SmartWentCrazy wrote:
The irony... people are caught up in recency bias, see what Bam did and thinking ‘Precious can be the new Bam’ without being realistic that Bam’s outlier development is not normal and wont happen again on a similar player for a long time.
Just because Bam had been a little slept on, doesn't mean he wasn't a good prospect to begin with. 18 year old bigs who produce like he did, to a lesser extent freshman bigs who produce like he did, are usually sure things in the NBA. He might not have showed out as a ballhandler or passer at Kentucky, but he could score on the move and he showed solid intangibles. He hit physical maturation (this even happens to guys like Bam who start out with an NBA body), and he also ended up in a system where he is used to his strengths and his development is magnified on the surface due to good coaching.
Faried is, approximately, also the guy I thought of while initially looking at Precious. But Faried was not (to a lesser extent is not) a bad player, and if Faried/Trez is Precious' floor, and he shows flashes of a much higher ceiling, then the risk/reward ratio is pretty solid IMO.
(also, in terms of strengths, weaknesses, and profile, Precious is more in the Giannis mold than the Bam mold)
Its like hoping to find the next Siakam. Its a fools errand.
That's Reed and while I generally agree that it's a fools game to look for the next Giannis/Siakam/etc, Reed fits the Siakam mold to a T. From what I have read of Reed (to a lesser extent have seen), the one thing I don't like about him is that he supposedly has a huge ego, he thinks he can score on anyone, and likes to iso regardless of whether he can score. You could say the same or close to it about Siakam IMO; and while I think Siakam is held back by that and would be more valuable if he got in where he fit in as an elite role player - it is a similar mindset that drove him to work his ass off to become the player he is today.
(fun fact, at the age of 15
Siakam was training to become a priest)