Captain_Caveman wrote:Darth Celtic wrote:Captain_Caveman wrote:
4 of them are swaps, so no, it's definitely not 8 1sts. It's 4 picks, with the possibility to improve draft position on 4 other picks. But how many of those swaps will even convey, if any? Should any swaps convey, how many will improve Houston's draft position by more than a handful of spots, or put them in the top 10? Houston will be fortunate to get just one of the swaps, and lucky as hell to get two, or any significant improvement on any of their picks in any of those years.
Of the 4 actual picks, 2 of them are Nets and Bucks 1sts in 2022. Not likely good. As to the other two, you are betting against Kevin Durant, another MVP-caliber guy, an All-Star, and a franchise willing to absorb lux tax pain.
At the end of the day, Harden got traded for a handful of maybes. That is a bitter pill.
how many playoff flops before they decide to cut salary? 1/ 2? 3?
every team is willing to pay way over the tax to contend, until they aren't. For them to stay way in the repeater tax, they have to win multiple championships which i'm not seeing.
I don't see that at all. For instance, they can pay Harden a lot more than anyone else can. If he chooses to move on, they can do a sign-and-trade and retain that ability to stay over the cap.
I'm a guy who was allllllll in on the KG/Pierce to the Nets trade, largely because they were older and the imminent demise of that Nets team was far more predictable, as was their inability to stay deep in the tax.
KD and Harden are only 32yo. Kyrie is still only 28. This is not in any way equivalent to our version of the Nets trade, IMO.
Yeah these are totally different deals. PP and KG were what, 35/36 years old, right? And it was clear KG had lost a step post-injury and especially in that final year before the deal. Pierce still had some in the tank but he wasn't far off from a decline either.
Unless you believe Harden's fat suit has ruined his game, he's far from done at 31 years old. Durant looks as good as you could imagine post-Achilles. Kyrie is...Kyrie. He is the wild card, but honestly even if he spins off the planet or gets hurt (either is equally likely), KD and Harden are as good a 1-2 punch as any in the NBA.
The picks are the picks. They're good assets and a smart GM will use them effectively to rebuild, but they'll be lucky if 2 of those turn into top 10 picks.
If you told me we could get Harden for Kemba, 4 1sts and 4 pick swaps, I would have done it before hanging up the phone.