djFan71 wrote:Gomes3PC wrote:djFan71 wrote:6'9"/6'11" height/wingspan isn't anything special these days for a 4. KD (6'11'/7'5") Siakam (6'9"/7'3"). Horford is playing for Philly, Draymond has 7'1" wingspan, as does Jonathan Isaac. JJJ is 6'11"/7/4" and plays the 4 (and the 5).
At the 3, he has great advantages since he's fast for his height/length. Even at 230, at the 4, he's at best neutral physically, at worst slightly undersized. Hayward isn't even close, other than maybe strength he doesn't match up physically at all with other 4s.
Tatum's standing reach is 1 inch off of Siakam's and Horford's and .5" longer than Draymond's. That's at least as relevant in the frontcourt as wingspan, if not moreso given it's more about rim protection there than deflecting passes. Frankly my concern with Tatum is less about his ability to challenge PFs lengthwise and more whether is body frame may always be a guy who is a bit lacking sand in his pants - he has a good wide shoulder frame but his legs are narrow and he has no ass whatsoever. That higher center of gravity will be more of an inhibitor than if his 8-10 reach should be 8-11. The advanced metrics already show him as a premium defender at both the 3 and 4, and once he gets strong enough, I suspect he has everything needed to be good at the 4 defensively and dominate most of those slower PFs on the other end
For the record, I am confident JJJ is only playing the 4 right now because he's developing, just like KD started as a SG and moved down once he got stronger. In his prime he is a 5 and Clarke will be their 4. Tatum is the same - his strength makes it easier to play SF for now, but at maturity he will shift down to the 4 more and more.
This all circles back to - TODAY - we do not have an ideal frontcourt to battle in the east, but we don't have the requisite baseline talent on the roster to do so either. In 2 years I think the picture looks a lot different as this roster matures and Ainge continues to build around Tatum, Brown and Smart.
Agreed on JJJ and Horford both being more 5 than 4. I just think the trend is to taller/longer skilled bigs at 4 and those guys were off the top of my head. And I'd rather be longer at some positions than nuetral/short. We're short at PG, long with Brown at 2/short with Smart, neutral at 3 with Hayward, neutral/short at 4 if it's Tatum. 5 we're probably neutral this year. MIL just smothered us with length in the playoffs and rendered us ineffective.
And, I'm talking ideally, too, not just today. I think the only real long term option on the current roster at 4 is to develop RWilliams, but he just has so much to learn. I think he's just gotta focus on one position this year, and he's been playing center last year/SL, so that's probably the one. But, if you can do it, a 2-4 lineup of Brown/Tatum/Williams would be great.
I do agree at a fundamental level that more length is better than less. TOR also smothered their opponents the same way. It's just not everything, and Tatum playing the 4 won't be the inhibitor to true contention. If he develops into an All-NBA guy like we want him to, the hole to me is really finding another wing long term to fit between him and Brown.
My long-term goal is build a team around Smart at PG, Brown at SG, Tatum/[TBD] at the wings and Timelord at C (or another bouncy rim protector who doesn't need lots of touches). The ideal is to find some sort of primary initiator on the wing to fit between Brown and Tatum, which may be threading the needle too far, but if we can find that, I think you wind up with plus-plus length, defense and athleticism. Love Kemba but I think he is a stopgap on the way to building around the under-25 core sooner than later.