4 points in 22.1 minutes per game with a 44.4 field-goal percentage.


So now they want to trade THJ ? :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#211 » by xccelerate » Wed Jan 11, 2017 12:15 am

Chris Vivlamore on Twitter-

A coy Paul Millsap would not reveal exactly who told him he would not be traded. Did say he had many conversations with Bud.
Paul Millsap on team exploring trades: "I’m not mad for that."
Paul Millsap on saying his heart was in Atlanta: "I meant what I said.”
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#212 » by D21 » Wed Jan 11, 2017 1:36 am

MaceCase wrote:
D21 wrote:
MaceCase wrote:The Hawks had the ability to resign Al regardless and he scoffed, or did we forget that lil detail?


No Mace, once Bazemore had this contract, (and Howard), it was leaving room than Horford's cap hold, so it was impossible to re-sign him unless they traded away something. But it was enough with Splitter and cutting Mike Scott for example.
The problem is that once the other teams knew that, they were asking for a Millsap trade and certainly not Splitter.

They made this situation themselves, and after drafting two wings, the last thing to make was the re-sign Bazemore so fast.

Yes, they were negotiating with Horford, offering 135M while he wanted 141M to get the same annual salary than the BOS offer, but even if agreed for 135 or ATL pushed it to 141, they were not able to sign him without freeing room first, and I supposed that the waiting period, and eventually the impossibility, made Horford agreeing the BOS offer before they choose to sign another player than him.

So you're saying it was an entire farce that they negotiated with Al? No, they had the capability to resign him because all it required was a small trade. Teams do not collectively band together and say "oh we gotta force you to give us your best assets", no they look out for their own interests. No team is going from netting a conditional 1st rounder for being offered Splitter to saying they demand Sap, that type of escalation simply doesn't occur and if they did they'd feel incredibly stupid once four other teams jump on that 1st rounder while they postured.


There are two separate things :

- the offer they were ready to make to Horford, and when it was 135M instead of 141M asking by Horford, or even more, it was a financial choice (and we agree on this point), thinking it's what is would be worth. With Bird rights, they could offer more than that if they wanted.

- but the possibility to make this offer and Horford agreeing was not financially but a rule problem.
To be able to legally give this offer, as they would go over the cap, they had to be under the cap first, counting the cap hold of Horford.

This is what they had at the minimum (Howard and Bazemore lowest possible salary with their offers) :
22,488,038 - Dwight Howard (estimated lower first year of 3yrs/70.5M contract with 4.5% raise)
20,072,033 - Paul Milsap
15,730,337 - Kent Bazemore (estimated lower first year of 4yrs/70M contract with 7.5% raise)
08,550,000 - Tiago Splitter
05,239,437 - Kyle Korver
03,850,000 - Thabo Sefolosha
02,708,582 - Dennis Schröder
02,281,605 - Tim Hardaway Jr
01,000,000 - Walter Tavares
01,931,900 - Taurean Prince (2016 NBA Draft #12 cap hold)
01,249,800 - DeAndre’ Bembry (2016 NBA Draft #21 cap hold)
00,543,471 - roster spot

Total = 85,101,732

9,041,268 of cap room.
Even if Howard was really signed some days later, he agreed. Bazemore was really signed.
To have the possibility to offer and sign Horford, his cap hold has to be there under the salary cap of 94.143M
18 - 9.041 = 8.959M so it needed at least Splitter and Tavares to be moved.

Or you don't sign Bazemore and instead of 15,730,337, you have 2.6M of his cap hold, and 9+(15.7-2.6)=22.1M under the cap, so enough to keep Horford's cap hold, and re-sign him, but then Bazemore would have sign elsewhere because ATL could only offer a maximum of 6M.

So if you wanted to add a big contract like Howard, it was Horford or Bazemore, or you needed to trade almost 9M first to be able to re-sign both.
And now, how many days do you need to trade Splitter and Tavares for free ? You don't know, and since you don't know, Horford don't know, and during this period, he can loose his BOS offer.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#213 » by MaceCase » Wed Jan 11, 2017 2:47 am

D21 you're not telling me anything that I don't already know. Fact is you're not allowed to sign anyone during the moratorium for 1 and for 2 the Hawks would not entertain resigning Horford AFTER Bazemore and Dwight were already announced if they did not have the capability to do so. It's really that simple, they were not negotiating with Horford for days having no idea how they would manage to accomplish something that even fans on a message board had figured out to the smallest decimal. Golden State had far greater cap gymnastics to perform in order to sign Durant and got it done, I sincerely doubt with all entirety that there was ever a worry over the Hawks shedding ~9 million and that's been further confirmed by there being zero mention of that being a reason for why both sides didn't come to a deal.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#214 » by RedBulls23 » Wed Jan 11, 2017 11:03 am

So have the Hawks really decided not to trade Milsap, or do you guys think this is just posturing to make sure they get good value for him in a trade?
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#215 » by MaceCase » Wed Jan 11, 2017 11:43 am

RedBulls83 wrote:So have the Hawks really decided not to trade Milsap, or do you guys think this is just posturing to make sure they get good value for him in a trade?

Unless Millsap is in on the ruse too it would be in poor taste to have multiple executives inform him that he's off the block for good only to engage in trade talks again.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#216 » by RedBulls23 » Wed Jan 11, 2017 11:46 am

MaceCase wrote:
RedBulls83 wrote:So have the Hawks really decided not to trade Milsap, or do you guys think this is just posturing to make sure they get good value for him in a trade?

Unless Millsap is in on the ruse too it would be in poor taste to have multiple executives inform him that he's off the block for good only to engage in trade talks again.

Ah okay. Hadn't seen that report yet.

Wonder why they traded Korver then?
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#217 » by MaceCase » Wed Jan 11, 2017 11:58 am

RedBulls83 wrote:
MaceCase wrote:
RedBulls83 wrote:So have the Hawks really decided not to trade Milsap, or do you guys think this is just posturing to make sure they get good value for him in a trade?

Unless Millsap is in on the ruse too it would be in poor taste to have multiple executives inform him that he's off the block for good only to engage in trade talks again.

Ah okay. Hadn't seen that report yet.

Wonder why they traded Korver then?

He was expendable. Team is kind of married to Bazemore at this point and Sefolosha has been one of the biggest difference makers on the team with his defense on the wing but they need to know exactly what they have in Prince, Bembry and especially Hardaway Jr. given that he's heading into free agency too.

Korver served as sort of a crutch for coach Budenholzer even though the roster construction has shifted away from the one that emphasized his strengths in the past. The Hawks no longer have a roster that can pass the ball around the perimeter until an open shooter is found, the offense is more of a probe off the dribble to collapse the defense team and all the other wings excluding Korver are more adept at that.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#218 » by Jamaaliver » Wed Jan 11, 2017 12:42 pm

RedBulls83 wrote:Ah okay. Hadn't seen that report yet.

Wonder why they traded Korver then?



And this is the real head scratcher.

Moving Korver, the heart and soul of the team, was surprising and painful. Even if inevitable and necessary.

Moving him to the very team that has swept us twice from the playoffs and receiving minimal compensation in return reeks of a Front Office unsure of which direction they want to go in.

Reports have indicated Thabo, Millsap and Korver were all being dangled in trade talks. Moving only KK is as confounding to us as the rest of the NBA.

NOTE: The Korver trade has not gone over well within the fanbase:
Hawks fans react bitterly to Kyle Korver trade


Add'l NOTE: Hawks have lost their three most tenured players in the past seven months (Horford, Teague, Korver) and are, by almost every metric, a worst team than last year or the year prior.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#219 » by jayu70 » Wed Jan 11, 2017 1:12 pm

RedBulls83 wrote:
MaceCase wrote:
RedBulls83 wrote:So have the Hawks really decided not to trade Milsap, or do you guys think this is just posturing to make sure they get good value for him in a trade?

Unless Millsap is in on the ruse too it would be in poor taste to have multiple executives inform him that he's off the block for good only to engage in trade talks again.

Ah okay. Hadn't seen that report yet.

Wonder why they traded Korver then?

Form what I've read from the stat geeks - The Hawks have been better with him off the court than on. Unfortunately, his offensive impact hasn't been the same, he was already moved to the bench, and his offense wasn't enough to offset his defensive woes. If the Hawks had no plans to bring him back next season they at least have to figure out what the younger guys can do, so they needed more playing time.
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Re: The case AGAINST keeping Millsap 

Post#220 » by PandaKidd » Wed Jan 11, 2017 5:03 pm

MaceCase wrote:D21 you're not telling me anything that I don't already know. Fact is you're not allowed to sign anyone during the moratorium for 1 and for 2 the Hawks would not entertain resigning Horford AFTER Bazemore and Dwight were already announced if they did not have the capability to do so. It's really that simple, they were not negotiating with Horford for days having no idea how they would manage to accomplish something that even fans on a message board had figured out to the smallest decimal. Golden State had far greater cap gymnastics to perform in order to sign Durant and got it done, I sincerely doubt with all entirety that there was ever a worry over the Hawks shedding ~9 million and that's been further confirmed by there being zero mention of that being a reason for why both sides didn't come to a deal.

If I recall, AFTER we signed Dwight or it was announced he was coming here, there was a "Hawks are trying to figure out a way to keep Horford" articles that were published.

Lead me to believe that if they could keep him doing Cap Gymnastics they would (if he took the money) but it told me more that they werent really making him a priority?

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