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The Rob Dillingham Thread

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ReggiesKnicks
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#921 » by ReggiesKnicks » Thu Jul 3, 2025 7:04 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:Dilly definitely has the offensive skills that could be star like if he plays to his full potential. He has size height weight similarity to Trae Young. He doesn't have the shot/range of Young. I can see him, given 30 Minutes or more, scoring 20 with 7 assists. He will give most of that back on defense.


Dillingham is a better shooter than Trae. I appreciate the response!

I don't think so. I hope you're right.


He was in college. His mechanics are better, ect.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#922 » by winforlose » Thu Jul 3, 2025 7:18 pm

winforlose wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:What do you guys expect of Dillingham in Year 2?

I had him #1 on my board for last draft since he was one of the only players with true star potential in the draft.

I don't think much has changed from my priors off 1 year on a great team while getting buried behind a swath of guard talent.

Dilly definitely has the offensive skills that could be star like if he plays to his full potential. He has size height weight similarity to Trae Young. He doesn't have the shot/range of Young. I can see him, given 30 Minutes or more, scoring 20 with 7 assists. He will give most of that back on defense.


I think that sounds about right (maybe a hint generous,) for his ceiling. However, I fear his floor will prevent him from getting the minutes to find out. I would love to be wrong about him, time will tell.


I try to be as accurate as possible with my predictions. But that doesn’t mean I want the team to do badly. I am Wolves fan through and through, and have been for over 25 years.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#923 » by KGdaBom » Thu Jul 3, 2025 7:21 pm

ReggiesKnicks wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
Dillingham is a better shooter than Trae. I appreciate the response!

I don't think so. I hope you're right.


He was in college. His mechanics are better, ect.

Rob had one spectacular season shooting the 3 in college 44%. He gets to the NBA and the Wolves feel he needs to completely revamp his shot. He shot 34% and only 53% from the line this season. That is crazy disappointing. I would guess 40% would be his ceiling and I could live with 37%.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#924 » by BlacJacMac » Thu Jul 3, 2025 8:11 pm

KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:I don't think so. I hope you're right.


He was in college. His mechanics are better, ect.

Rob had one spectacular season shooting the 3 in college 44%. He gets to the NBA and the Wolves feel he needs to completely revamp his shot. He shot 34% and only 53% from the line this season. That is crazy disappointing. I would guess 40% would be his ceiling and I could live with 37%.


And Trae Young is a career 35% 3pt shooter - and he's been below that 2 of the past 3 years.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#925 » by KGdaBom » Thu Jul 3, 2025 8:15 pm

BlacJacMac wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
He was in college. His mechanics are better, ect.

Rob had one spectacular season shooting the 3 in college 44%. He gets to the NBA and the Wolves feel he needs to completely revamp his shot. He shot 34% and only 53% from the line this season. That is crazy disappointing. I would guess 40% would be his ceiling and I could live with 37%.


And Trae Young is a career 35% 3pt shooter - and he's been below that 2 of the past 3 years.

I knew his percent wasn't great, but he takes half of them from the logo. We will see.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#926 » by MN7725 » Thu Jul 3, 2025 11:53 pm

ReggiesKnicks wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:What do you guys expect of Dillingham in Year 2?

I had him #1 on my board for last draft since he was one of the only players with true star potential in the draft.

I don't think much has changed from my priors off 1 year on a great team while getting buried behind a swath of guard talent.

Dilly definitely has the offensive skills that could be star like if he plays to his full potential. He has size height weight similarity to Trae Young. He doesn't have the shot/range of Young. I can see him, given 30 Minutes or more, scoring 20 with 7 assists. He will give most of that back on defense.


Dillingham is a better shooter than Trae. I appreciate the response!


https://zonecoverage.com/2025/timberwolves/rob-dillingham-is-one-shot-away-from-putting-it-all-together/

he had to rework his jump shot during last season

we'll see
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#927 » by Rookie-Mistake » Fri Jul 4, 2025 12:31 am

MN7725 wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:Dilly definitely has the offensive skills that could be star like if he plays to his full potential. He has size height weight similarity to Trae Young. He doesn't have the shot/range of Young. I can see him, given 30 Minutes or more, scoring 20 with 7 assists. He will give most of that back on defense.


Dillingham is a better shooter than Trae. I appreciate the response!


https://zonecoverage.com/2025/timberwolves/rob-dillingham-is-one-shot-away-from-putting-it-all-together/

he had to rework his jump shot during last season

we'll see
I really worry about drafting blokes that need to re work their jump shot... like put of the best shooters in the nba who are ones that had to do it and succeeded..

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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#928 » by MN7725 » Fri Jul 4, 2025 12:37 am

Rookie-Mistake wrote:
MN7725 wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
Dillingham is a better shooter than Trae. I appreciate the response!


https://zonecoverage.com/2025/timberwolves/rob-dillingham-is-one-shot-away-from-putting-it-all-together/

he had to rework his jump shot during last season

we'll see
I really worry about drafting blokes that need to re work their jump shot... like put of the best shooters in the nba who are ones that had to do it and succeeded..

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ehh
if he had the discipline and "feel" to get his shot to work one way, decent odds he'll be able to make an adjustment and be able to hit it consistently a different way

ANT has changed his a little bit every year
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#929 » by FrenchMinnyFan » Fri Jul 4, 2025 12:47 am

Rob will be better, no doubt. I'm not worry about his shooting, with some work he can be a 37-40% shooter at 3. His speed will make damage. The most point i'm still uncertain will be his defense. Last year, he was really bad and need to improve a lot as defensive identity will remain our trademark.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#930 » by TimberKat » Fri Jul 4, 2025 12:50 am

MN7725 wrote:
Rookie-Mistake wrote:
MN7725 wrote:
https://zonecoverage.com/2025/timberwolves/rob-dillingham-is-one-shot-away-from-putting-it-all-together/

he had to rework his jump shot during last season

we'll see
I really worry about drafting blokes that need to re work their jump shot... like put of the best shooters in the nba who are ones that had to do it and succeeded..

Sent from my SM-G991B using RealGM mobile app


ehh
if he had the discipline and "feel" to get his shot to work one way, decent odds he'll be able to make an adjustment and be able to hit it consistently a different way

ANT has changed his a little bit every year

As long as it doesn't look like Michael Kidd-Gilchrist style than it's OK :D Don't know how that guy could go #2. Dilly just need to jump straight up instead of forward like a jr high kid that doesn't have enough strength to shoot.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#931 » by MN7725 » Fri Jul 4, 2025 12:51 am

FrenchMinnyFan wrote:Rob will be better, no doubt. I'm not worry about his shooting, with some work he can be a 37-40% shooter at 3. His speed will make damage. The most point i'm still uncertain will be his defense. Last year, he was really bad and need to improve a lot as defensive identity will remain our trademark.


its difficult to judge since Rob mostly played garage time, but I didn't think he had stand-out speed with the ball

nowhere near the Fox, Morant, Maxey level

wasn't slow by any means, but if he can't use his quickness to get a shoulder past a defender, then he's limited to being a pick/roll operator, which isn't the end of the world if he can shoot off the dribble, but it limits his game/potential

but again, its tough to judge a player that is in mostly non-competitive minutes
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#932 » by Rookie-Mistake » Fri Jul 11, 2025 11:08 am

Im very concerned.

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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#933 » by jpatrick » Fri Jul 11, 2025 11:51 am

MN7725 wrote:
FrenchMinnyFan wrote:Rob will be better, no doubt. I'm not worry about his shooting, with some work he can be a 37-40% shooter at 3. His speed will make damage. The most point i'm still uncertain will be his defense. Last year, he was really bad and need to improve a lot as defensive identity will remain our trademark.


its difficult to judge since Rob mostly played garage time, but I didn't think he had stand-out speed with the ball

nowhere near the Fox, Morant, Maxey level

wasn't slow by any means, but if he can't use his quickness to get a shoulder past a defender, then he's limited to being a pick/roll operator, which isn't the end of the world if he can shoot off the dribble, but it limits his game/potential

but again, its tough to judge a player that is in mostly non-competitive minutes


Yeah, he definitely isn’t a blur like those guys. He therefore relies on his shiftiness and handle to beat guys but that leads to him pounding the ball, making several moves. I think Finch has talked about this in a pretty negative light and said he needs to simply his game. I just have doubts that he can.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#934 » by Klomp » Fri Jul 11, 2025 7:48 pm

I'm not as critical of Rob as others about his Game 1 performance, and this is an example of why. There was at least 3 turnovers where I thought Miller was actually more to blame. I'm sure there were others as well, I don't mean for this to be Miller bashing.

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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#935 » by dschroeder01 » Fri Jul 11, 2025 11:50 pm

ReggiesKnicks wrote:
KGdaBom wrote:
ReggiesKnicks wrote:
Dillingham is a better shooter than Trae. I appreciate the response!

I don't think so. I hope you're right.


He was in college. His mechanics are better, ect.


Disagree on his mechanics. His shot is funky as his feet aren't squared up with the hoop and his gather is variable. His college shooting #s were good, but how big was that sample? This is from Sam Vecenie's draft guide:

Offensively, it’s possible some of Dillingham’s shooting numbers at Kentucky are outliers. He did not post elite catch-and-shoot numbers in AAU or at the OTE level, according to Synergy: just six of 26 3s off the catch with OTE last season, 13 of 45 with Team CP3 in the previous summer, eight of 24 with Team CP3 in 2021 and six of 17 with the U16 USA team at the FIBA Americas. In total, that’s just 29.4 percent on 112 attempts. If he can’t make a high percentage of his shots off the catch, he may not be able to effectively fill his most natural role as a combo or off-ball scorer next to a bigger primary creator. His shot mechanics are not ideal; he uses an exaggerated leg sweep to generate power that could cause issues.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#936 » by Rookie-Mistake » Sat Jul 12, 2025 12:09 am

My main concern is that we are in win now mode. Finch won't tolerate the turnovers and either won't use him and help him develop (on court in an actual game).

He just doesn't pass the eye test for me.. I hope im wrong

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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#937 » by FrenchMinnyFan » Sat Jul 12, 2025 1:30 am

Rob got to limit the turnovers as much as he can. For 2 main reasons, we got already ANT and Randle who are quite turnover prone and Turnover just kill us for the next step. I don't expect him to be as good as Mike for that but at least getting a ratio 5-6 Assists/1.5-2 TO will be fine.
He got to play with less emergency and he will do it.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#938 » by Shaka_Zulu » Sat Jul 12, 2025 3:45 am

I hope I am wrong, but I am sure I am not:


This kid is a guranteed flop. Everything about his game except ball handling has too much question marks imo.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#939 » by TimberKat » Sat Jul 12, 2025 4:06 am

Shaka_Zulu wrote:I hope I am wrong, but I am sure I am not:


This kid is a guranteed flop. Everything about his game except ball handling has too much question marks imo.

Maybe he is not the PG that we are looking for. Just a point scorer like Clarkson or Isaiah Thomas (the short one). I haven't watched him this year but he just doesn't seem to have a good grasp of where the play should be.
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Re: The Rob Dillingham Thread 

Post#940 » by Klomp » Sat Jul 12, 2025 4:27 am

TimberKat wrote:
Shaka_Zulu wrote:I hope I am wrong, but I am sure I am not:


This kid is a guranteed flop. Everything about his game except ball handling has too much question marks imo.

Maybe he is not the PG that we are looking for. Just a point scorer like Clarkson or Isaiah Thomas (the short one). I haven't watched him this year but he just doesn't seem to have a good grasp of where the play should be.

Honestly, I don't care if he's not the PG of the future. If he ends up as a spark off the bench, I've completely fine with that outcome.
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