badinage wrote:You’re ignoring — conveniently? — half the game/half the court.
And the kid made significant improvement last year; games started is an indication of nothing, really.
Assuming you're talking about his defense, I've stated my point before and I'll state it again. His defense is irrelevant. One good defender in a team game doesn't mean much. He's not good enough to shut down elite guard or wing scorers. No one is. He's not going to lock up Steph, Morant or Young. He's not going to shut down Durant, Tatum or Leonard. The Doncic's, of the world are going to cut through him like swiss cheese. This is important because you want to bring up his defense. So in these scenarios, how precisely will the team benefit from his defense?
But that's just the first level. The second level, is this. Last year teams underestimated Avdija's defense. This year, they will be more prepared. Meaning what? They won't even go at him. If we play the Celtic's and Tatum has the ball guess what's going to happen. They are going to use a screen to get either Morris or Porzingis/Gafford onto Tatum. This is what good offenses do. This isn't 1996 or 2001 where teams are willing to play bang their head against the proverbial offensive wall. It's 2022 and they will attack the weakest link.
To put it another way, a defense is only as good as it's weakest link. So even if Avdija does play good defense, why should I care? We have major defensive liabilities on the floor. If both Morris and Porzingis are starting there's virtually no way for us to stop an offense that has an advanced level scorer (think Darius Garland) much less an elite scorer. So in these scenarios, we need shooting.
As far as your comment about games starting meaning nothing, I think misinterpreted what I was saying. Yes, in and of itself games started means nothing. What matters is the players' skill level, talent and ability. But when you hear about players who refuse to play if they have to come off the bench...
https://www.si.com/nba/lakers/news/lakers-russell-westbrook-laughs-off-idea-of-becoming-bench-player-ee21https://bleacherreport.com/articles/285965-breaking-news-iverson-is-not-happy-coming-off-the-benchYou're kidding yourself if you don't think starting and then not starting affects a player's confidence level. All of this to say, I think it is no coincidence that Deni just posted a video of him shooting. He knows, just like Drew Hanlen knows just like everyone in the organization knows how important 3-point shooting is. You said he improved last year, fine. How did his improvement actually benefit the team? To put it another way, how did his improvement actually contribute to wins?
And herein lies the rub. The only way to talk about Deni Avdija is in a vacuum. Disconnected from what actually contributes to winning basketball for the Wizards. To a degree this is fine. It is not uncommon to see a team give a player significant playing time in the hopes that he will develop down the road. One of my frustrations with the Wizards, is Sheppard's insistence that we try to both - win in the present and build for the future. And nowhere is this contradiction more glaring than in Deni Avdija's short career.
But as with every young prospect, the question must be asked, how much rope should the Wizards give Avdija? How long before we stop talking about Avdija's progress in a vacuum and start to only talk about how he contributes to winning. Is Avdija's potential even great enough to warrant this investment? When a coach has a mandate to win, he puts the best players on the floor. I don't care how much he improves at other aspects. If Avdija comes out and shoots 31.7% from the field I do not expect him to end the season in the rotation and neither should he.