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Ainge promoted

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Re: Ainge promoted 

Post#61 » by billfromBoston » Fri Oct 31, 2008 3:15 am

ParticleMan wrote:
eatyourchildren wrote:Your problem is you're applying relatively meaningless monikers to compare the relative value of palyers. For example, Telfair and Gomes are/were starters? And yet, would they have started on the Celtics? The Lakers? Hell, would they even start in Toronto?

As decent as Rondo and Perks are, I'm of the opinion that they've reached maybe 75% of their ceiling. They were far and away the weakest links of that Celtics 5. Their entire role was just "don't f*ck up what PGA" are doing. If you think that's better than what Farmar/Ariza/Vujacic are scraping...sure. But I like the long term prospects of our guys way more than Allen/Powe/Rondo/Perkins.

Bynum/Al Jeff are a tossup to me right now. Of course, Al Jeff is a 12123789128937x better scorer. But I don't see him becoming a dominant defensive anchor. Bynum can become that, hopefully. That's my long-term outlook. But he's already for sure better than Ryan freaking Gomes. Please.

For a rebuilding squad, tell me again how Farmar/Bynum trade is worse than a Telfair/Gomes/Al Jeff trade? Anytime you can get a PG/C combo that has their ceiling you take it. Unless you're friends with another team's GM. Then you don't.



I don't think Big Al vs Bynum is a toss-up at all. Look at it from McHale's viewpoint a year ago:
Big Al had already been a 20/10 player for half a season. He consistently drew double teams and often triple teams. He was about as proven as a young big man could be. Behind DH, he is the best young big man in the league. And in the NBA there is no substitute for having a go-to post scorer. It opens up so many things on the floor. McHale of all people knows this.
Bynum? Sure, lots of potential. Flashes of brilliance. But he will never be the scorer Al is. Not even clear he will ever draw a serious double team. Now, he has the potential to be much better defensively than Big Al. No question. But If I'm McHale, I'm taking the guy who is for sure going to give me 20/10, not some guy who may or may not develop into a defensive anchor. It's really no contest: You know what you're getting with Big Al. Bynum last year was a big ?. In fact, given his injuries, he's still a big ?. So looking back a year later, I'd say McHale made the right choice.

You seem to really love Jordan Farmar. Not sure why. A guy with a 1.3:1 A/TO ratio is not my idea of someone I want running my team. He is another SG in a PG's body (albeit with a nice handle). Telfair, for all his warts, is a true PG. Whatever you may think of Telfair, a true PG has a lot more value than a SG in a PG's body, which are a dime a dozen. With Telfair, it's not a question of his talent so much as his head. He made a lot of strides with the C's, had the bad gun incident, but has continued to mature in Minny. So again McHale made the right choice. If you asked GM's today, ignoring past baggage, I think most would take Telfair over Farmar.

Ryan Gomes you say is terrible, but of all the guys we traded other than Big Al, I think he's the guy the C's would welcome back first. He's no allstar, but he's solid, consistent, and a genuine rotation player. Plus he's a first class person, very hardworking, mature, high-quality guy. Maybe on a good team he's be more like a 6th man, but on a rebuilding team, he's the kind of guy you like to have in the locker room. That counts for something. And nobody was comparing Gomes to Bynum, that's not relevant. The comparison McHale had to make was Bynum vs Al.

Bottom line, I don't think McHale made the wrong call. He actually made the right call given what he knew last year. I don't think there's any way to argue that the Lakers were offering a clearly better package. And frankly, the past year has only confirmed that to be true.



...that's a bit over-critical of both Bynum and Farmar - I think most every GM would take Farmar over Telfair, especially the year the trade went down - Farmar is progressing nicely and will surely improve on the Asst/TO ratio...Bynum was far less proven and I would be shocked if he comes close to AJ's offense - a guy who is sure to lead the league some day IMO - but he's a 20/10 dude in the future and had shown the base tools to believe it could be done...however, the "proven" part comes most into focus - the fact that Ainge and McHale have such a great relationship no doubt helped, but not as some "secret handshake" BS deal - more likley, it was a trust factor...Ainge endorsed AJ, Gomes, and Telfair and McHale trusted that more than the hope that Bynum would work to accomplish his cieling while being forced to take on a couple of big $$ contracts...
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Re: Ainge promoted 

Post#62 » by billfromBoston » Fri Oct 31, 2008 3:23 am

Loclown wrote:I think he has drafted some decent role players. I like Powe out of school, and Rondo. I just find it odd that a guy gets bashed for years, is about to get the door, then adds 2 guys by 1-getting a sweet deal from McHale (who is the NBA's Matt Millen) and overpaying for Allen. I actually count that deal as a negative for him.
Then they win 1 year and now he's the BEST GM in the NBA?
So if Atl was able to land KG and won it all, that GM would have been the best, despite a terrible track record?
I don't think winning equals a great job.
I'm done, I'll leave you alone. I was actually hoping to get some real answers, to inform me of what else he did so I could support the award, but I've heard nothing but "He won it all, isn't that enough" and no examples of what else he did.


Hey, that "Matt Millen" guy in Minny is about to be recognized for the outstanding job he did at rebuilding the Wolves - they will be a team filled with buzz this year and I think they make the playoffs by year 3 of the Jefferson/Love era...that's just me though
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Re: Ainge promoted 

Post#63 » by greenbeans » Fri Oct 31, 2008 3:26 am

Preach on brotha man!!
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Re: Ainge promoted 

Post#64 » by billfromBoston » Fri Oct 31, 2008 3:29 am

Loclown wrote:Ha
Your explanation of why he's a good GM were this
1-his team did horrible and had high draft picks to deal
2-he could not land a FA and had cap space
3-he traded what good assests he did have for older guys.
4-he took on bad contracts and overpaid guys
Sounds to me like he did bad for a while, and took on terrible contracts, and eventually somebody gave him some big names because he overpaid.
I'm out, but I never heard a good move he made other than winning the KG sweepstakes.


Wow, you don't have a **** clue about what you're saying:

1. Ainge had exactly 2 high draft picks - a 7 and a 5 in back to back years which he used to get Theo Ratliff's contract, (KG trade) and Ray Allen

2. Team has not been below the cap the entire Ainge Tenure...thanks to Rick Pitino, Ainge had to dig out from all types of **** contracts and was stuck in mediocrity, forcing him to draft middle of the draft and in the 2nd round.

3. He traded the assets he built up - a PHENOMENAL track record of drafting relative to draft position - and acquired 2 HALL OF FAME players to complement his incumbent HOF player - this is bad how?

4. No, his entire tenure has been about RIDDING the team of bad contracts - only bad contracts he's ever given out were Mark Blount and Brian Scalabrine...Blount was during year one and was a huge fan favorite, Scal was a "Brain Doc" experiment gone wrong...everything else was drafting and short term assets...

So, sounds to me like you are completely off-base with your assessment of what transpired... :roll:
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Re: Ainge promoted 

Post#65 » by ParticleMan » Fri Oct 31, 2008 3:30 am

Loclown wrote:Ha
Your explanation of why he's a good GM were this
1-his team did horrible and had high draft picks to deal
2-he could not land a FA and had cap space
3-he traded what good assests he did have for older guys.
4-he took on bad contracts and overpaid guys
Sounds to me like he did bad for a while, and took on terrible contracts, and eventually somebody gave him some big names because he overpaid.
I'm out, but I never heard a good move he made other than winning the KG sweepstakes.


sigh, fine, i apologize for the namecalling. i guess you're just... um... underinformed.
let me perhaps interject some actual facts into this discussion.

1. ainge's AVERAGE 1st round draft position since he took over has been 17.6. not even in the lottery. his highest picks have been 5 and 7, both of which he traded away because those were weak draft positions. moreover, we've been unlucky in every lottery, in the sense of ending up at or lower where we were supposed to be based on record.

2. more underinformed statements. we have never had any cap space in the ainge era. nor has ainge pursued any big-name FA's.

3. the team, and particularly the rotation players, is considerably younger now than when ainge took over. his best "asset", outside of pierce who he didn't want to trade, was antoine walker, an aging guy who has since been traded 3 times and each time for less in return.

4. i'm not sure what bad contracts you're referring to, but if it's ratliff and lafrentz, those two guys were instrumental in our ability to get allen and KG. no raef, no ray. no ratliff, no KG. simple as that. the only other bad contract is scal, who is definitely a waste of $3mil, but most GMs in the league would happily take their worst contract costing only $3mil per.

like i said the first time, maybe you didn't get it so i'll repeat it: to trade for a superstar, you need 3 things -- draft picks, young talent, and big expiring contracts. 1 or 2 out of 3 doesn't do it. you have to have all 3. ainge carefully maneuvered to have all 3 last offseason. he did so well at it that he was able to trade for not 1 but 2 stars in their prime. he didn't "luck into" or "stumble into" having all those assets at the same time. it took careful planning for several years. if anything, we had poor luck, in terms of the lottery. maybe it wasn't obvious what ainge was doing from the outside, but it was pretty clear what he was doing to us who follow the team regularly.

his drafting skill, his ability to land the 2nd best player in the draft at #15 in Big Al and getting quality players at #25 (delonte west) and #50 (ryan gomes), were critical to being able to make the trades that he did. it wasn't by accident. and as for someone "handing" us KG, think about what the Lakers gave up for Gasol-- not even a single starter! we gave up a bona fide young allstar big man, who went on to average 21 and 11 the next season. it was a lot to give up, but in the end veterans win championships, and we didn't want to waste pierce's prime waiting for all the kids to develop. it was an "all in" gamble that paid off.

so instead of continuing spouting off ridiculous statements that are contrary to facts, maybe you should learn something about how to build a team. ainge has given a blueprint for it, and made a lot of GMs look silly in the process.
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Re: Ainge promoted 

Post#66 » by GuyClinch » Fri Oct 31, 2008 1:30 pm

As decent as Rondo and Perks are, I'm of the opinion that they've reached maybe 75% of their ceiling. They were far and away the weakest links of that Celtics 5. Their entire role was just "don't f*ck up what PGA" are doing. If you think that's better than what Farmar/Ariza/Vujacic are scraping...sure. But I like the long term prospects of our guys way more than Allen/Powe/Rondo/Perkins.


I think your wrong about the C's and wrong about Ainge.

About the guys your dogging:

Its very rare to find a PG who can score - and do good things on the court without ruining an offenses flow. Rondo is that guy RIGHT NOW. Sure other guys might have that ability - but what seperates Rondo is his excellent physical talent. He has very long arms and impressive length. If he could learn how to shoot a J - watch out..

Rondo isn't a weak link. While he isn't just an athlete - he is still learning the game. He has a ton more potential. He might surpass Ray Allen for value on our team this year. Just by age alone you figure 3 or 4 more years of growth.

Your also undervaluing Perkins. He might not be a go to scorer and he looks awkward but I will tell you this - he will do a great job on Bynum if we meet in the finals. He is very strong and like Rondo has good length. It's really hard to post up on the guy. Bynum's offense seems to be mostly post up moves no?

Perkins value for dollar is outstanding - Bynum with that huge contract not so much anymore. I contend that value for dollar spent is the hidden variable in winning NBA championships. You want your "all-stars" to play BEYOND max - and your roleplayers to outplay your contract.

Last year Rondo, Posey, Eddie House, PJ Brown and Powe all did that. What people don't get about Ainge (and what I didn't get) is that he is actually quite flexible. If your picking young guys - he can do well at that. But what I didn't know is that he can also identify value veterans like Posey and sign then on the cheap.

I was worried that ainge would turn us into the Bulls - teams perpertually stocked with young talent but unable to make the transition to a good team..with guys who have realized said talent. A couple of years ago the Bulls could have moved guys like Hinrich and Deng for Pierce and probably jumped up a level..

Pete

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