A Statistical Perspective on Rajon Rondo
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2009 5:30 pm
The trade talks regarding Rondo make me ill. The talk about his "overrated defense" and our "4 on 5 offense" with him out there is beyond ludicrous. I, like most of the people here, watch a lot of basketball. I also understand the game pretty well. Unlike many people here, though, I also understand the stats and how they relate to a player's performance. Here's a rundown on what our young PG did this postseason.
1. He nearly averaged a triple double. Most people know this, but don't seem to actually be able to wrap their minds around what this entails. Well, here are some angles on that near triple double
a. Rondo led all players in assists for the postseason. Yup, he didn't play in the conference finals, nor in the Finals, but he still had the most dimes of anyone.
b. He finished 6th in total rebounds for the playoffs and 8th in rebounds per game. The seven ahead of him? Dwight Howard, Boozer, Noah, Perk, Yao, Gasol and Nowitzki. None shorter than 6'9", and all true bigs. Rondo is a 6'1" point guard.
c. He scored scored 16.9 ppg shooting .417 from the field. Chris Paul scored 16.6 shooting .411 and Deron Williams scored 20.2 shooting .414. Their TS% was better, but not a ton better. Call me crazy, but aren't those two widely considered "the best"?
2. Rondo finished 3 steals shy of tying for the total lead for the playoffs. TOTAL.
3. He is often compared to Jason Kidd. In Kidd's first playoffs he averaged 12.0 ppg, 6.0 reb and 9.8 ast shooting .396 from the field and .525 from the line (the five isn't a typo). Just in case you thought that wasn't in significant minutes, he played 41.4 mpg that postsaeason. Oh... and Kidd was a year older than Rondo.
4. He led the Celtics in PER by a pretty wide margin.
5. He was 6th in total efficiency for the playoffs. The 5 ahead of him were LeBron, Dirk, Dwight , Kobe, and Boozer.
6. He was "burned" by Alston to the tune of .333 shooting with Alston scoring his fewest ppg game in any of his four rounds, and also turning the ball over more than he did in any other round. Yep, Rondo really struggled playing him, despite the fact that it was primarily Rondo, himself, who was doubling Dwight Howard because we couldn't afford to have any of of our bigs get into foul trouble.
7. He had as many rebounds, by himself, as Paul and Ray had collectively (136). They are considered good rebounders for their positions.
8. He averaged 4.1 more rebounds per game than Big Baby.... who is a power forward.
9. He led the team in minutes per game because, in reality, things were generally VERY bad when he was OFF the court.
10. He had 3 more turnovers for the playoffs than Derrick Rose,.... and 92 more assists.
The fact of the matter was that Rondo was the team's best player in the playoffs. It wasn't even close. The reason for that is actually quite simple: Rondo is now the team's best player. That is why the team rides so much on how well he is playing. If he is on, they can hang with anyone.... even with a vastly depleted bench, missing a first ballot hall of famer in Garnett, and with Paul and Ray running on fumes. If he is off they are in trouble more often than not.
But hey, if you want to buy into the whole "Rondo held us back" fantasy, go right on ahead and believe that. As Candice Bergen and Gilda Radner once said on SNL: "It is your Constitutional right to be a complete idiot."
1. He nearly averaged a triple double. Most people know this, but don't seem to actually be able to wrap their minds around what this entails. Well, here are some angles on that near triple double
a. Rondo led all players in assists for the postseason. Yup, he didn't play in the conference finals, nor in the Finals, but he still had the most dimes of anyone.
b. He finished 6th in total rebounds for the playoffs and 8th in rebounds per game. The seven ahead of him? Dwight Howard, Boozer, Noah, Perk, Yao, Gasol and Nowitzki. None shorter than 6'9", and all true bigs. Rondo is a 6'1" point guard.
c. He scored scored 16.9 ppg shooting .417 from the field. Chris Paul scored 16.6 shooting .411 and Deron Williams scored 20.2 shooting .414. Their TS% was better, but not a ton better. Call me crazy, but aren't those two widely considered "the best"?
2. Rondo finished 3 steals shy of tying for the total lead for the playoffs. TOTAL.
3. He is often compared to Jason Kidd. In Kidd's first playoffs he averaged 12.0 ppg, 6.0 reb and 9.8 ast shooting .396 from the field and .525 from the line (the five isn't a typo). Just in case you thought that wasn't in significant minutes, he played 41.4 mpg that postsaeason. Oh... and Kidd was a year older than Rondo.
4. He led the Celtics in PER by a pretty wide margin.
5. He was 6th in total efficiency for the playoffs. The 5 ahead of him were LeBron, Dirk, Dwight , Kobe, and Boozer.
6. He was "burned" by Alston to the tune of .333 shooting with Alston scoring his fewest ppg game in any of his four rounds, and also turning the ball over more than he did in any other round. Yep, Rondo really struggled playing him, despite the fact that it was primarily Rondo, himself, who was doubling Dwight Howard because we couldn't afford to have any of of our bigs get into foul trouble.
7. He had as many rebounds, by himself, as Paul and Ray had collectively (136). They are considered good rebounders for their positions.
8. He averaged 4.1 more rebounds per game than Big Baby.... who is a power forward.
9. He led the team in minutes per game because, in reality, things were generally VERY bad when he was OFF the court.
10. He had 3 more turnovers for the playoffs than Derrick Rose,.... and 92 more assists.
The fact of the matter was that Rondo was the team's best player in the playoffs. It wasn't even close. The reason for that is actually quite simple: Rondo is now the team's best player. That is why the team rides so much on how well he is playing. If he is on, they can hang with anyone.... even with a vastly depleted bench, missing a first ballot hall of famer in Garnett, and with Paul and Ray running on fumes. If he is off they are in trouble more often than not.
But hey, if you want to buy into the whole "Rondo held us back" fantasy, go right on ahead and believe that. As Candice Bergen and Gilda Radner once said on SNL: "It is your Constitutional right to be a complete idiot."