jnrjr79 wrote:panthermark wrote:jnrjr79 wrote:
Carolina was going to be pretty bad either way. The idea that the trade was only good because of luck is pretty absurd.
There is nuance to it.
Landing the #1 pick was luck. We were #2, but Lovie came to our rescue and went for the win.
Carolina not taking Stroud/going with the coach they went with were both out of the hands of Poles. Carolina could have taken Stroud/done the coach search differently, and still we could have ended up with the 3rd pick instead of the 1st.
It was still a great trade by Poles, but getting the #1, then getting the #1 again were both out of his hands. (Although getting DJ Moore helped them lose some games for sure!)
There really isn’t nuance to it. Sure, the trade may have been
even better than would be expected, but if it were merely as expected (say just a top 5 pick this year), it still would be a tremendous, tremendous return.
as expected would not have been top 5. the over/under was the #10 or 11 pick
Sure, you can look at Stroud and say “well, that would have been great,” but Young was the favorite (though not the consensus) to go 1 and who knows what the Bears have done. Stroud, too, has been regressing some this year and Houston is not as strong as expected.
i would have stuck w/ fields as well, so i can't blame poles for that. certainly can't blame him for not knowing that stroud would be way better than bryce
the most directly comparable situation is the trade-up for wentz at #2 in 2016. the cost to the eagles:
#8 overall + 1st, 2nd,3rd, 4th
caleb was a much better prospect, right? poles got the following return:
#9 overall + 1st, 2nd,2nd, DJ's contract
so...
2nd rounder plus DJ for caleb vs.
3rd and 4th rounders for wentz
did poles really fleece anyone? or does the additional return reflect the difference in the prospects? seems like pretty obviously the latter to me. perfectly fine trade under the circumstances. nothing more, nothing less. i would have take additional draft capital rather than DJ's contract, but that's me