doclinkin wrote:Well I'm willing to think I may be looking for something that ain't there.
But If I'm adding a Big, ideally I add a guy who has a defensive aptitude and interest and game effect. I see no dominant two-way big in the draft, but there's a chance we get a solid defensive big. If I squint cockeyed at the draft I think there are two possibilities for game-affecting defensive bigs. And Enes isn't one of them.
With a narrow sample I like a few things about Jonny Valley: his activity, effort, grit, and energy level in a guy who looks to me like an NBA 7 footer (in shoes). That goes a long way. More importantly what I like best is the development I've seen since the beginning of the year, when, quite frankly, I too thought the guy sorta sucked.
I trust a player who improves, a player I can see learning from their experience in short order. If he has requisite size and athleticism then (health provided) these players maximize their talent. The question then is whether he has sufficient talent. On that front I'm seeing something Dat isn't, one way or the other.
Chiefly: Dat is my boy and all, we generally agree on most picks. But he's also flat out wrong that Jonas has no wingspan nor reach. I don't want to like the kid, but what catches my eye in the first place are those long ropes of his, taking up space in passing lanes. Good hands. Good timing and stretch on the blocked shot. Active hands and feet. A bit of bounce for a big guy, able to dunk with one or both hands without a running start.
As for his shortcomings: Kid is too lean right now. Not scaring anybody. High center of gravity means he holds position only by losing his height advantage. And his active feet don't prevent him from fouling like a motherlover, which limits his time on court and will only be more pronounced over here. His skill level is 'developing' which is to say not polished.
But his motor is good and his instincts are good, and his size is legit. He's no Kwame Brown in body, but then, he's no Kwame Brown at heart either. Kid is scrappy. Which is probably where I go wrong in my assessment, since heart counts large for me.
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBS0lHZGJP0[/youtube]
I agree though that Enes is a better fit for the team we have right now. I too just have doubts about his defensive potential and upside. He'll be able to hold his position on the blocks better, but I don't see him battling down there. Though granted, all my footage is old on that score.
Enes is the guy I want to like best. The guy I liked best early before DWillz proved himself. Kanter fits in too many ways, good offensive synergy, solid body, subs well at either frontcourt spot with our other current bigs. And he seems like a character kid. Earnest. Skilled. Hard working. My only concern is that, so far, looks like a mediocre defender. Not instinctive hustling at that end. A step slow to react. Not desperate or focused. Could be that changes with experience. Maybe. I'm still very happy to land him if we can. As of today I have him ahead of JoVal. I just can see the attraction of the Lithuanian, if teams ahead of us choose to go that route.
Oh and for what it's worth Jeremy Tyler is the other potential dominant defensive big. Long arms, solid frame that hasn't yet been sculpted but will take muscle easily. Good man-on defender in the combine drills. But as a recovering knucklehead, he makes a fella circumspect. More than anything we need an upgrade in the category of all-around ballers. Competitors. Basketball lifers who care more about wins than appearances. And Tyler reads like he likes the smell of himself. Can he play in a team concept? Does he care more about the VIP room than the early morning practice? I want the guy who, you amputate his legs, he's signing up for the wheelchair league within the month. Dunno if that's him. Was he humbled and chastened? Admits he was immature in Israel, though he sorta makes excuses for it.
Philosophically, I agree with you on the JV v Enes debate. And I agree mostly on your evaluations of them. Enes is not going to be a defensive standout, but... with his mastodonish frame (When you're 6'11 260 with 6% body fat right after your 19th birthday, you are an official whooly mammoth.), he will wear opponents down and at least provide a Marc Gasol type presence. I don't think he'll be a totally useless stiff defensively, like Boozer - who won't even move his feet.
While JV is still the harder to analyze player - he's less of a finished product, and all the film is against Euros that are not as athletic as NBA players. There are things that just jump out about him that are very impressive:
1. Looking at 2010 vs 2011, it's clear that there's improvement in his body, his confidence, and his ability. That should continue.
2. He's an outstanding defensive rebounder.
3. Size and great length - Obviously, he's going to fill out more. He has the frame, and he should have better than average strength for an NBA center within a few years.
4. Work ethic. It's obvious just by watching him. He's non-stop on the court setting screens and fighting for position.
5. Devoted to defense and showing improvement there.
6. Efficient scorer. He makes a high percentage of both FG's and FT's.
7. Kid just turned 19.
I think he has just a tad more long-range upside than Kanter, but he's not the sure thing that I think Kanter is. My inclination is to go with the more skilled bruiser - Kanter. But I'd be happy with JV.
Tyler - for the Wiz, I'd stay far away. Yes, his measurements and athleticism are that of a guy with #1 in the draft potential. And he definitely improved tremendously in Japan vs his disaster in Israel. And he's saying the right things now. But I've heard too many negatives about his lack of maturity, and it sounds like his game needs years of development. And there's the question - why draft a player who's not going to be effective until he becomes a free agent? Otoh, he could turn out to be the next Jermaine O'Neil.
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