Prediction Thread: Scottie Barnes' 2025/26 Stats

[tsherkin]

I mean... assuming we add no one:

Per‑Game Averages:
• PTS: 19.3 --> 17.5
• REB: 7.7 --> 8.0
• AST: 5.8 --> 5.5
• STL: 1.4 --> 1.5
• BLK: 1.0 --> 1.5
• FG: 45% --> 50%
• 3P: 27.1% (1.2/4.3) --> 33.3% (1.2/3.6)
• FT: 75.5% (3.5/4.6) --> 76.5% (3.2/4.6)
• TS: 52.3% --> 57.9%

I think he's have to be at a TS% north of 58% for those particulars to work, which would also have him shooting about 59.8% inside the arc when his previous career-best is 53.6%, which has me a little leery.

That said, he'd be hovering around league-average efficiency, taking only about 13 FGA/g, and then adding his rebounding, D and passing on top of it all, so that'd be great if he could somehow manage it!

That would be a very good season from Scottie.

[OhCanada]

Scottie has the abillity to be the best defensive player in the league. Thats what I want to see. Every single night, hes the best defensive player in the league. Like the game where he locked up Giannis. Do that all year long.

[Thaddy]

He needs steady improvement in his game. Last year it was the mid range.

This isn't really on Scottie either. All of the best scorers in the league have stretch bigs to work with.

JJJ
Barnes
Ingram
Walter
IQ

That line up would maximize everyone's stats in our starting line up.

[Shakril]

Predicting stats is difficult as we know nothing about how it looks. I am just very pessimistic that Barnes will deliver what we all hope. I expect to be disappointed by him and hope that others play better than anticipated.

[Shakril]

He needs steady improvement in his game. Last year it was the mid range.

This isn't really on Scottie either. All of the best scorers in the league have stretch bigs to work with.

JJJ
Barnes
Ingram
Walter
IQ

That line up would maximize everyone's stats in our starting line up.

Can we stop looking for excuses as why Barnes hasnt done what he is supposed to. Starplayers do, no matter the team, what they supposed to do. Kobe Bryant (after Shaq) or LeBron James (first stint with CLE) were carrying bad teams into the playoffs - and those teams had a worse supporting cast than Barnes has now. Either Barnes is a star or not, and if he isnt, than he is the problem not the players around him.

[Scase]

Lol mans is out here predicting Scottie putting up 24ppg on 58% TS%? Hahahahahaha, pass me whatever you are smoking. I'll be impressed with 20ppg on 57% TS%.

We’ve been down this road this before, Scottie’s development thus far has produced results every 2 years. Everyone counted him out after his disappointing 2nd season and then he made a notable jump in year 3. What I’m projecting is in line with that jump.

Explain to me, how you think ANYTHING in his 4 years indicates he is magically going to be above average league efficiency? He's never even sniffed that level of efficiency.

[wegotthabeet]

People forgot about Scottie. He’s gonna blow up this year. Don’t know about his stat line but I’m going out on a limb and say he’s All-NBA third team.

[djsunyc]

People forgot about Scottie. He’s gonna blow up this year. Don’t know about his stat line but I’m going out on a limb and say he’s All-NBA third team.

kd 1st team +
bi 2nd team +
scottie 3rd tean

= chip

[HumbleRen]

21/7/5 on 56% TS.

[TorontoBarneys]

Could be anything, really. Let's see what leap he takes and how the roster changes affect his game. You can probably guess his PPG between 15-25 and it wouldn't be inaccurate as to the degree of variance that's realistic under certain circumstances. Now whether or not he'll be efficient at higher PPG totals remains to be seen.

I hope. I don't want to give up on him being an offensive weapon just yet. He's still young.

[Brinbe]

The year 24 season is usually a big breakout one so I think Scottie comes through with a good season, especially now that Ingram is here to absorb more of that 1st option role.

Just gotta hope he stays healthy and continues to make positive progress with that jumper

[deck]

I'll be happy if Barnes stays at his current PPG and rather focuses on his efficiency.

If healthy, we've got other places where we can get offence.

[mdenny]

Scotty simply isn't the type pf player that can be judged on stats.

He has to become a winning player or else he will never crack the top 50. I don't care if he puts up 24/10/6 on a losing team. That's just stat distribution.

If he is 18/8/4 and the Raps are a sixth seed.....then it will mean he's taken a huge step.

[YogurtProducer]

I mean... assuming we add no one:

Per‑Game Averages:
• PTS: 19.3 --> 17.5
• REB: 7.7 --> 8.0
• AST: 5.8 --> 5.5
• STL: 1.4 --> 1.5
• BLK: 1.0 --> 1.5
• FG: 45% --> 50%
• 3P: 27.1% (1.2/4.3) --> 33.3% (1.2/3.6)
• FT: 75.5% (3.5/4.6) --> 76.5% (3.2/4.6)
• TS: 52.3% --> 57.9%

I think he's have to be at a TS% north of 58% for those particulars to work, which would also have him shooting about 59.8% inside the arc when his previous career-best is 53.6%, which has me a little leery.

That said, he'd be hovering around league-average efficiency, taking only about 13 FGA/g, and then adding his rebounding, D and passing on top of it all, so that'd be great if he could somehow manage it!

That would be a very good season from Scottie.

I thought I calc’d the TS% right but I could be wrong. I did do it very quickly.

I think he has the potential for an efficiency jump. 59.8% inside the arc seems reasonable to me if he is playing off other guys and creating less

[Tripod]

If we do no moves except add a backup C, I personally don't care much about his final stats if the team makes the leap in winning.

If we are a 45-50 win team next year, then I could care less if it's BI, RJ, Barnes or IQ leading the way. Win and it's likely most of those guys have good years.

I have said before that with this current group, there would he a drop in some stats from some guys by adding BI. Only so much scoring/rebounds/assist to go around. But if the tram is winning lots, who cares. D Mitchell saw his ppg drop as the Cavs got better, who cares.

Just win, be more efficient, ne more effective, exploit matchups, and the stats will take care of themselves. That goes fir everyone not just Barnes. On any given night we can have 4 different guys "lead" the way while Yak is almost akways a a solid positive player. That's great balance. That's very much like the Pacers.

Just win.

[LoveMyRaps]

21/7/5 on 56% TS.

Best case scenario

[LoveMyRaps]

More important question:

What will be his averages from behind the arc?

I'm hoping he averages no more than 3 threes per game.

Stick to mid range and post-ups.

[GreatWhiteStiff]

The year 24 season is usually a big breakout one so I think Scottie comes through with a good season, especially now that Ingram is here to absorb more of that 1st option role.

Just gotta hope he stays healthy and continues to make positive progress with that jumper

I think people are often too worried about weaknesses and not Barnes supposed strengths, which probably should be getting to and finishing around the rim.

[Wargreymon]

Assuming Ingram will be healthy and the number one option on offense, and RJ as number 2 option, then I predict Barnes will average :

17 ppg/6.2 rpg/5.4 apg/ 1.8 stocks on
46 FG%/31 3PFG%/ 70 FT% as the third option?

[Appostis]

[
2025/26 Per‑Game Average Prediction:
• PTS: 23.7
• REB: 8
• AST: 8
• STL: 1.4
• BLK: 1.0
• FG: 49%
• 3P: 34% (on lower attempts)
• FT: 79% (on higher attempts)
• TS: 58.2%

Would love to see it but Christ that's being pretty hopeful..

A healthy BI and that Scotty... would only take a few more up takes by some of the younger players to be in a deep playoff run.