John Collins is the vertical spacer to Atlanta’s shooting
It’s clear Schlenk intends to fashion basketball utopia in Atlanta with a herd of shooting and playmaking, paying homage to his former employer, the Golden Sate Warriors. Yet where the two tracks diverge is in second-year big man John Collins, the type of vertical spacer Golden State has never rostered.
Schlenk has preached offensive versatility throughout his brief tenure; yet with Collins, he has a multifaceted youngster who can't be molded into a Stephen, Klay or Draymond-sized box.
During this year’s Summer League, Collins flashed the means for generating his own buckets, hinting at go-to scoring potential from the elbows and perimeter, skills often elusive for 4s and 5s. If Collins carries over those shooting patterns into the regular season, he’ll slowly become a traditional floor-spacer in addition to the vertical spacing identity he’s already crafted. It’ll embed another dynamic into Atlanta’s offense as Collins provides off-ball scoring equity beyond the occasional dump-off or putback slam.
With the shifty, lightning-quick Schröeder at the helm last season, the Hawks ranked eighth in the NBA in pace (100.60), which enabled Collins to flank on the wings and beam down the floor for buckets as he finished in the 90th percentile in transition efficiency (1.36 PPP) — albeit on just 67 possessions.
Expect more quick-hitting opportunities for Collins next to first year PG Trae Young, given the rookie’s propensity for driving an up-tempo charge...
Pick-and-roll plays should also play a huge roll in the Hawks offense this year. Young was a pick-and-roll savant in college, yielding 0.88 points per possession (76th percentile), and it’s his versatility as an initiator that helps set him apart from Schröeder. According to The Basketball Index, Collins’ boasted an “A” roll gravity and was in the 99th percentile in the Pick and Roll -- among power forwards with at least 1,500 minutes played last season. When he dives to the rim and lures defenders into the paint, Young can pounce on those lapses and sling passes to the bevy of shooting wings or cutters.
When Schlenk and Co. pulled the trigger on shipping Luka Doncic to Dallas back in June, they made a calculated gamble and placed the future of the franchise on Young’s shoulders. Beyond the translation of his shooting to the league, perhaps the most important development in Young’s game will be his performance in self-creation scenarios. He struggled at times to manufacture space or get into the lane. If Young’s regularly confined to the perimeter and unable to collapse defenses, Collins’ and the Hawks’ long-term offensive potential have a clear ceiling.
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