Summer cap space
Posted: Fri Feb 19, 2010 3:45 am
AKA who can bid on Joe or Amare once Lebron, Wade, and Bosh re-up with their current teams. I calculated this quickly using rough draft pick hold estimates and the 53.6M cap estimate that was the high end of the NBA memo on the upcoming cap (50.4 was the low end). For each team I assumed full renouncing of marginal players. For Miami, I left the max cap hold in for Wade assuming that they won't renounce him. I assume that for the players that matter the max starting salary for a true free agent is most likely 16.1M (based on 53.6). I also am using .5M for free agent roster fill out salaries. These are not exact.
New York (4 players, 17.8M, no pick holds) 32.8M free
New Jersey (7 players, 23M, 1 high pick hold) 25.6M free
Miami (5 players including Wade, 26M 2 medium pick holds) 22.6M free
Washington (6 players including Gilbert, 28M, 1 high pick hold) 20.1M free
Chicago (7 players, 33M, 1 medium pick hold) 17.6M free
Sacramento (9 players, 33M, 1 high pick hold) 16.6M free
LA Clippers (4 players, 32.6M, 1 mid-lottery hold) 16.5M free
Unless I screwed up the math it looks like 2 full max players is wishful thinking for anyone but Miami and New York. BTW, if Cleveland, Toronto, Atlanta, Phoenix, or Utah lose their big dollar free agent they still won't have room to pursue a max contract. OKC has some cap room, but not enough to offer max.
My gut feeling is that Lebron lets his clock run backing up the process for everyone else while he is the center of the universe for a little longer. It'll be interesting to see who figures they have no shot at Lebron and moves on to option 2 and beyond.
Of that list I'm not sure I buy Sacramento or Washington going after a single max player this summer, but I could be wrong.
I put together this list to satisfy my own curiosity and to ask who's going to come after Joe?
New York (4 players, 17.8M, no pick holds) 32.8M free
New Jersey (7 players, 23M, 1 high pick hold) 25.6M free
Miami (5 players including Wade, 26M 2 medium pick holds) 22.6M free
Washington (6 players including Gilbert, 28M, 1 high pick hold) 20.1M free
Chicago (7 players, 33M, 1 medium pick hold) 17.6M free
Sacramento (9 players, 33M, 1 high pick hold) 16.6M free
LA Clippers (4 players, 32.6M, 1 mid-lottery hold) 16.5M free
Unless I screwed up the math it looks like 2 full max players is wishful thinking for anyone but Miami and New York. BTW, if Cleveland, Toronto, Atlanta, Phoenix, or Utah lose their big dollar free agent they still won't have room to pursue a max contract. OKC has some cap room, but not enough to offer max.
My gut feeling is that Lebron lets his clock run backing up the process for everyone else while he is the center of the universe for a little longer. It'll be interesting to see who figures they have no shot at Lebron and moves on to option 2 and beyond.
Of that list I'm not sure I buy Sacramento or Washington going after a single max player this summer, but I could be wrong.
I put together this list to satisfy my own curiosity and to ask who's going to come after Joe?