I think we avoided Det in first round-Analysis!!!
Posted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 2:11 am
Lest look at all possible scenarios:
Options wit Philadelphia losing to Boston and at Cleveland
1) 6.Detroit 41:41/ 7.Chicago 41:41 /8.Philadelphia 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,wins away at Miami(Miami resting players) 41:41
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then wining home Toronto 41:41
2) 6.Detroit 41:41/ 7.Philadelphia 40:42 /8.Chicago 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,wins away at Miami(Miami resting players) 41:41
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then losing home Toronto 40:42
3) 6.Chicago 42:40(41:41)/ 7.Philadelphia 40:42 /8.Detroit 40:42(39:43)
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit loses home Chicago,wins or loses away at Miami 40:42(39:43)
- Chicago wins at Detroit and then wins or loses home Toronto 42:40(41:41)
4) 6.Philadelphia 40:42/ 7.Chicago 40:42 /8.Detroit 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,loses away at Miami 40:42
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then loses home Toronto 40:42
5) 6.Chicago 41:41/ 7.Philadelphia 40:42 /8.Detroit 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,loses away at Miami 40:42
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then wins home Toronto 41:41
Philadelphia wining Boston and losing at Cleveland
OR losing to Boston and wining at Cleveland
2) 6.Philadelphia 41:41/ 7.Detroit 40:42(41:41) /8.Chicago 40:42
- Philly WINS Boston and loses at Cleveland 41:41
- Detroit wins home Chicago,loses or wins away at Miami 40:42(41:41)
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then losing home Toronto 40:42
If Detroit in this option wins in Miami 41:41 they would still be 7th, as long as Chicago loses at home to Toronto 40:42.
If Detroit in this option wins in Miami 41:41 and Chicago wins at home Toronto 41:41 all 3 teams would have 41:41 and the order would be the same as with 40:42 record (6.Phi / 7.Chi / 8.Det).
So the only options in which Detroit finishes 7th is:
1)Philadelphia WIN 1 out of 2
2)Detroit WIN Chicago,WIN or LOSS at Miami
3)Chicago LOSS to Toronto
Philadelphia wining Boston and wining at Cleveland
2 options:
1)Philadelphia WIN Boston,WIN at Cleveland 42:40
2)Detroit WIN Chicago, WIN or LOSS Miami 40:42(41:41)
3)Chicago LOSS to Toronto 40:42
AND
1)Philadelphia WIN Boston,WIN at Cleveland 42:40
2)Detroit WIN Chicago,WIN Miami 41:41
3)Chicago WIN Toronto 41:41
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Ufffff...It took me 1 hour to be sure I went through all possible scenarios but this is it.
Im relived now because I think that we are pretty safe to avoid Detroit. Even if we loss in Philly and if Detroit wins Chicago I think Chicago will win last game against Toronto to get 7th spot and play with us.
Ok there is still option Chicago loses on purpose to finish 8th and play Cleveland(if they would prefer them) because on wednesday they would now what win or loss means to them.
Options wit Philadelphia losing to Boston and at Cleveland
1) 6.Detroit 41:41/ 7.Chicago 41:41 /8.Philadelphia 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,wins away at Miami(Miami resting players) 41:41
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then wining home Toronto 41:41
2) 6.Detroit 41:41/ 7.Philadelphia 40:42 /8.Chicago 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,wins away at Miami(Miami resting players) 41:41
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then losing home Toronto 40:42
3) 6.Chicago 42:40(41:41)/ 7.Philadelphia 40:42 /8.Detroit 40:42(39:43)
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit loses home Chicago,wins or loses away at Miami 40:42(39:43)
- Chicago wins at Detroit and then wins or loses home Toronto 42:40(41:41)
4) 6.Philadelphia 40:42/ 7.Chicago 40:42 /8.Detroit 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,loses away at Miami 40:42
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then loses home Toronto 40:42
5) 6.Chicago 41:41/ 7.Philadelphia 40:42 /8.Detroit 40:42
- Philly loses to Boston and at Cleveland 40:42
- Detroit wins home Chicago,loses away at Miami 40:42
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then wins home Toronto 41:41
Philadelphia wining Boston and losing at Cleveland
OR losing to Boston and wining at Cleveland
2) 6.Philadelphia 41:41/ 7.Detroit 40:42(41:41) /8.Chicago 40:42
- Philly WINS Boston and loses at Cleveland 41:41
- Detroit wins home Chicago,loses or wins away at Miami 40:42(41:41)
- Chicago loses at Detroit and then losing home Toronto 40:42
If Detroit in this option wins in Miami 41:41 they would still be 7th, as long as Chicago loses at home to Toronto 40:42.
If Detroit in this option wins in Miami 41:41 and Chicago wins at home Toronto 41:41 all 3 teams would have 41:41 and the order would be the same as with 40:42 record (6.Phi / 7.Chi / 8.Det).
So the only options in which Detroit finishes 7th is:
1)Philadelphia WIN 1 out of 2
2)Detroit WIN Chicago,WIN or LOSS at Miami
3)Chicago LOSS to Toronto
Philadelphia wining Boston and wining at Cleveland

2 options:
1)Philadelphia WIN Boston,WIN at Cleveland 42:40
2)Detroit WIN Chicago, WIN or LOSS Miami 40:42(41:41)
3)Chicago LOSS to Toronto 40:42
AND
1)Philadelphia WIN Boston,WIN at Cleveland 42:40
2)Detroit WIN Chicago,WIN Miami 41:41
3)Chicago WIN Toronto 41:41
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Ufffff...It took me 1 hour to be sure I went through all possible scenarios but this is it.
Im relived now because I think that we are pretty safe to avoid Detroit. Even if we loss in Philly and if Detroit wins Chicago I think Chicago will win last game against Toronto to get 7th spot and play with us.
Ok there is still option Chicago loses on purpose to finish 8th and play Cleveland(if they would prefer them) because on wednesday they would now what win or loss means to them.