younggunsmn wrote:Slim Tubby wrote:My guess is that it will be Gobert. He will only be 32 yet still four (4) years older than KAT and have 2/$90M left on his deal with the second year being a PO. He will be seeking one last substantial long-term contract meaning he will opt out of the second year and become a VERY tradable asset.
How many significant assets are you sending out with Gobert to get off of that contract? 2/91 and 32 years old.
I think some are still stuck on the idea of prime peak value DPOY Gobert versus reality of a 30+ 7'2" big man playing a reduced role here compared to those Utah years.
He would need a DPOY type season again to move his trade value back into positive territory, and even that is marginal when his contract is taken into account.
And if that happens, you are probably running that team back.
There is no way on god's green earth he turns down 47 million dollars as a 33 year old, he will never touch that kind of money again.
A player with similar value and age in Vucevic just re-signed for 3 years and 60 million, less than half what Rudy is owed over the same period.
We would have our own '31 1st to trade next summer and pickswaps in '24,'28,and '30.
You want to add more picks to the original Gobert trade to get off of his contract?
Best case, we take on a highly negative contract or 2 for 20-25 million total to a team with the room and willingness to absorb his 2/90 remaining next summer.
Players so negative they are getting DNP-CD'd or out for the year with injuries (Lonzo Ball for example), and whatever team is taking Gobert is getting draft capital from the team(s) dumping said contracts.
Example:
To Min: Lonzo Ball + 25 mil cap space
To Was: Gobert + 1st round pick (s) from Chicago absorbed using cap space
To Chi: Salary/Tax relief for Lonzo Ball
Not saying that would work or is even feasible, just that is one kind of framework for sending out Gobert without attaching assets.
That's the reason the talking heads are speculating more on KAT getting moved rather than Gobert, because KAT could potentially be moved for positive value.
Although it sounds like his gigantic supermax extension is making teams hesitant about making realistic offers.
For what it's worth, I think we are stuck with Gobert for the next 3 years, and best case we get the owners to pay 30 million in luxury taxes each year in '24 and '25. We are just going to have to try to make it work on the court and hope he can develop some chemistry with Ant and be a difference maker and we have a super expensive roleplayer splitting time with Naz.
KAT, if he is traded, I hope it is for value/fit and not because of salary concerns.
His contract will have concerns beyond the Gobert timeline ( which is the next 3 years), as he will be making 60 million+ the first 2 years post-Gobert, when Ant and Jaden will be entering their primes.
I would look at this as our 2nd window, and if we do trade KAT, one of my primary objectives would be to add a big or PG who fits into that window. Maybe that guy isn't in even in the league yet, which is an argument for waiting.
Worst case, mandate comes down from ownership next summer regarding cutting salary for tax concerns.
Trading KAT/Naz/Jaden is the only realistic way to do that.