Bar Fight wrote:Hal14 wrote:Bar Fight wrote:They already entered championship or bust mode last year. Last season was unquestionably a bust. All that “unfinished business” nonsense just to lose to a significantly less talented team with three home losses in the series.
They are favored again to win this season. If they don’t get it done that’s three straight years of losing as the favorites.
Not really. Warriors had a better record than us in 21-22, they had home court advantage in the NBA finals. Their 3 core players and their head coach had already won 3 titles together. They had arguably the 2 best shooters of all-time, probably a top 10 defender of all-time, possibly 4 future hall of famers (5 if Kerr gets in as a coach). And arguably a top 10 player of all time. Anyone who called the Celtics "favorites" that season was on crack. Yeah, like we were gonna win a title with a 23 year old as our best player, a 24 yr old as our 2nd best player and a rookie head coach. C'mon now.
We're also not the favorites this season. Denver is:
https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/nba/finals-odds-championship-nba-betting-bm05/
Last season, out of 18 ESPN experts, 0 of them picked Boston to win the east. And only 3 of them even picked us to make the ECF:
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/34817879/nba-predictions-experts-picks-east-finals-west-finals-nba-finals-lebron-pursuit-history
Here's our preseason ranking among the league each of the past 3 seasons:
23-24: picked 2nd in league by Vegas odds
22-23: tied for 2nd
21-22: picked 13th in the league
Often times fans overrate their own team. Let's be realistic here. We don't have a top 3 player in the league. We don't have 2 of the top 10 players in the league. We don't have a hall of fame coach. We don't have anyone on our team who has ever won a ring before. We have a bunch of injury prone guys. Let's not be naive fanboys here and just think that we're some super team that is stacked with all-stars and future hall of famers. Let's not pretend that we're like some dynasty here with a core of guys who has already won the last 3 titles in a row. Jeez.
This is how old the best player and 2nd bet player for each recent title winning team was:
https://ibb.co/0tQvt5T
Tatum is 25 and JB is 26. As you can see, it pretty much never happens that a player who's 25 or under leads a team to a title and it's even more rare when that team's 2nd best player is 26 or under.
The championship window begins this season, imo. And even this season, it'll be tough:
-11 of the last 12 teams to win a title, had at least 1 guy on the team who had already won a title before that season. We have 0.
-The last 13 teams to win a title have all had at least 1 player who had an assist % of at least 30% that season. We have nobody who had an assist % of 30% or higher last season. The guy on our team who had the highest assist % last season was only at 21%.
Championship or bust was the 92-93 bulls. This celtics team is not that - not even close.
I've never seen a group of people with such high expectations for a team that has 0 guys on it who have ever won a title before and are led by a 25 and 26 yr old (no team in the last 20 yrs has won a title when led by a duo that is so young), has no one on the team who has ever won MVP and no one on the team who has ever even finished top 3 in MVP voting.
We've got a good team. We're one of the favorites. We're 1 of like 6 or so teams with a legit shot at winning it all. But let's not get carried away. Let's be realistic. Otherwise, we're just setting ourselves up for disappointment.
Those are cute clickbait images. Everything I said still holds true.