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Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2

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claycarver
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#421 » by claycarver » Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:17 am

threrf23 wrote:
claycarver wrote:
reload141 wrote:
I know what Sweden is doing is against the grain but in 2 years when all the deaths from corona and suicide (due to loss of business and unable to support family, domestic violence deaths because of lockdown etc) are added up vs other countries and how they fair as a country after compared to everyone else.

They will either come out of this looking incredibly stupid or the only country who truly "survived" this....

In Australia they are talking about everyone having a mandatory app to track your location, seems absolutely ridiculous and invades our privacy hopefully they realise that as people are TOTALLY against it... except my wife who doesn't really leave home unless to drop off and pick up kids and gym, shop etc haha! But she's Russian so maybe she's used to this sort of thing?



Sweden Says Controversial Virus Strategy Proving Effective

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/sweden-says-controversial-virus-strategy-proving-effective/ar-BB12TP18?li=AAggFp4


Sweden (and Scandinavia as a whole) has a very low population density (30% lower than the US), and even Glasgow has a very modest population density (1/8 of NYC's population density). Going by that MSN link, they also have a highly competent and prepared health care system that doesn't stand to get overwhelmed easily. Median age isn't extremely high, and relatively speaking, I'm not sure how many foreign visitors the country attracts? This means that they can probably get away with things that other countries cannot get away with.

Sweden says that its strategy is working, but that depends on the end goal. That MSN link points out that while Sweden has not faced an overwhelming number of deaths, it has seen far more deaths than it's neighboring countries. It has also seen many more deaths than the state of Arizona (similar to Sweden in terms of population and population density if not population spread). And the virus spreads exponentially, so deaths should continue to pile up in the near future.

So if the goal is to buy time and minimize deaths until a vaccine is introduced or a treatment is figured out, then it is failing badly. But if the goal is literally just to flatten the curve to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed, and is based on an assumption that the virus cannot be stopped and only slowed, then their approach is probably the right approach - for them.


They acknowledge that they should have done more for the elderly, especially the nursing homes, as that accounts for a massive percentage of their deaths. So, if we wanted to learn from them, that would be a good thing to consider.

As to the health care, we certainly didn't have enough resources to cope earlier but as those resources catch up we should be able to handle a larger surge.

As you say, our country is diverse and this likely wouldn't work in some states...or more likely, it wound't work in some cities. But many states can and should look at what's working in countries like Sweden for best practices.

I don't see how it's possible to go another month without it taking an incredible toll on the economy and household incomes. We can't ignore models for opening up in other countries just because it's a change from what we've been doing so far.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#422 » by threrf23 » Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:00 am

claycarver wrote:
As you say, our country is diverse and this likely wouldn't work in some states...or more likely, it wound't work in some cities. But many states can and should look at what's working in countries like Sweden for best practices.

I don't see how it's possible to go another month without it taking an incredible toll on the economy and household incomes. We can't ignore models for opening up in other countries just because it's a change from what we've been doing so far.


Perhaps it is one example to look at, but the poster child is still South Korea by a long shot. Despite being one of the world's most densely populated countries, they have done a nearly unsurpassed job of slowing cases and deaths per capita and have also kept things relatively open. Washington is saying that we should have similar capacity for this by next month, I really hope that is the case.

I also def agree that the economic consequences of all this are scary, and that there is no one size fits all solution per state and city. Like, in NYC, even the South Korea testing and tracing model might not work anytime soon. There are too many cases to begin with, and if the city goes back to relative normalcy, the average person comes in close proximity to so many other people that you ideally have to test a ton of people on an almost daily basis. Even if this were literally feasible, there are logistical challenges that might offset advantages.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#423 » by zoyathedestroya » Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:15 pm

US now comprises almost 1/4 of COVID-19 deaths worldwide. :o

But at least it seems to be slowing down.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#424 » by The_Ghost_of_JB » Tue Apr 21, 2020 11:43 pm

My kids school is closed the rest of the year which I have been saying it would be the case a couple of weeks after they initially closed school.

At this point I am really starting to believe that we are in major jeopardy of losing the summer. The CDC is now saying there could be a winter relapse which could be worse than what is going on now.

I am starting to get pretty down about all of this.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#425 » by canman1971 » Wed Apr 22, 2020 2:40 am

The_Ghost_of_JB wrote:My kids school is closed the rest of the year which I have been saying it would be the case a couple of weeks after they initially closed school.

At this point I am really starting to believe that we are in major jeopardy of losing the summer. The CDC is now saying there could be a winter relapse which could be worse than what is going on now.

I am starting to get pretty down about all of this.

I agree. I'll make the best of it. Our seasonal campground is actually saying they are gonna open on May 1. And people have already been there apparently and didn't adhere to any of the things that have been put forth.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#426 » by Slax » Wed Apr 22, 2020 3:11 am

zoyathedestroya wrote:US now comprises almost 1/4 of COVID-19 deaths worldwide. :o

But at least it seems to be slowing down.

Part of that is that the US had some particularly bad outbreaks especially in NY/NJ. But also, part of it is that the CDC recently switched to counting unconfirmed but suspected COVID-19 deaths in its death estimates, which a lot of other countries aren't doing for some reason. As a result, our death tolls got revised up by a ton over the last week based on deaths that happened weeks ago. Pretty interesting (albeit morbid) example of how a lot of what we think we know about the world is heavily influenced by artifacts of fickle recordkeeping methodology.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#427 » by zoyathedestroya » Wed Apr 22, 2020 3:12 am

Read on Twitter

Read on Twitter
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#428 » by threrf23 » Wed Apr 22, 2020 3:33 am

zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter



Correlation vs causation IMO. I would imagine that the most polluted areas also happen to be the most densely populated, most urban areas. It is probably a contributor, but I doubt it's a key contributor.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#429 » by SuperDeluxe » Wed Apr 22, 2020 3:35 am

threrf23 wrote:
zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter



Correlation vs causation IMO. I would imagine that the most polluted areas also happen to be the most densely populated, most urban areas. It is probably a contributor, but I doubt it's a key contributor.

My thoughts exactly. However, people living on the countryside probably have healthier lungs than people living in high-pollution cities.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#430 » by Parliament10 » Wed Apr 22, 2020 5:06 am

SuperDeluxe wrote:
threrf23 wrote:
zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter



Correlation vs causation IMO. I would imagine that the most polluted areas also happen to be the most densely populated, most urban areas. It is probably a contributor, but I doubt it's a key contributor.

My thoughts exactly. However, people living on the countryside probably have healthier lungs than people living in high-pollution cities.

That's got to be a contributing factor.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#431 » by K For Three » Wed Apr 22, 2020 7:04 am

Read this in current affairs, stealing from our very own Fencer.

Read on Twitter



I am going to say NO, no parade.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#432 » by zoyathedestroya » Wed Apr 22, 2020 7:30 am

Kemba For Three wrote:Read this in current affairs, stealing from our very own Fencer.

Read on Twitter



I am going to say NO, no parade.

Parade that culminates in a jampacked concert in Madison Square Garden. That would show Rona who's boss!
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#433 » by K For Three » Wed Apr 22, 2020 7:49 am

zoyathedestroya wrote:
Kemba For Three wrote:Read this in current affairs, stealing from our very own Fencer.

Read on Twitter



I am going to say NO, no parade.

Parade that culminates in a jampacked concert in Madison Square Garden. That would show Rona who's boss!

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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#434 » by K For Three » Wed Apr 22, 2020 10:37 pm

When you're good you're good. City of winners.

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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#435 » by zoyathedestroya » Wed Apr 22, 2020 11:40 pm

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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#436 » by SuperDeluxe » Wed Apr 22, 2020 11:41 pm

zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter

...and the 2020 Darwin Award goes to...
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#437 » by zoyathedestroya » Thu Apr 23, 2020 12:03 am

Read on Twitter

Read on Twitter
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#438 » by K For Three » Thu Apr 23, 2020 12:12 am

zoyathedestroya wrote:
Read on Twitter

And this is where the NBA has been speculated to want to plop all the NBA players.

What could possibly go wrong telling a large group of young multi millionaires to stay in their hotels all the time in.....Vegas?
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#439 » by zoyathedestroya » Thu Apr 23, 2020 12:29 am

This is rough.
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Re: Coronavirus/COVID-19, Thread 2 

Post#440 » by SuperDeluxe » Thu Apr 23, 2020 12:42 am

zoyathedestroya wrote:This is rough.

I had to stop watching halfway through. Hard to believe that this person was voted to make decisions for 2.3 million people.

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