ImageImageImage

Wade?

Moderators: bisme37, canman1971, Darthlukey, Shak_Celts, Froob, Parliament10, shackles10, snowman

User avatar
tlee324
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 19,954
And1: 8,381
Joined: Jun 29, 2003
Location: Celtic Nation
       

Re: Wade? 

Post#81 » by tlee324 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 3:20 am

My favorite Dwayne Wade move:

Image
User avatar
VeryMuchWoke
Head Coach
Posts: 6,560
And1: 7,558
Joined: Dec 18, 2011
Location: Brooklyn
 

Re: Wade? 

Post#82 » by VeryMuchWoke » Mon Aug 21, 2017 3:31 am

Captain_Caveman wrote:We could sit here all day long and poke holes in these advanced stats big enough to drive trucks, through. Anyone who went college knows that. Small sample size with no control variable in apples and oranges situations.

What you can't drive a truck through is the following: Dwyane Wade is one of the best SGs to ever play the game, and Brad Stevens is, oh... I don't know... maybe ten times the coach that Brad Hoiberg is, with a roster three times as good as the one Wade was supposed to help carry for a hapless Chicago team last year in a top-of-the-rotation role? Something like that, right?

Here's another fact: If Rondo doesn't get hurt in the playoffs last year, they probably knock us out in the first round. If not for Avery Bradley's defense on both Wade and Butler, they might have done it even without Rondo. I mean, with due respect to his family tragedy, the fact remains that their backcourt kicked the living **** out of IT in Game 2. I definitely did not miss that.

IN any event, I am more than confident that Brad Stevens could find Wade a productive and efficient back-of-the-rotation role on a much more talented team if needed. He's done more with less.


If we were talking about D-Rating, RPM, Win Shares, or anything with a regression component I'd agree with you (the modeling assumptions necessary for regression are never met in basketball, leading to endogeneity bias). Sample size isn't an issue. ORating is a pretty straightforward estimate of efficiency. TS% tells the same story. We're not estimating parameters here. There's no model. O-Rating is a summary statistic. Context should be taken into account, just like with FG%, but your point about "controls' doesn't really make sense here.

Would Brad get more out of him, probably, but here's something you can't drive a truck through: he's 35, undersized, relies on athleticism he's already lost. He's cooked. Top 5 all-time SG or not, father time caught him.

You must have been a fan of the Dominique signing.
"Danny Ainge needs to shut the **** up and manage his own team. He was the biggest whiner when he was playing, and I know that because I coached against him."
Pat Riley
User avatar
Captain_Caveman
RealGM
Posts: 25,872
And1: 38,458
Joined: Jun 25, 2007
       

Re: Wade? 

Post#83 » by Captain_Caveman » Mon Aug 21, 2017 4:57 am

iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Captain_Caveman wrote:We could sit here all day long and poke holes in these advanced stats big enough to drive trucks, through. Anyone who went college knows that. Small sample size with no control variable in apples and oranges situations.

What you can't drive a truck through is the following: Dwyane Wade is one of the best SGs to ever play the game, and Brad Stevens is, oh... I don't know... maybe ten times the coach that Brad Hoiberg is, with a roster three times as good as the one Wade was supposed to help carry for a hapless Chicago team last year in a top-of-the-rotation role? Something like that, right?

Here's another fact: If Rondo doesn't get hurt in the playoffs last year, they probably knock us out in the first round. If not for Avery Bradley's defense on both Wade and Butler, they might have done it even without Rondo. I mean, with due respect to his family tragedy, the fact remains that their backcourt kicked the living **** out of IT in Game 2. I definitely did not miss that.

IN any event, I am more than confident that Brad Stevens could find Wade a productive and efficient back-of-the-rotation role on a much more talented team if needed. He's done more with less.


If we were talking about D-Rating, RPM, Win Shares, or anything with a regression component I'd agree with you (the modeling assumptions necessary for regression are never met in basketball, leading to endogeneity bias). Sample size isn't an issue. ORating is a pretty straightforward estimate of efficiency. TS% tells the same story. We're not estimating parameters here. There's no model. O-Rating is a summary statistic. Context should be taken into account, just like with FG%, but your point about "controls' doesn't really make sense here.

Would Brad get more out of him, probably, but here's something you can't drive a truck through: he's 35, undersized, relies on athleticism he's already lost. He's cooked. Top 5 all-time SG or not, father time caught him.

You must have been a fan of the Dominique signing.


We aren't going to agree, and that's fine. My point made plenty of sense, though. Talking about a different role for a different coach on a different team with different players. He's not going to carry a team in a leading role anymore, but as an 8th man for a team with some of the worst bench scoring in the league, and with collectively little playoff experience? Have a hard time seeing where that's not worth a minimum salary, particularly in a playoff game.

We aren't talking about a Dominique role where we are propping him up as a leader past his prime. We are talking about a Nate Robinson/Barbosa level role. It's an apples and oranges comparison from his role last year.

So be it.
User avatar
ConstableGeneva
RealGM
Posts: 42,442
And1: 87,200
Joined: Sep 22, 2012
Location: Parody Account
 

Re: Wade? 

Post#84 » by ConstableGeneva » Mon Aug 21, 2017 8:11 am

One of my fave moments in Wade's career.

░N░0░0░D░S░ ░I░N░ ░B░I░O░
User avatar
tlee324
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 19,954
And1: 8,381
Joined: Jun 29, 2003
Location: Celtic Nation
       

Re: Wade? 

Post#85 » by tlee324 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:31 pm

Another classic. Can't get enough of these Wade highlights:

Image
Marvel
RealGM
Posts: 25,749
And1: 14,289
Joined: Apr 23, 2010
 

Re: Wade? 

Post#86 » by Marvel » Tue Aug 22, 2017 11:54 am

CrowderKeg wrote:One of my fave moments in Wade's career.


Lmao KO can't even grab a rebound falling into his hands. Definitely not going to miss that crap.
User avatar
Froob
Forum Mod - Celtics
Forum Mod - Celtics
Posts: 41,903
And1: 58,538
Joined: Nov 04, 2010
Location: ▼VII▲VIII
         

Re: Wade? 

Post#87 » by Froob » Tue Aug 22, 2017 12:32 pm

iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Captain_Caveman wrote:We could sit here all day long and poke holes in these advanced stats big enough to drive trucks, through. Anyone who went college knows that. Small sample size with no control variable in apples and oranges situations.

What you can't drive a truck through is the following: Dwyane Wade is one of the best SGs to ever play the game, and Brad Stevens is, oh... I don't know... maybe ten times the coach that Brad Hoiberg is, with a roster three times as good as the one Wade was supposed to help carry for a hapless Chicago team last year in a top-of-the-rotation role? Something like that, right?

Here's another fact: If Rondo doesn't get hurt in the playoffs last year, they probably knock us out in the first round. If not for Avery Bradley's defense on both Wade and Butler, they might have done it even without Rondo. I mean, with due respect to his family tragedy, the fact remains that their backcourt kicked the living **** out of IT in Game 2. I definitely did not miss that.

IN any event, I am more than confident that Brad Stevens could find Wade a productive and efficient back-of-the-rotation role on a much more talented team if needed. He's done more with less.


If we were talking about D-Rating, RPM, Win Shares, or anything with a regression component I'd agree with you (the modeling assumptions necessary for regression are never met in basketball, leading to endogeneity bias). Sample size isn't an issue. ORating is a pretty straightforward estimate of efficiency. TS% tells the same story. We're not estimating parameters here. There's no model. O-Rating is a summary statistic. Context should be taken into account, just like with FG%, but your point about "controls' doesn't really make sense here.

Would Brad get more out of him, probably, but here's something you can't drive a truck through: he's 35, undersized, relies on athleticism he's already lost. He's cooked. Top 5 all-time SG or not, father time caught him.

You must have been a fan of the Dominique signing.

Undersized? Jesus what is the ideal size then lol? Are you putting him at the 3?
Image

Tommy Heinsohn wrote:The game is not over until they look you in the face and start crying.


RIP The_Hater
User avatar
VeryMuchWoke
Head Coach
Posts: 6,560
And1: 7,558
Joined: Dec 18, 2011
Location: Brooklyn
 

Re: Wade? 

Post#88 » by VeryMuchWoke » Tue Aug 22, 2017 5:07 pm

Froob wrote:Undersized? Jesus what is the ideal size then lol? Are you putting him at the 3?


6'4" is undersized for a 2. Not to a great extent, but you kind of made my point for me. Guys that age well often do so because they can move up a position. Wade can't.
"Danny Ainge needs to shut the **** up and manage his own team. He was the biggest whiner when he was playing, and I know that because I coached against him."
Pat Riley
exculpatory
RealGM
Posts: 14,870
And1: 11,055
Joined: Nov 10, 2008

Re: Wade? 

Post#89 » by exculpatory » Tue Aug 22, 2017 5:20 pm

Captain_Caveman wrote:
iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Captain_Caveman wrote:We could sit here all day long and poke holes in these advanced stats big enough to drive trucks, through. Anyone who went college knows that. Small sample size with no control variable in apples and oranges situations.

What you can't drive a truck through is the following: Dwyane Wade is one of the best SGs to ever play the game, and Brad Stevens is, oh... I don't know... maybe ten times the coach that Brad Hoiberg is, with a roster three times as good as the one Wade was supposed to help carry for a hapless Chicago team last year in a top-of-the-rotation role? Something like that, right?

Here's another fact: If Rondo doesn't get hurt in the playoffs last year, they probably knock us out in the first round. If not for Avery Bradley's defense on both Wade and Butler, they might have done it even without Rondo. I mean, with due respect to his family tragedy, the fact remains that their backcourt kicked the living **** out of IT in Game 2. I definitely did not miss that.

IN any event, I am more than confident that Brad Stevens could find Wade a productive and efficient back-of-the-rotation role on a much more talented team if needed. He's done more with less.


If we were talking about D-Rating, RPM, Win Shares, or anything with a regression component I'd agree with you (the modeling assumptions necessary for regression are never met in basketball, leading to endogeneity bias). Sample size isn't an issue. ORating is a pretty straightforward estimate of efficiency. TS% tells the same story. We're not estimating parameters here. There's no model. O-Rating is a summary statistic. Context should be taken into account, just like with FG%, but your point about "controls' doesn't really make sense here.

Would Brad get more out of him, probably, but here's something you can't drive a truck through: he's 35, undersized, relies on athleticism he's already lost. He's cooked. Top 5 all-time SG or not, father time caught him.

You must have been a fan of the Dominique signing.


We aren't going to agree, and that's fine. My point made plenty of sense, though. Talking about a different role for a different coach on a different team with different players. He's not going to carry a team in a leading role anymore, but as an 8th man for a team with some of the worst bench scoring in the league, and with collectively little playoff experience? Have a hard time seeing where that's not worth a minimum salary, particularly in a playoff game.

We aren't talking about a Dominique role where we are propping him up as a leader past his prime. We are talking about a Nate Robinson/Barbosa level role. It's an apples and oranges comparison from his role last year.

So be it.


I agree with you.

I also agree with your IT posts for the most part.

Amazing.
SamIam 2010: Truth's ability to play so incredibly efficiently is so UNDERAPPRECIATED. Bballcool 2012: Amazing how great Pierce has been for so long. Continues to defy age! KG 2013: P is original Celtic. Wherever he goes, we go. This is The Truth's house.
OFWGKTA
General Manager
Posts: 9,014
And1: 12,141
Joined: May 20, 2011

Re: Wade? 

Post#90 » by OFWGKTA » Tue Aug 22, 2017 5:39 pm

iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Froob wrote:Undersized? Jesus what is the ideal size then lol? Are you putting him at the 3?


6'4" is undersized for a 2. Not to a great extent, but you kind of made my point for me. Guys that age well often do so because they can move up a position. Wade can't.



Yeah he can, he's got a 6'11 wingspan and 8'6 standing reach, both better than Crowder who people pen as a capable smallball 4. Anyways, **** Wade.
Froob wrote:Friends is like Kyle Lowry, everyone says it's amazing but you sit down and watch it and you're just like meh...


GuyClinch wrote: Regulation is mostly to blame - also excessive medical costs.
User avatar
Froob
Forum Mod - Celtics
Forum Mod - Celtics
Posts: 41,903
And1: 58,538
Joined: Nov 04, 2010
Location: ▼VII▲VIII
         

Re: Wade? 

Post#91 » by Froob » Tue Aug 22, 2017 6:27 pm

iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Froob wrote:Undersized? Jesus what is the ideal size then lol? Are you putting him at the 3?


6'4" is undersized for a 2. Not to a great extent, but you kind of made my point for me. Guys that age well often do so because they can move up a position. Wade can't.

I feel like this ideal height people are looking for is mostly unrealistic, I mean if everyone is undersized then they aren't really undersized hah? No offense intended.
Image

Tommy Heinsohn wrote:The game is not over until they look you in the face and start crying.


RIP The_Hater
User avatar
VeryMuchWoke
Head Coach
Posts: 6,560
And1: 7,558
Joined: Dec 18, 2011
Location: Brooklyn
 

Re: Wade? 

Post#92 » by VeryMuchWoke » Tue Aug 22, 2017 6:46 pm

Froob wrote:
iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Froob wrote:Undersized? Jesus what is the ideal size then lol? Are you putting him at the 3?


6'4" is undersized for a 2. Not to a great extent, but you kind of made my point for me. Guys that age well often do so because they can move up a position. Wade can't.

I feel like this ideal height people are looking for is mostly unrealistic, I mean if everyone is undersized then they aren't really undersized hah? No offense intended.


I see the 2/3 as one position, his wingspan/reach is a valid counterpoint, so I suppose he isn't undersized, but I still don't see him moving into the stretch 4 role as he ages a la Pierce/Joe Johnson.
"Danny Ainge needs to shut the **** up and manage his own team. He was the biggest whiner when he was playing, and I know that because I coached against him."
Pat Riley
User avatar
Froob
Forum Mod - Celtics
Forum Mod - Celtics
Posts: 41,903
And1: 58,538
Joined: Nov 04, 2010
Location: ▼VII▲VIII
         

Re: Wade? 

Post#93 » by Froob » Tue Aug 22, 2017 6:56 pm

iTalkToTheLord wrote:
Froob wrote:
iTalkToTheLord wrote:
6'4" is undersized for a 2. Not to a great extent, but you kind of made my point for me. Guys that age well often do so because they can move up a position. Wade can't.

I feel like this ideal height people are looking for is mostly unrealistic, I mean if everyone is undersized then they aren't really undersized hah? No offense intended.


I see the 2/3 as one position, his wingspan/reach is a valid counterpoint, so I suppose he isn't undersized, but I still don't see him moving into the stretch 4 role as he ages a la Pierce/Joe Johnson.

True, I'm more concerned with how guys play than their size though generally speaking. Was always a lot of talk about AB being undersized but he defended Hayward (well guess he's a scrub now in hindsight) and Butler very well and even became a good rebounder. Then we have KO who is big but plays small.
Image

Tommy Heinsohn wrote:The game is not over until they look you in the face and start crying.


RIP The_Hater

Return to Boston Celtics