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The Official Jaden McDaniels Thread

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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#641 » by Klomp » Mon Oct 2, 2023 11:21 pm

younggunsmn wrote:It's true I'm a little higher on Jaden than my normal take on Wolves players.
There are 3 reasons really:
1. Maybe best wing defender in the NBA RIGHT NOW
2. Unique height/ length/athleticism/dexterity/shooting touch combo you do not find very often gives him a really high ceiling
3. Great looking shooting stroke and the stats to back it up.

For those reasons I'm more than fine paying Jaden 17-18% of the cap going forward, even if he ends up never cracking the top 3 in the offensive pecking order.
I'm certainly much more OK with that than paying Gobert 30% of the cap for a similar impact.
If Jaden does break through offensively, we have an absolute bargain.

It's worth mentioning that Jaden has to already be one of the best 3/D players in the league. Most are maybe stronger on one end but only average-to-solid on the other end. At only 23, Jaden has already provided elite defense and added 40% 3-point shooting last year.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#642 » by KGdaBom » Mon Oct 2, 2023 11:41 pm

Note30 wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
younggunsmn wrote:
You didn't answer my question. What % of the cap is your walkaway point?
15% when his extension starts in 2024 would be a deal starting at 22.4 million.
a deal starting at 25 million would be 16.7% of the cap.
For a deal with an AAV of 30 million, you are probably somewhere north of 18%.

I expect his deal to start at a minimum of 25 million per, be ascending, and approach 30 million AAV.
Devin Vassell, a slightly inferior player, just signed for 5/146 or 29.2 mil per.

You are actually taking a "Mr Positivity" view of what you think we should be able to sign him for.
I am sticking by a "Mr Realistic" view of what I think that will be.

It's true I'm a little higher on Jaden than my normal take on Wolves players.
There are 3 reasons really:
1. Maybe best wing defender in the NBA RIGHT NOW
2. Unique height/ length/athleticism/dexterity/shooting touch combo you do not find very often gives him a really high ceiling
3. Great looking shooting stroke and the stats to back it up.

For those reasons I'm more than fine paying Jaden 17-18% of the cap going forward, even if he ends up never cracking the top 3 in the offensive pecking order.
I'm certainly much more OK with that than paying Gobert 30% of the cap for a similar impact.
If Jaden does break through offensively, we have an absolute bargain.

If it weren't for his lack of offensive counting stats, he would be a slam dunk max contract.
Maybe best wing defender in NBA, 52/40 shooting splits last year.
If he hits the open market next summer and simply repeats last year's performance, he will likely have multiple offers next summer starting north of 30 mil per.

To me, the length is as important if not more than the dollar amount.
I would pay him 1-2% more of the cap just to get a straight 5 years with no player option if I were TC.

I would not use Mikal Bridges as a comp, that contract was a bargain the second he put pen to paper, and at that time he was 70% of the player he is now.

I consider Vassell to be a much superior player to Jaden. He signed for under $30 million a year. So $25 million per year 16.7% of the cap is the most we should pay Jaden IMO.


Dude. You really don't know what you're talking about if you think Vassell is a much superior player. He's a good 3pt shooter and that's his strongest calling card. His midrange is about average and his decision making on ball is pretty poor. He constantly misses rotations on defense. He's also taking 16 shots to average 18.5/19 pts a game. Not exactly efficient.

He's the only player on the SAS roster to get the greenlight to shoot midrange shots off split screens and has delay actions setup for him. Despite that massive advantage, he still shoots at about average from midrange, above average from the left elbow and far below average from the right.

He also got the go go greenlight because of pure lack of offensive options, especially later in the year when they lost Poetl who started their offense almost every play. Granted he was also returning from around that time and he was injured for most of the year.

I'm not gonna say he sucks, he's obviously a good player with a decent ceiling, he's a decent shooter and create his own shot off action. But that's about as far as his skillset goes. He's not a good slasher, nor does he have amazing playmaking ability. He's pretty average defensively as well. He's basically a taller and more athletic version of Dlo, with even less playmaking ability. He has a decent ceiling.

Jaden on the other hand has never had that greenlight. He's not the shooter Vassell is but is still respectable. He's a much better slasher and finisher, and has quite a respectable shot between 3ft and free throw line. He's a decent corner 3pt shooter and despite lack of opportunities has done a pretty solid job passing the ball. If he was on a worse team he'd probably be averaging 16-18 pts as well. He can't handle the ball as well as Vassell, sure but his handle for his height is still pretty respectable, he can't change pace like a guard but he still has atleast two levels of ball control.

Treating Jaden like his offensive game isn't usable as a primary option is a luxury we are given. I suggest you don't take it as an indication of his abilities.

Defensively I'm not even going to talk about Jaden because it should be a foregone conclusion. He's the best defender on this team.

I appreciate your insight into Vassell. It's way above mine. I just know that when I watch him play I really like what I see and he has been great for my fantasy teams. I still believe he is a superior player to Jaden as he has been a #1 or 2 option and Jaden has no offensive history at all. Vassell is also an excellent defender. If Jaden is actually better than the Wolves should win it all this year. Just too much talent on this team to be denied.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#643 » by BlacJacMac » Mon Oct 2, 2023 11:52 pm

Vassell was a "#1 or 2 option" on the 29th ranked offense.

(And an "excellent defender" on the 30th ranked defense)

That's not really a sick brag...
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#644 » by twolves31 » Tue Oct 3, 2023 3:50 pm

All of us here are Wolves fans, and if Wolves fans can't come to a consensus that he is worth 20 million a year, 25 million a year, 30 million a year, or a max how do you think fans of other teams are going to look at Jaden's eventual contract? I have a feeling as soon as Woj or Shams tweets what we sign Jaden for the most common responses from non Wolves fans will be who, and the new worst contract in the nba. I do hope Jaden proves all of them wrong, including me and the Wolves fans on here that think he is worth 25 million per year or less.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#645 » by Note30 » Tue Oct 3, 2023 4:42 pm

twolves31 wrote:All of us here are Wolves fans, and if Wolves fans can't come to a consensus that he is worth 20 million a year, 25 million a year, 30 million a year, or a max how do you think fans of other teams are going to look at Jaden's eventual contract? I have a feeling as soon as Woj or Shams tweets what we sign Jaden for the most common responses from non Wolves fans will be who, and the new worst contract in the nba. I do hope Jaden proves all of them wrong, including me and the Wolves fans on here that think he is worth 25 million per year or less.


Unfortunately, that's not how this works. You're paying for what the guy can bring to the table.

Also, who cares what they think?
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#646 » by KGdaBom » Tue Oct 3, 2023 6:22 pm

Note30 wrote:
twolves31 wrote:All of us here are Wolves fans, and if Wolves fans can't come to a consensus that he is worth 20 million a year, 25 million a year, 30 million a year, or a max how do you think fans of other teams are going to look at Jaden's eventual contract? I have a feeling as soon as Woj or Shams tweets what we sign Jaden for the most common responses from non Wolves fans will be who, and the new worst contract in the nba. I do hope Jaden proves all of them wrong, including me and the Wolves fans on here that think he is worth 25 million per year or less.


Unfortunately, that's not how this works. You're paying for what the guy can bring to the table.

Also, who cares what they think?

I admit I have an irrational disdain for NOT STARS in the NBA making $30 million or more. Some are calling Jaden our #3. I don't know about that. Gobert ranks higher on every list I've seen and the way we talk about Conley Jaden is probably behind him. We just may be paying our #5 player $30 Million a year. It also speaks to the ridonkulous amount of talent we have.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#647 » by thinktank » Tue Oct 3, 2023 6:53 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
Note30 wrote:
twolves31 wrote:All of us here are Wolves fans, and if Wolves fans can't come to a consensus that he is worth 20 million a year, 25 million a year, 30 million a year, or a max how do you think fans of other teams are going to look at Jaden's eventual contract? I have a feeling as soon as Woj or Shams tweets what we sign Jaden for the most common responses from non Wolves fans will be who, and the new worst contract in the nba. I do hope Jaden proves all of them wrong, including me and the Wolves fans on here that think he is worth 25 million per year or less.


Unfortunately, that's not how this works. You're paying for what the guy can bring to the table.

Also, who cares what they think?

I admit I have an irrational disdain for NOT STARS in the NBA making $30 million or more. Some are calling Jaden our #3. I don't know about that. Gobert ranks higher on every list I've seen and the way we talk about Conley Jaden is probably behind him. We just may be paying our #5 player $30 Million a year. It also speaks to the ridonkulous amount of talent we have.


STARS make 50 million+ now (see Ant and KAT). Heck, Gobert makes 40 or so.

Jaden, at 30 million, would be 60% or less of what stars make.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#648 » by Klomp » Tue Oct 3, 2023 6:54 pm

KGdaBom wrote:I admit I have an irrational disdain for NOT STARS in the NBA making $30 million or more. Some are calling Jaden our #3. I don't know about that. Gobert ranks higher on every list I've seen and the way we talk about Conley Jaden is probably behind him. We just may be paying our #5 player $30 Million a year. It also speaks to the ridonkulous amount of talent we have.

It's stupid to look at only Year 1 of a 4 or 5 year contract and use that as the measuring stick for what the guy's value to the team is going to be over the life of the contract. Actually, you're using Year 0 since the contract won't even go into effect until 2024. He's 23. By the end of the contract Rudy and Mike will likely be out of the league.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#649 » by thinktank » Tue Oct 3, 2023 6:55 pm

I can’t even with KGDB. Ugh. Scattershot hot takes all over the forum. Oh well.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#650 » by Note30 » Tue Oct 3, 2023 7:02 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
Note30 wrote:
twolves31 wrote:All of us here are Wolves fans, and if Wolves fans can't come to a consensus that he is worth 20 million a year, 25 million a year, 30 million a year, or a max how do you think fans of other teams are going to look at Jaden's eventual contract? I have a feeling as soon as Woj or Shams tweets what we sign Jaden for the most common responses from non Wolves fans will be who, and the new worst contract in the nba. I do hope Jaden proves all of them wrong, including me and the Wolves fans on here that think he is worth 25 million per year or less.


Unfortunately, that's not how this works. You're paying for what the guy can bring to the table.

Also, who cares what they think?

I admit I have an irrational disdain for NOT STARS in the NBA making $30 million or more. Some are calling Jaden our #3. I don't know about that. Gobert ranks higher on every list I've seen and the way we talk about Conley Jaden is probably behind him. We just may be paying our #5 player $30 Million a year. It also speaks to the ridonkulous amount of talent we have.


Then stop using the lists and the player rankings you're reading to inform how basketball should be played.

Gobert is not a good offensive option period. Any list or stat that tells you that is off and if you're going to continue using that argument, just know you're wrong. Either you didn't watch the games last year or you didn't understand.

Conley can't be the third option largely because his skillset should be spent facilitating the talent we do have. There's also an argument about whether he has the energy to take more shots while facilitating the offense. Additionally, Conley isn't our future, he's got a couple years left.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#651 » by Note30 » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:07 pm

thinktank wrote:I can’t even with KGDB. Ugh. Scattershot hot takes all over the forum. Oh well.


I don't think he's trying to illicit a reaction with his takes.

It's genuinely what he believes I think. He just uses the games he watches and fantasy basketball to create his basketball knowledge and then posts that.

That being said I do appreciate that he's pretty active.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#652 » by BlacJacMac » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:09 pm

thinktank wrote:I can’t even with KGDB. Ugh. Scattershot hot takes all over the forum. Oh well.


Someone just made a foe list...
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#653 » by KGdaBom » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:20 pm

Klomp wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:I admit I have an irrational disdain for NOT STARS in the NBA making $30 million or more. Some are calling Jaden our #3. I don't know about that. Gobert ranks higher on every list I've seen and the way we talk about Conley Jaden is probably behind him. We just may be paying our #5 player $30 Million a year. It also speaks to the ridonkulous amount of talent we have.

It's stupid to look at only Year 1 of a 4 or 5 year contract and use that as the measuring stick for what the guy's value to the team is going to be over the life of the contract. Actually, you're using Year 0 since the contract won't even go into effect until 2024. He's 23. By the end of the contract Rudy and Mike will likely be out of the league.

I agree with your post even though you're calling me stupid. I'm just pointing out how things are now. Yes Mike will likely be out of the league by the time it ends. Rudy will probably still be around, but who knows where.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#654 » by KGdaBom » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:22 pm

Note30 wrote:
thinktank wrote:I can’t even with KGDB. Ugh. Scattershot hot takes all over the forum. Oh well.


I don't think he's trying to illicit a reaction with his takes.

It's genuinely what he believes I think. He just uses the games he watches and fantasy basketball to create his basketball knowledge and then posts that.

That being said I do appreciate that he's pretty active.

I'm just telling things how they are. Jaden is not a star. Not in any way shape or form. He's a player with potential.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#655 » by TimberKat » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:46 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
Note30 wrote:
thinktank wrote:I can’t even with KGDB. Ugh. Scattershot hot takes all over the forum. Oh well.


I don't think he's trying to illicit a reaction with his takes.

It's genuinely what he believes I think. He just uses the games he watches and fantasy basketball to create his basketball knowledge and then posts that.

That being said I do appreciate that he's pretty active.

I'm just telling things how they are. Jaden is not a star. Not in any way shape or form. He's a player with potential.

I don't play fantasy basketball and feel Jaden isn't a star yet. ESPN+'s preseason team analysis had his contract extension below 25 mil starting point. Clutchpoint player ranking had him at 84 behind Josh Giddy and TM3. So, I think it OK to feel that way. I am also not betting on him to become an NBA all star in the next two years. His ceiling is likely Wiggins.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#656 » by thinktank » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:49 pm

BlacJacMac wrote:
thinktank wrote:I can’t even with KGDB. Ugh. Scattershot hot takes all over the forum. Oh well.


Someone just made a foe list...


I chuckled.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#657 » by thinktank » Tue Oct 3, 2023 8:50 pm

TimberKat wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
Note30 wrote:
I don't think he's trying to illicit a reaction with his takes.

It's genuinely what he believes I think. He just uses the games he watches and fantasy basketball to create his basketball knowledge and then posts that.

That being said I do appreciate that he's pretty active.

I'm just telling things how they are. Jaden is not a star. Not in any way shape or form. He's a player with potential.

I don't play fantasy basketball and feel Jaden isn't a star yet. ESPN+'s preseason team analysis had his contract extension below 25 mil starting point. Clutchpoint player ranking had him at 84 behind Josh Giddy and TM3. So, I think it OK to feel that way. I am also not betting on him to become an NBA all star in the next two years. His ceiling is likely Wiggins.


No one said he was already a star.

Tilting at windmills.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#658 » by Note30 » Tue Oct 3, 2023 9:38 pm

thinktank wrote:
TimberKat wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:I'm just telling things how they are. Jaden is not a star. Not in any way shape or form. He's a player with potential.

I don't play fantasy basketball and feel Jaden isn't a star yet. ESPN+'s preseason team analysis had his contract extension below 25 mil starting point. Clutchpoint player ranking had him at 84 behind Josh Giddy and TM3. So, I think it OK to feel that way. I am also not betting on him to become an NBA all star in the next two years. His ceiling is likely Wiggins.


No one said he was already a star.

Tilting at windmills.


To me he's got the trajectory of a Mikal Bridges
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#659 » by NebWolvesFan » Tue Oct 3, 2023 9:53 pm

Note30 wrote:
thinktank wrote:
TimberKat wrote:I don't play fantasy basketball and feel Jaden isn't a star yet. ESPN+'s preseason team analysis had his contract extension below 25 mil starting point. Clutchpoint player ranking had him at 84 behind Josh Giddy and TM3. So, I think it OK to feel that way. I am also not betting on him to become an NBA all star in the next two years. His ceiling is likely Wiggins.


No one said he was already a star.

Tilting at windmills.


To me he's got the trajectory of a Mikal Bridges


I actually think he has the upside of a Brandon Ingram who plays all-NBA defense. Ingram scored 18 ppg in his third year, but on bad efficiency and on a bad team - Lakers finished 10th in the West.
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Re: Jaden McDaniels thread 

Post#660 » by Note30 » Tue Oct 3, 2023 10:01 pm

NebWolvesFan wrote:
Note30 wrote:
thinktank wrote:
No one said he was already a star.

Tilting at windmills.


To me he's got the trajectory of a Mikal Bridges


I actually think he has the upside of a Brandon Ingram who plays all-NBA defense. Ingram scored 18 ppg in his third year, but on bad efficiency and on a bad team - Lakers finished 10th in the West.


I meant like his career line

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