bastillon wrote:Mavs offense was still functioning well so if anything we should be blaming Dirk for his poor interior defense, not shooting struggles.
Why would you say that? Did you see Harrington do anything meaningful against Nowitzki? The interior defense was not the problem, the problem was perimeter and transition defense. Watch Howard how he constantly is late back on defense during that series or Harris/Terry are getting owned by Baron Davis. Additional to that the Warriors were really lucky with their 3pt shooting. Davis, Jackson, Barnes and Richardson combined for in average 9.5 3PM (42%) while they usually made 7.7 in the same amount of minutes. That alone makes 5.8 points per 100 possession the Warriors were better than expected. We can look at the opponents PER during that series: Harris 29.8, Howard 22.1, Terry 16.8 and Nowitzki 11.9. The defensive problem had basically nothing to do with Nowitzki. Multiple times you see Nowitzki being the one running out to the closeout despite the fact that this was not on him.
Let us assume Nowitzki scores at his usually efficiency during those games. Game 1: He should have scored 9 points more, the Mavericks lost by 12. Game 3: Nowitzki should have scored 4 points more, the Mavericks lost by 18. Game 4: Nowitzki should have scored 2 points more, Mavericks lost by 4. Game 5: Nowitzki should have scored 10 points more, the Mavericks lost by 25.
So, overall, not even one of the losses could have been prevented, if Nowitzki would have scored at 60.5 TS%. In order to win those games, Nowitzki would have needed to score on 69 TS% in game 1, 100 TS% in game 3, 67 TS% in game 4 and 115 TS% in game 6. In order to win that series in 4 games, Nowitzki would have needed to score on 74 TS%.
Well, overall Nowitzki was below his standard, but the team overall was still at 108.9 ORtg with him on the court. That would have been enough even against the Warriors, if they wouldn't have scored so much in transition and from the perimeter against Howard, Harris and Terry.
It should also be noted that Nowitzki had to deal with familar matters. His father had life threating conditions and underwent surgery just during the night before game 6. He had basically no sleep. Nowitzki himself never mentioned it, but his sister revealed it in an interview. Here is a brief comment on this:
http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_ ... k-nowitzkiIt is easy to blame Nowitzki, but overall he reacted like most human beings would. Maybe some people should consider that.
Also, Moses Malone lost twice in the first round while being the MVP of the regular season (1979 and 1982). Granted, in both cases the Rockets weren't considered the favorites, but it should be pointed out that Moses Malone also scored 10 percentage points below his regular season average TS% during both of those series. At least against the Hawks in 1979 it would have been enough to win game 1, if Moses Malone would have scored at his usual efficiency.