ImageImageImageImageImage

Official Trade Thread Part XLV

Moderators: LyricalRico, nate33, montestewart

NatP4
RealGM
Posts: 14,779
And1: 6,011
Joined: Jul 24, 2016
         

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1801 » by NatP4 » Sat Dec 30, 2023 4:10 am

It’s the combination of getting all of those picks wrong. Mobley and Suggs were in the conversation for #1. Plenty of people out there were expressing skepticism about Cunningham. He was very mediocre at OK State.

Ivey was mocked top 5, but the Kings made the ballsy move to pass and benefited significantly. Detroit just has no idea how to evaluate players. Evidence by them picking up busts like Wiseman and Bagley.
Silvie Lysandra
Starter
Posts: 2,196
And1: 465
Joined: May 22, 2007
   

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1802 » by Silvie Lysandra » Sat Dec 30, 2023 7:27 am

The Consiglieri wrote:
NatP4 wrote:It’s far more than that. They picked guys like Doumbouya, Kennard, Ellenson, and Stanley Johnson.

Terrible drafting for a decade.

Cunningham and Ivey were two of the most overrated prospects of all time. Suggs and Murray alongside Ausar Thompson, would be a solid starting point for a rebuild.

But literally the entire league was wrong about both of them (if they bust or just underwhelm). It's not like they were taking Muresan in the top 5 or something nuts like that, Ivey and Cunningham were consensus top of lottery guys, Ivey was gonna go higher according to some and Cunningham was 1 or 2 on nearly every scouts board and reported mock based on interviews I saw. The whole league was wrong, this wasn't the Jets or Raiders going full Jets or Raiders off the board, this was the league just missing on an eval (if it plays out that way). I agree with Nate on that breakdown. That was the reality of people's boards at the time. It is weird that they are colossaly bad after so many consensus top guys went right to them. They didn't even have terrible lottery luck, they were pulling top guys for the classes in draft after draft. How on earth they are worse than us is beyond me.


can't speak to Ivey but I think what went wrong with Cade is that everyone was fighting the last war, namely, the NBA blew the eval on Luka (Anyone not named Luka Doncic even being considered for #1, let alone actually TAKEN #1, was a massively blown eval), and i think people didn't' want to repeat that, but the problem witih Cade is that Cade was less dominant against boys than Luka was against men.
bsilver
Rookie
Posts: 1,102
And1: 592
Joined: Aug 09, 2005
Location: New Haven, CT

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1803 » by bsilver » Sat Dec 30, 2023 3:18 pm

Cade Cunningham has been playing very well lately. His December stats vs Oct/Nov show a huge improvement.
Makes no sense to count him out. He is only 22.
There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics — quote popularized by Mark Twain.
badinage
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,773
And1: 1,264
Joined: May 09, 2002

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1804 » by badinage » Sat Dec 30, 2023 5:27 pm

NatP4 wrote:It’s the combination of getting all of those picks wrong. Mobley and Suggs were in the conversation for #1. Plenty of people out there were expressing skepticism about Cunningham. He was very mediocre at OK State.

Ivey was mocked top 5, but the Kings made the ballsy move to pass and benefited significantly. Detroit just has no idea how to evaluate players. Evidence by them picking up busts like Wiseman and Bagley.


And yet we were all told on here, for years and years, that we needed a GM like Troy Weaver.

That Weaver knew talent. That he had Thunder pedigree. That he was from DC.
DCZards
RealGM
Posts: 11,158
And1: 5,007
Joined: Jul 16, 2005
Location: The Streets of DC
     

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1805 » by DCZards » Sat Dec 30, 2023 6:28 pm

bsilver wrote:Cade Cunningham has been playing very well lately. His December stats vs Oct/Nov show a huge improvement.
Makes no sense to count him out. He is only 22.

I expect Cade to still turn out to be at worst the third best player from the 2021 draft (after Barnes &, maybe Mobley).

I was extremely high on Ivey who has struggled to even earn playing time. However, he’s played better lately.

I like the idea that some have posted here suggesting that the Zards trade for Ivey while his stock is low.
Frichuela
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,658
And1: 3,730
Joined: Feb 25, 2015
 

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1806 » by Frichuela » Sat Dec 30, 2023 8:27 pm

DCZards wrote:
bsilver wrote:Cade Cunningham has been playing very well lately. His December stats vs Oct/Nov show a huge improvement.
Makes no sense to count him out. He is only 22.

I expect Cade to still turn out to be at worst the third best player from the 2021 draft (after Barnes &, maybe Mosley).

I was extremely high on Ivey who has struggled to even earn playing time. However, he’s played better lately.

I like the idea that some have posted here suggesting that the Zards trade for Ivey while his stock is low.



Agreed. The Wiz need to make gambles of this sort if they want to be competitive at some point. As you said, Ivey has been playing better as of late. Guards take time and he is only 21 with great size (a wingspan of 6’9”).
NatP4
RealGM
Posts: 14,779
And1: 6,011
Joined: Jul 24, 2016
         

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1807 » by NatP4 » Sat Dec 30, 2023 9:26 pm

No thanks. Was all for it whenever people were calling Suggs a bust and proposing a Hachimura swap. Jared Butler is a better prospect than Ivey at this point.

Butler per 36: 20.4 points 8.4 assists 3.2 rebounds 2.6 steals 63.5% TS. Only a year older than Ivey.
DCZards
RealGM
Posts: 11,158
And1: 5,007
Joined: Jul 16, 2005
Location: The Streets of DC
     

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1808 » by DCZards » Sat Dec 30, 2023 9:29 pm

NatP4 wrote:No thanks. Was all for it whenever people were calling Suggs a bust and proposing a Hachimura swap. Jared Butler is a better prospect than Ivey at this point.

Butler per 36: 20.4 points 8.4 assists 3.2 rebounds 2.6 steals 63.5% TS. Only a year older than Ivey.

Ivey is an elite athlete who is still just learning to play. I’d take a chance on him.

I like Butler. But those are almost entirely garbage time numbers against the other team’s backups.
9 and 20
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,752
And1: 1,292
Joined: Mar 28, 2021
 

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1809 » by 9 and 20 » Sat Dec 30, 2023 11:36 pm

Knicks just made a win-now trade for Anunoby. Maybe increases their incentive to trade for a center like Gafford?

I like Gaff a lot but we can be just as trash without him.

I'd trade Tyus Jones too - hopefully he brings back a good pick. Not sure if Delon Wright or Shamet would bring anything back. Maybe just keep them since the team has no faith in Johnny Davis.

Winger about to add 26 2nd round picks to his bag.
Can't say I do. Who else gonna shoot?
NYG
RealGM
Posts: 15,062
And1: 2,995
Joined: Aug 09, 2017

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1810 » by NYG » Sat Dec 30, 2023 11:43 pm

Gafford and Tyus for Sims, Fournier, Wizards 1st returned and '24 Jazz 2nd?
bsilver
Rookie
Posts: 1,102
And1: 592
Joined: Aug 09, 2005
Location: New Haven, CT

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1811 » by bsilver » Sun Dec 31, 2023 12:50 am

DCZards wrote:
bsilver wrote:Cade Cunningham has been playing very well lately. His December stats vs Oct/Nov show a huge improvement.
Makes no sense to count him out. He is only 22.

I expect Cade to still turn out to be at worst the third best player from the 2021 draft (after Barnes &, maybe Mosley).

I was extremely high on Ivey who has struggled to even earn playing time. However, he’s played better lately.

I like the idea that some have posted here suggesting that the Zards trade for Ivey while his stock is low.

You had me googling Mos(b)ley. I think if I was picking number 1, it would be Franz Wagner.
There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics — quote popularized by Mark Twain.
payitforward
RealGM
Posts: 24,815
And1: 9,210
Joined: May 02, 2012
Location: On the Atlantic

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1812 » by payitforward » Sun Dec 31, 2023 2:05 am

NatP4 wrote:No thanks. Was all for it whenever people were calling Suggs a bust and proposing a Hachimura swap. Jared Butler is a better prospect than Ivey at this point.

Butler per 36: 20.4 points 8.4 assists 3.2 rebounds 2.6 steals 63.5% TS. Only a year older than Ivey.

In his last 5 games, Butler has gone 14-21 from the floor, including 4-9 on 3-pointers. & 6-8 from the line.

38 points in 47 minutes (32.34 per 40 minutes) at a 77.5% TS% !! Not to mention 13 assists & 4 steals vs only 3 TOs & 3 fouls.

That's tremendous work.

Obviously, it's a tiny sample, nor was he playing against starters (or with much at stake). All the same, good play is good play & should earn him minutes!
NatP4
RealGM
Posts: 14,779
And1: 6,011
Joined: Jul 24, 2016
         

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1813 » by NatP4 » Sun Dec 31, 2023 2:30 am

Just counting down the days until Jones is traded and Butler gets real minutes. Had him as the 3rd of 4th best player in his draft class. Still a believer

Tonight Butler had 32&12 with the Go-Go.
NatP4
RealGM
Posts: 14,779
And1: 6,011
Joined: Jul 24, 2016
         

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1814 » by NatP4 » Sun Dec 31, 2023 2:34 am

bsilver wrote:
DCZards wrote:
bsilver wrote:Cade Cunningham has been playing very well lately. His December stats vs Oct/Nov show a huge improvement.
Makes no sense to count him out. He is only 22.

I expect Cade to still turn out to be at worst the third best player from the 2021 draft (after Barnes &, maybe Mosley).

I was extremely high on Ivey who has struggled to even earn playing time. However, he’s played better lately.

I like the idea that some have posted here suggesting that the Zards trade for Ivey while his stock is low.

You had me googling Mos(b)ley. I think if I was picking number 1, it would be Franz Wagner.


Wagner, Sengun, Suggs.
penbeast0
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Posts: 30,548
And1: 10,026
Joined: Aug 14, 2004
Location: South Florida
 

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1815 » by penbeast0 » Sun Dec 31, 2023 3:21 am

NYG wrote:Gafford and Tyus for Sims, Fournier, Wizards 1st returned and '24 Jazz 2nd?


I think for both Gafford and Tyus, you are going to have to give up a real 1st in addition to the Wiz first which probably won't convey but is still valuable for flexibility.

Tyus won't resign in a reserve role though so the deal should probably be Gafford and Wright for Fournier and the Wiz 1st returned. Wright gives you the short term POA defender and spot shooter off the bench, just without the offensive punch that made IQ valuable.
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
User avatar
doclinkin
RealGM
Posts: 15,136
And1: 6,869
Joined: Jul 26, 2004
Location: .wizuds.

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1816 » by doclinkin » Sun Dec 31, 2023 8:52 am

bsilver wrote:
DCZards wrote:
bsilver wrote:Cade Cunningham has been playing very well lately. His December stats vs Oct/Nov show a huge improvement.
Makes no sense to count him out. He is only 22.

I expect Cade to still turn out to be at worst the third best player from the 2021 draft (after Barnes &, maybe Mosley).

I was extremely high on Ivey who has struggled to even earn playing time. However, he’s played better lately.

I like the idea that some have posted here suggesting that the Zards trade for Ivey while his stock is low.

You had me googling Mos(b)ley. I think if I was picking number 1, it would be Franz Wagner.


I think I'd still take Mobley 1st overall. 2nd youngest player to earn a 1st team Defensive team. Playing the most critical defensive position. It's close, Wagner is an elite glue guy, he reminds me of Andre Kirilenko in his ability to affect all aspects of the game. But Mobley has play defense in the no-man's land on every possession to cover for a team that has undersized guards in 6'1" Garland and 6'3" Mitchell. And he carried that team to the best defense in the league last year. Yes he has Jarret Allen as a drop defender safety net behind him, but Mobley is the key on that squad, able to play either 4 or 5 at both ends. If we had Mobley playing next to Gafford, our defense would not be as miserable. If we had Wagner, we'd still suck at D, just a bit less.
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,554
And1: 23,015
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1817 » by nate33 » Sun Dec 31, 2023 2:39 pm

doclinkin wrote:
bsilver wrote:
DCZards wrote:I expect Cade to still turn out to be at worst the third best player from the 2021 draft (after Barnes &, maybe Mosley).

I was extremely high on Ivey who has struggled to even earn playing time. However, he’s played better lately.

I like the idea that some have posted here suggesting that the Zards trade for Ivey while his stock is low.

You had me googling Mos(b)ley. I think if I was picking number 1, it would be Franz Wagner.


I think I'd still take Mobley 1st overall. 2nd youngest player to earn a 1st team Defensive team. Playing the most critical defensive position. It's close, Wagner is an elite glue guy, he reminds me of Andre Kirilenko in his ability to affect all aspects of the game. But Mobley has play defense in the no-man's land on every possession to cover for a team that has undersized guards in 6'1" Garland and 6'3" Mitchell. And he carried that team to the best defense in the league last year. Yes he has Jarret Allen as a drop defender safety net behind him, but Mobley is the key on that squad, able to play either 4 or 5 at both ends. If we had Mobley playing next to Gafford, our defense would not be as miserable. If we had Wagner, we'd still suck at D, just a bit less.

I dunno. It's a little disappointing that Mobley seems to have plateaued. We haven't seen him add any skills since arriving to the league, he has merely gotten a little stronger and smarter as one would expect. His numbers are the same as last year except an uptick in rebounding. He hasn't really added the offensive skill to play PF like I was hoping. It looks like his destiny will be to continue to get bigger and shift to full time center. Don't get me wrong, Mobley is a defensive anchor at center who will surely pan out to be one of the 7 or 8 centers in the league who really matter. I suppose that's enough to still rank him #1 in his draft. But his lack of outside shooting lowers his offensive ceiling. I'm thinking he'll have a career more like a Bam Adebayo rather than a Kevin Garnett - consistently a top 5 center but not really a top 50 all time player or anything.

Franz seems to be improving every year. He has boosted his usage, rebounding, and assist rate while getting better of D. He is finishing even better from floater range and from 10-16 feet. His TS% is down a bit but that's solely due to a significant collapse in 3P shooting (28.9%), which I'm assuming is a fluke. I love his game. He is a Swiss army knife at both ends of the floor who can pretty much do anything you need of him, either on ball or off ball. I still don't know what his ceiling will be.
User avatar
FAH1223
RealGM
Posts: 16,345
And1: 7,447
Joined: Nov 01, 2005
Location: Laurel, MD
       

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1818 » by FAH1223 » Sun Dec 31, 2023 5:01 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
NYG wrote:Gafford and Tyus for Sims, Fournier, Wizards 1st returned and '24 Jazz 2nd?


I think for both Gafford and Tyus, you are going to have to give up a real 1st in addition to the Wiz first which probably won't convey but is still valuable for flexibility.

Tyus won't resign in a reserve role though so the deal should probably be Gafford and Wright for Fournier and the Wiz 1st returned. Wright gives you the short term POA defender and spot shooter off the bench, just without the offensive punch that made IQ valuable.


Who plays Center for the Wizards? I know its tanking season but...
Image
penbeast0
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Posts: 30,548
And1: 10,026
Joined: Aug 14, 2004
Location: South Florida
 

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1819 » by penbeast0 » Sun Dec 31, 2023 6:28 pm

Muscala and Gallinari, and yes, that's pitiful.
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
User avatar
tontoz
RealGM
Posts: 20,651
And1: 5,257
Joined: Apr 11, 2005

Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLV 

Post#1820 » by tontoz » Sun Dec 31, 2023 6:43 pm

If we trade Gafford we will just end up trying to find someone similar to replace him. I don't see the point.

I am also not interested in trading Kispert. I think his off ball game will be more valuable as the team improves.
"bulky agile perimeter bone crunch pick setting draymond green" WizD

Return to Washington Wizards