Jamaaliver wrote:Jeff Schultz over at AJC
suspects the opposite may be true. That dead legs, weary bodies are catching up to a team that's never played this deeply into the season:
They look like they have nothing left. There is a line between quitting and what happened Friday night. Hawks’ players didn’t quit. They just appeared to hit a wall, physically and mentally, and gave a weak attempt to fight through it. The training staff is running low on ice and duct tape.
If this is the breakdown moment, there were warning signs. The Hawks’ inconsistent play down the stretch of the season and in the first two rounds of the playoffs suggested the problem was more than a sudden lack of rhythm or forgetting to move the ball.
Fatigue affects everything. It leads one of the NBA’s best shooting teams to suddenly go 10-for-49 (20.4 percent) from outside the 3-point arc in the first two games of this series. The Hawks are shooting 32.6 percent in 3-pointers in the playoffs after ranking second during the season at 38 percent.
Is fatigue playing a role?
Horford: “That’s a possibility. But we’re in this position and we have to be able to push through that. It’s definitely challenging. I’m not going to make excuses, but that definitely plays a factor.”
They’re running low on healthy bodies. And hope.
Have to agree with this. Remember seeing a SportsVU stat that measured how much a player ran in a game and throughout the season. Don't recall the exact figures, but Korver was clearly #1 and 2 other Haws' starters were in the top 5 (IIRC, it was Millsap and Teague). Obviously, this is a product of the motion offense which Coach Bud wanted to counteract by using his depth. Unfortunately, Thabo's injury led to more minutes for wings while the ineffectiveness of Schröder, Mike Scott, and Pero especially earlier in the playoffs really hurt is other positions.
I think we can look at the 3PT% of many of our top of the rotation players as proof of dead legs:
- Korver - regular season 3PT%: 49.2%; postseason: 35.5%
- Millsap - 35.6%; 30.6%
- Teague - 34.3%; 32.3%
- Schröder - 35.1%; 23.5%
- Bazemore - 36.4%; 21.4%
- Horford - 30.6%; 22.2%
Demarre, who remained about the same, and Pero were the only ones who didn't show a dropoff. Somehow, we went from elite here in the regular season to well below average in the postseason.
My eyeballs on the game tells me the same story - we were lethargic especially in the 3Q and a career journeyman like Thompson was able to use his fresh legs to dominate the paint against us. I'd also be willing to bet that our 3PT% against was significantly higher as well (albeit part of that was Josh Smith's incredible g1, we didn't close out on 3PT shooters nearly as well as we did in the regular season either). The only time we showed life was after the incredible comeback by the backups in g3 of the WASH series which, even though we lost the game, gave the starters a 2nd wind and led to us taking 3 in a row even though WASH should have had the momentum with a 2-1 series lead and having taken home court advantage. I was hoping that would continue on into the CLE series, but it really didn't. We could only keep the momentum of that incredible effort for so long.