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OT: Clinton or Bush?

Moderators: dakomish23, mpharris36, j4remi, NoLayupRule, GONYK, Jeff Van Gully, HerSports85, Deeeez Knicks

President?

Harris
8
29%
Trump
6
21%
RFK
3
11%
The Rock
1
4%
Mark Cuban
0
No votes
David Guetta Ft. Mark Ronson
0
No votes
Michelle Obama
4
14%
Ron Desantis
1
4%
Rik Smits
5
18%
 
Total votes: 28

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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#401 » by Pointgod » Sat Sep 21, 2024 3:12 am

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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#402 » by Ray Williams » Sat Sep 21, 2024 3:13 am

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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#403 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:45 am

Chris Gatling was not overrated in any way. He was productive and tough.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#404 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:45 am

Kendall Gill averaged more PPG in his best years than I remembered TBH.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#405 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:46 am

Todd Macullough was a productive center in the year the Nets made the finals, it's a shame his career was short.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#406 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:46 am

Mo Taylor was pretty good on Rockets before coming to Knicks.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#407 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:46 am

Alan Henderson was a nice compliment to Mutombo. Loved those jerseys #jerseys
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#408 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:47 am

Do you guys use hashtags? just curios. Like in personal convos.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#409 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:47 am

Still excited about Aaron rodgehs
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#410 » by Hatrick Ewing » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:47 am

Rogers
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#411 » by Pointgod » Sat Sep 21, 2024 2:11 pm

MrDollarBills wrote:
DOT wrote:
MrDollarBills wrote:
I'm so glad I deleted that garbage app.

I really hope The Harris Administration strips him of his security clearances and pressures SpaceX to remove him from the board. Dude is a drug addict that tweeted out threats towards her that are currently being investigated by the Secret Service. With as many satellites they have orbiting the planet, Elon is a national security threat and he's Putin stooge.

He can run Tesla into the dirt for all I care but the government does too much business with SpaceX for him to be trusted. He needs his balls clipped

Dude is literally an immigrant living off of government hand-outs

But I guess he's the white kind of immigrant, so it's fine

If he weren't the richest man in the world, he would almost be pitiable with how much of a loser he is.


He can be a trillionaire and he'd still be a loser. His own kids hate him, he's weird, fat and racist. All the money in the world cant change that.


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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#412 » by Guano » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:07 pm

DOT wrote:
MrDollarBills wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
Of the 7 battleground states Harris just needs to win Penn, Wisconsin, Michigan and anyone of Nevada, Georgia or Arizona and there’s no path for Trump. Trump meanwhile has to at least win 5/7 depending on the combination and the fact the NC means he’s playing defence instead of expanding his map. Remember he’s already starting down in all the swing states Biden won.


Nice. Very nice.

http://vote.gov

Here's the current breakdown:

https://www.270towin.com/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Right now, the safe-ish map for both candidates has Kamala winning 226-219, with 93 toss-ups. She has to get to 270, which is 44 votes (if it's a tie, it's essentially number of states won, meaning Trump wins, meaning Kamala needs at least 270)

538 actually no longer has Wisconsin and Michigan as toss-ups, they have them both as "lean D" (meaning Kamala has over a 60% chance of winning). For reference, Florida is currently in the "lean R" category for them. So not to count chickens before they hatch, but if she gets both of them (25 votes), that brings her up to 251, needing 19

PA has exactly 19, so as long as no other states flip, she can win with just WI, MI, and PA. However, if she loses PA, she must win one of NC or GA, as NV and AZ are both only 17 votes combined, which would leave her with only 268 votes. Furthermore, if she loses PA but wins one of NC or GA, she has to win one more of NV, AZ, GA, or NC, as both those two states are 16 votes each, bringing her to only 267

Nate Silver's polling aggregates have her up by 2.4% in MI and 1.8% in WI, so kind of concurring not safe D states, but pretty good leads there. He has her down in GA by 1%, tied in NC, and up in PA by 1.3%. Furthermore, 538 has her at 58% odds of winning PA, meaning almost out of toss-up range and into "lean D" range (was in "lean D" for a day earlier this week)

In short: the easiest path for Kamala is through the Rust Belt. She not only has moderate leads in all 3 states, but even if she loses the other 4, she should have just enough to win. She can also win through NC or GA, but those are both less likely than PA at this point, and even if she does get them, she would still need one other toss-up to go her way. Basic math (using 538's probabilities), she has a 22% chance of winning the 3 rust belt states (this is like draft lottery odds, individually it doesn't look great, but it is technically the best odds)

Trump has really only 1 path, he needs to win GA, NC, and PA. Even if he flips MI (15 votes), if he loses one of those 3 states in the process, it'll be a net loss for him. That's why if you look at the data, he's spending all his time and resources in those 3 states and more or less letting the rest of the swing states up for grabs.

I've been bullish on her odds for that reason, she needs less to go her way than he does. He needs essentially to be perfect. It still could be a 2016 situation where everything went right for him and he won by really narrow margins in the few states he needed to, but that's unlikely.


Read on Twitter


Might have eliminated GA if this doesn't get overturned.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#413 » by MrDollarBills » Sat Sep 21, 2024 4:26 pm

Pointgod wrote:
MrDollarBills wrote:
DOT wrote:Dude is literally an immigrant living off of government hand-outs

But I guess he's the white kind of immigrant, so it's fine

If he weren't the richest man in the world, he would almost be pitiable with how much of a loser he is.


He can be a trillionaire and he'd still be a loser. His own kids hate him, he's weird, fat and racist. All the money in the world cant change that.


Read on Twitter


Here's the weird part: Elon runs the account that posts AI images of him.

What a loser.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#414 » by Pointgod » Sat Sep 21, 2024 5:45 pm

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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#415 » by Clyde_Style » Sat Sep 21, 2024 6:14 pm

Guano wrote:
DOT wrote:
MrDollarBills wrote:
Nice. Very nice.

http://vote.gov

Here's the current breakdown:

https://www.270towin.com/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Right now, the safe-ish map for both candidates has Kamala winning 226-219, with 93 toss-ups. She has to get to 270, which is 44 votes (if it's a tie, it's essentially number of states won, meaning Trump wins, meaning Kamala needs at least 270)

538 actually no longer has Wisconsin and Michigan as toss-ups, they have them both as "lean D" (meaning Kamala has over a 60% chance of winning). For reference, Florida is currently in the "lean R" category for them. So not to count chickens before they hatch, but if she gets both of them (25 votes), that brings her up to 251, needing 19

PA has exactly 19, so as long as no other states flip, she can win with just WI, MI, and PA. However, if she loses PA, she must win one of NC or GA, as NV and AZ are both only 17 votes combined, which would leave her with only 268 votes. Furthermore, if she loses PA but wins one of NC or GA, she has to win one more of NV, AZ, GA, or NC, as both those two states are 16 votes each, bringing her to only 267

Nate Silver's polling aggregates have her up by 2.4% in MI and 1.8% in WI, so kind of concurring not safe D states, but pretty good leads there. He has her down in GA by 1%, tied in NC, and up in PA by 1.3%. Furthermore, 538 has her at 58% odds of winning PA, meaning almost out of toss-up range and into "lean D" range (was in "lean D" for a day earlier this week)

In short: the easiest path for Kamala is through the Rust Belt. She not only has moderate leads in all 3 states, but even if she loses the other 4, she should have just enough to win. She can also win through NC or GA, but those are both less likely than PA at this point, and even if she does get them, she would still need one other toss-up to go her way. Basic math (using 538's probabilities), she has a 22% chance of winning the 3 rust belt states (this is like draft lottery odds, individually it doesn't look great, but it is technically the best odds)

Trump has really only 1 path, he needs to win GA, NC, and PA. Even if he flips MI (15 votes), if he loses one of those 3 states in the process, it'll be a net loss for him. That's why if you look at the data, he's spending all his time and resources in those 3 states and more or less letting the rest of the swing states up for grabs.

I've been bullish on her odds for that reason, she needs less to go her way than he does. He needs essentially to be perfect. It still could be a 2016 situation where everything went right for him and he won by really narrow margins in the few states he needed to, but that's unlikely.


Read on Twitter


Might have eliminated GA if this doesn't get overturned.


https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/369275/georgia-elections-board-maga-stolen-election

There are several ways the new rules could be killed before November. Earlier this week, the Democratic Party and several Democratic officials filed a lawsuit challenging the new rules. The suit claims that the rules violate state election law, which mandates that superintendents must certify all local election results by a certain date, that the new rules violate state Supreme Court decisions limiting the role of these superintendents, and that the state board also didn’t follow the proper procedure when it created the new rules.

Meanwhile, Gov. Brian Kemp, a Republican who has clashed with Trump in the past, recently asked the state attorney general for “guidance” on whether Kemp has the authority to fire the three MAGA board members who are responsible for the new rules.

So there is a decent chance that, one way or another, the new rules will not be in effect when this November’s election takes place. Should the state board’s gambit succeed, however, get ready for chaos.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#416 » by MrDollarBills » Sat Sep 21, 2024 6:20 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:
Guano wrote:
DOT wrote:Here's the current breakdown:

https://www.270towin.com/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Right now, the safe-ish map for both candidates has Kamala winning 226-219, with 93 toss-ups. She has to get to 270, which is 44 votes (if it's a tie, it's essentially number of states won, meaning Trump wins, meaning Kamala needs at least 270)

538 actually no longer has Wisconsin and Michigan as toss-ups, they have them both as "lean D" (meaning Kamala has over a 60% chance of winning). For reference, Florida is currently in the "lean R" category for them. So not to count chickens before they hatch, but if she gets both of them (25 votes), that brings her up to 251, needing 19

PA has exactly 19, so as long as no other states flip, she can win with just WI, MI, and PA. However, if she loses PA, she must win one of NC or GA, as NV and AZ are both only 17 votes combined, which would leave her with only 268 votes. Furthermore, if she loses PA but wins one of NC or GA, she has to win one more of NV, AZ, GA, or NC, as both those two states are 16 votes each, bringing her to only 267

Nate Silver's polling aggregates have her up by 2.4% in MI and 1.8% in WI, so kind of concurring not safe D states, but pretty good leads there. He has her down in GA by 1%, tied in NC, and up in PA by 1.3%. Furthermore, 538 has her at 58% odds of winning PA, meaning almost out of toss-up range and into "lean D" range (was in "lean D" for a day earlier this week)

In short: the easiest path for Kamala is through the Rust Belt. She not only has moderate leads in all 3 states, but even if she loses the other 4, she should have just enough to win. She can also win through NC or GA, but those are both less likely than PA at this point, and even if she does get them, she would still need one other toss-up to go her way. Basic math (using 538's probabilities), she has a 22% chance of winning the 3 rust belt states (this is like draft lottery odds, individually it doesn't look great, but it is technically the best odds)

Trump has really only 1 path, he needs to win GA, NC, and PA. Even if he flips MI (15 votes), if he loses one of those 3 states in the process, it'll be a net loss for him. That's why if you look at the data, he's spending all his time and resources in those 3 states and more or less letting the rest of the swing states up for grabs.

I've been bullish on her odds for that reason, she needs less to go her way than he does. He needs essentially to be perfect. It still could be a 2016 situation where everything went right for him and he won by really narrow margins in the few states he needed to, but that's unlikely.


Read on Twitter


Might have eliminated GA if this doesn't get overturned.


https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/369275/georgia-elections-board-maga-stolen-election

There are several ways the new rules could be killed before November. Earlier this week, the Democratic Party and several Democratic officials filed a lawsuit challenging the new rules. The suit claims that the rules violate state election law, which mandates that superintendents must certify all local election results by a certain date, that the new rules violate state Supreme Court decisions limiting the role of these superintendents, and that the state board also didn’t follow the proper procedure when it created the new rules.

Meanwhile, Gov. Brian Kemp, a Republican who has clashed with Trump in the past, recently asked the state attorney general for “guidance” on whether Kemp has the authority to fire the three MAGA board members who are responsible for the new rules.

So there is a decent chance that, one way or another, the new rules will not be in effect when this November’s election takes place. Should the state board’s gambit succeed, however, get ready for chaos.


Kemp better get aggressive here because if Trump gets back in, he will be on his target list.
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#417 » by Clyde_Style » Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:08 pm

MrDollarBills wrote:
Clyde_Style wrote:
Guano wrote:
Read on Twitter


Might have eliminated GA if this doesn't get overturned.


https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/369275/georgia-elections-board-maga-stolen-election

There are several ways the new rules could be killed before November. Earlier this week, the Democratic Party and several Democratic officials filed a lawsuit challenging the new rules. The suit claims that the rules violate state election law, which mandates that superintendents must certify all local election results by a certain date, that the new rules violate state Supreme Court decisions limiting the role of these superintendents, and that the state board also didn’t follow the proper procedure when it created the new rules.

Meanwhile, Gov. Brian Kemp, a Republican who has clashed with Trump in the past, recently asked the state attorney general for “guidance” on whether Kemp has the authority to fire the three MAGA board members who are responsible for the new rules.

So there is a decent chance that, one way or another, the new rules will not be in effect when this November’s election takes place. Should the state board’s gambit succeed, however, get ready for chaos.


Kemp better get aggressive here because if Trump gets back in, he will be on his target list.


His and Raffenberger's families were getting death threats. The governor of a state getting death threats from Trump's stochastic terrorist followers. Nothing to see here ..................
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#418 » by iLLmatic860 » Sat Sep 21, 2024 8:40 pm

Tbh i don't trust any of these mfs lol
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#419 » by Fat Kat » Sat Sep 21, 2024 11:31 pm

All comments made by Fat Kat are given as opinion, which may or may not be derived from facts, and not made to personally attack anyone on Realgm. All rights reserved.®
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Re: OT: 2nd Trump assassination attempt 

Post#420 » by Clyde_Style » Sun Sep 22, 2024 12:46 am

NFW!

This serial rapist and pedophile posted this:

“Madam Vice president, have you been involved with or engaged in one of Puff daddy’s freakouts?”


It's always an act of projection with this guy. He just tipped us off he's concerned about the Diddy tapes.

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