burlydee wrote:Of all the Bulls young players, Giddy and Coby are the only guys who could sniff an all star team. Considering that we only had one of those guys before, I'd say the trade seems like a win.
I've been surprised by the overall negativity about this trade. Too many fans and media have fallen into a narrative - AK dumb and incompetent. But life is not a neat narrative. AK is about 50/50 or 60/40 on his deals. It just that the misses have been so spectacular. And the injuries catastrophic. This isn't a defend AK post. It's a let's try to be objective post. Bulls Twitter has lost its minds.
Well, IMO the Giddey trade has potential to be another flub. I can see OKC winning the WCFs. Felt like getting an all-defensive guard for a guy who fell out the rotation and didn't want to hit the bench next year, it seemed too easy for OKC. But I can also see why AK jumped on the gamble immediately, as waiting anymore with Caruso could've only gotten worse. Getting a $60M+ extension would've been a team-building nightmare, with little choices but to then trade higher salaries down the line as Ayo/Coby also stare down their negotiations.
My main fear is that Giddey will shoot worse in Chicago, while Caruso might continue his late prime emergence (ala Korver/Atlanta). I don't think ASG is out of question for AC, if he shoots 40% from 3 on another year, gets All-Def. honors again on a top-3 seed. So from that angle, you might look at the trade the next 2 years and see that OKC "won", again.
For Josh... Bigger market, more pressure (3P%

), and defensive sieves get their souls torn out by the Chicago media and fans. But if he finds his groove as a playmaker and makes the team fun to watch (who doesn't love a nice pass), it'll be more than worth it. I can see why there was reluctance to trade more into this draft, as the median bench/role-player ceiling seems high in these guys. Whatever reservations I have about Giddey, I'd have all day with Knecht (D & handles/on-ball pressure), Dillingham (size), Castle (3P%), Edey (D & range), etc.
But my beef with the trade... seems like every trade (and draft pick), AK is giving up a little bit leverage based on market value/optics on things that probably could've been negotiated in. Even something like taking Aminu in the Vuc trade, or the pick protections in the Demar trade. I don't like how they go from top-10, to the next 2y dropping top-8. The very concerning thing is we are set up to deliver an 11-12 pick next year, or 9-14 the following 2. Compare that to Portland's top-14 protection for 6 F'ing years. At a certain point, everything's adding up. You couldn't squeeze a pair of 2nds out of Presti?
For a guy walking in FA from a team with zero interest in resigning him (Spurs), I understand you had to pay something for the luxury of taking Demar, but we ended up overpaying in terms of leverage. It's complicated to explain, because IMO we "won" the deal from the aspect of having All-NBA/2x ASG Demar... but ... we gave Spurs more leverage, getting another FRP for Thad (inconsequential #20/Branham, but still).
And then drafting far higher on the board than mocked (Patrick, Terry), without trading down. You hope the same thing doesn't happen tomorrow. Winning GMs win every margin. Ainge wanted Tatum at #1, but he got Tatum and another pick for Fultz. Feel like AK would've taken his guy #1 and called it a day (uh, Lonzo?).
Anyway, I'm glad the Giddey trade has been blasted. Rock-bottom expectations are maybe a good thing for the Bulls, these days. They do have a potential for a lucky resurgence, if everything works out. So far, he's made it harder for himself to benefit from NBA luck.