Post#18 » by D21 » Wed Jun 8, 2022 12:38 am
I was searching if some stats could confirm why I found stupid to trade for Ayton, Grant or LaVine for example, all guys that want at least 28M/season, and ESPN RealPlusMinus interesting
I dont want any of these guys, and if Clint has to be moved, I would prefer to get Turner at 18M (even if it would be more later) than Ayton at , even if we loose a bit compared to Capela on defense, it would open more shots for the 4 other guys and gives more options with him and Okongwu
Among centers
Capela was 4th at 3.35 in 2020-21, and 6th at 5.38 this season
Turner was 10th at 1.40 in 2020-21, and 15th at 3.61 this season
Ayton was 11th at 1.38 in 2020-21, and 21th at 2.94 this season
Among small forwards
Hunter was 21th at 0.92 in 2020-21, and 41th at -1.71 this season
Grant was 14th at 1.35 in 2020-21, and 18th at 1.79 this season (Saddiq Bey was 10th at 3.14)
Among shooting guards
Bogdanovic was 11th at 2.30 in 2020-21, and 19th at 1.64 this season (not blaming management as much as for Hunter, but think I came back sooner than I would have allowed him)
LaVine was 9th at 2.47 in 2020-21, and 12th at 2.98 this season
It matches a bit what I thought at first about:
-trading for Ayton (would not make this team better, only have less money), and that if Capela is moved, better replacing him by (not necessary in the same trade) Turner to allow a full 5 guys shooting 3s on the floor
- Grant was only a bit better than Hunter one year ago, but there was a problem this year, which is more important IMO than changing our C. I partly blame management for bringing him back at least two times sooner than he should have
- Bogdanovic had almost the same RPM than LaVine in 2020-21, and even if it was lower this season, I don't think at all that LaVine could justify being paid twice what Bogi is earning
And important, it would not be paying more for LaVine, Ayton or Grant, it would be also sending some players and loosing depth (for example, among shooting guards, we have Huerter 27th at 0.81 in 2020-21 and 25th at 0.91 this season, while CHI had no other player than LaVine in the top40)
BONUS: among point guards
Trae was 14th at 2.22 in 2020-21, and 2nd at 2nd at 6.95 this season
Simmons was 7th at 3.67 in 2020-21, which matches why I would like to see him used as a swiss-knife here depending on matchups, but only if paired with a trade for Turner to allow playing him with 4 other guys shooting 3s
It's only one stat, but at least not some offensive individual stat that say nothing without defense, but it gives a bit more now that this team would be better with Simmons and Turner for 51M next season (maybe 5M more the following season) than with Ayton + LaVine at around 65M next season, or Ayton + Grant for 53M next season then more than 60M (if Grant really wants 28M/season)