ImageImageImageImage

Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV, Mods Close))

Moderators: UCF, Knightro, UCFJayBird, Def Swami, Howard Mass, ChosenSavior

User avatar
MiracleBZop
Sophomore
Posts: 149
And1: 0
Joined: Sep 05, 2008
Location: Sanford, FL

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#521 » by MiracleBZop » Mon Mar 5, 2012 11:35 am

DJRajX wrote:
hanh wrote:No way. He is a chucker never made the all star team and you wanna trade the best center in the league that never even been hurt for a PG? We need a bigman. I'd take Anderson over Lee too. we don't know Anderson's potential but Lee is not gonna be enough to win games


Well Lee can actually play Center next to Anderson.

I actually agree with Davidm9 ... and here is why...

Ellis, Lee, and draft pick(s) *The GS Warriors suck, wink wink...* would be better than that bum Lopez or crickety knees Bynum... I'm being dead serious... Ellis is still 26, he's like a mini T-Mac or a cross between Russell Westbrook/Gilbert Arenas... he may not have been chosen to an All-Star game, but he wasn't chosen in the West the past few years because A) The Warriors are a losing team B) He's competing against Kobe, Nash, Westbrook, Chris Paul, Deron (when he was in Utah), Ginobli, Parker, etc in the back-court ... come on, we all know Ellis is an All-Star... Josh Smith is an All-Star, and he wasn't chosen to the All-Star team. There are guys like that around the league, so that's a moot point imo.

At the PG position I believe Ellis can be deadly good if he is surrounded by better complimentary talent (which I think Orlando has; he won't be competing against someone like Curry in the back-court) and he is given a great head coach (which SVG is) on a better/winning franchise (Orlando) imo. A change of scenery can be good for him too. Ellis is a very good play-maker, creator, and scorer.

Also Ellis is on a very fair contract, he isn't overpaid, while still making a ton of money. He is owed 22 million the next two years after this season. His final year (2013/14) has an early termination option (http://www.hoopsworld.com/golden-state- ... eam-salary). He isn't owed a ton of money like Bynum and Lopez are expected to. Ellis has trade value, and he is a "name" you can build around as a team (if he plays PG) and market around in Orlando to the fans. The only iffy part of the deal is Lee's contract, but Lee can still put up 20/12, and justify his pay. He's still only 28 or 29 years old and he can still play at that level for another 3 years imo (most bigs can play well until they are 32 or 33 years old, just look at guys like Scola or Pau). Lee actually has skill around the basket and the elbow. By the time he does decline (3-4 years later), his contract will be a valuable trade chip as an expiring.

And the most important part of the deal is the draft picks. Golden State won't win a lot of games, even with Dwight for the rest of this season as a rental. Dwight will leave them during the summer, and Golden State will be an even worse team. They might have cap space after getting rid of Ellis and Lee's contract, but no star player or FA will likely go to Golden State (sorry GS, I'm just being honest). I also don't think Marc Jackson is a great coach... so those draft picks will probably be better than Houston's or New Jersey's. Draft picks are key to rebuilding

And at the end of the day, if you can pawn off someone like BBD, J-Rich, or Duhon along with Dwight to Golden State, you can actually have enough cap cleared by 2013 summer to go after a star Free Agent(s)! Key note: Hedo's contract is non-guaranteed for 2013/14, keep it, get rid of BBD, J-Rich, and/or Duhon's along with Dwight (http://www.hoopsworld.com/orlando-magic-team-salary).

+1 Wow, this really makes a lot of sense if you take a step back and look at the numbers and compare GS's deal to NJ and LAL's. Nets and Lakers have horrid deals, no question. At least with the Warriors you'll get real value back to build around, and you get better draft picks.

Quick edit: I like the trade, but I think we should keep BBD and send Duhon & Q-Rich out instead.
User avatar
ADRajX
RealGM
Posts: 18,733
And1: 97
Joined: Aug 15, 2004
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#522 » by ADRajX » Mon Mar 5, 2012 11:46 am

To add to my post^^^ ... here is a trade idea: http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachi ... Id=7xuzjcc ... mentally add a draft pick or two from GS to our side; the deal should still work.

line-up/rotation (Nelson and Redick back-court off the bench, ftw imo):

PG: Ellis*, Nelson, Duhon
SG: J-Rich, Redick, Ellis*, Liggins*
SF: Hedo, Liggins*, Q-Rich, Clark*
PF: Anderson, Harper, Clark*, 2012 FA|Draft^
C : Lee, 2012 FA|Draft^, 2012 FA|Draft*, Clark*

*= can play more than one position
^= fill with FA or Draft Pick
“Life is a series of natural and spontaneous changes. Don't resist them; that only creates sorrow. Let reality be reality. Let things flow naturally forward in whatever way they like.” - Laozi
AhaAha
Junior
Posts: 409
And1: 15
Joined: Dec 11, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#523 » by AhaAha » Mon Mar 5, 2012 11:48 am

Davidm89 wrote:Am I really the only one who sees Ellis as a reasonable building block? Dwigh, BBD and Hedo for Ellis/Lee and fillers with a couple picks. Better than Bynums ankle, or Lopez's injury proneness. I see Ellis as a poor mans prime T-mac, if we can pair him with Dwight perfect but if not I'd much rather have him than Bynum or Lopez.


Had the same thought. I even like their picks more than NJ's.
Cause when Dwight leaves they will suck even more without Ellis. Meanwhile we will suck.
Even trade David Lee for expirings and a pick...

But with Dwight getting traded we will be really really bad in the playoffs..
i hope we don't brake any kind of record....

But let's stay positive.
Hopefully Beasley and Sjax can convince Dwight to stay :lol:


Edit: little problem

GSW 2012 draft pick is owed to Utah via NJ.
That means picks can only be 2014/16/18. I hope they offer more than one unprotected.
Bensational
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 31,560
And1: 13,855
Joined: Apr 10, 2001
     

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#524 » by Bensational » Mon Mar 5, 2012 11:56 am

isn't Golden State's pick is owed to Utah if it's out of the top 8? Dwight + Curry might just get them there.
User avatar
ADRajX
RealGM
Posts: 18,733
And1: 97
Joined: Aug 15, 2004
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#525 » by ADRajX » Mon Mar 5, 2012 12:03 pm

Bensational wrote:isn't Golden State's pick is owed to Utah if it's out of the top 8? Dwight + Curry might just get them there.


EDIT* I didn't understand what you meant at first Bensational. I thought you were talking about top 8, as in playoffs and competing against Utah for a playoff spot. Ahaha explained it to me on the next page. That changes things quite a bit, unfortunately. Throws a huge wrench in the points I made. This would make NJ's pick better, correct? :(

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
original reply:
I think a ho-hum Dwight (who doesn't want to be there in GS and is not motivated to stay) and Curry (who I think is an overrated and injury-prone PG) won't get it done. He averages 6 assists, but also 3 turnovers, while putting up 18ppg. He's done that for the past two years, and this season. He hasn't made that big leap to an elite PG. I think Curry/Dwight will be "okay", but not great imo. Also plug in Marc Jackson's coaching skills and you have a team that isn't making the playoffs imo. They play no defense. If Dwight thought our team had bad perimeter defense, he's going to have an awful wake-up call in GS. I still hold firmly my stance that GS will not make the playoffs, with or without Dwight.

At 14-20 (currently), Golden State isn't catching Denver, Houston, or Dallas for the 8th, 7th, or 6th spot.
http://espn.go.com/nba/standings.

The 8th spot team (Denver) have been winning 55% of their scheduled games (with injuries included... if take away the injuries, they were winning 66% of their scheduled games). If GS gets Dwight, they would have to go 20-3 or 18-5 the rest of the way after the deadline to even be in the discussion to make the 8th spot imo. That's not happening.

Also they still have to go through Minny and Portland to even reach the 9th spot. That will be tough. I can see them moving past Phoenix and Utah though imo, but it won't be enough to make the playoffs still.

At the end of the day, GS are still in rebuilding mode.

I really think we should just send Dwight to GS (and pawn someone like BBD, or Duhon/Q-Rich along with Dwight. Again keep Hedo, his 2013-14 contract is non-guaranteed.) and get Ellis, Lee, and draft pick(s) back in-return. NJ and LAL have terrible deals compared to GS's. Dwight will leave GS during the summer and head to Dallas or NJ most likely (with Deron). If Dwight hasn't committed to the Magic by the 15th, you have ship him out imo. I don't want another Orlando/Shaq or Cleveland/Lebron situation... we must get something in return for him; don't take a chance on him staying this summer. But knowing our FO, they are stupid enough to take that chance. :nonono:
“Life is a series of natural and spontaneous changes. Don't resist them; that only creates sorrow. Let reality be reality. Let things flow naturally forward in whatever way they like.” - Laozi
AhaAha
Junior
Posts: 409
And1: 15
Joined: Dec 11, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#526 » by AhaAha » Mon Mar 5, 2012 12:55 pm

i think u just don't get what hes sayin...

Golden State's own 2012 1st round pick to Utah via New Jersey (top 7 protected in the 2012 Draft, top 7 protected in 2013, and top 6 protected in the 2014 Draft)

means if it isn't top 7 Utah will get their pick and we will get 2014....
But if it is top 7 we will have to wait even longer....
So however their season ends we couldn't get any first round pick before 2014 of GS
User avatar
ADRajX
RealGM
Posts: 18,733
And1: 97
Joined: Aug 15, 2004
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#527 » by ADRajX » Mon Mar 5, 2012 12:58 pm

AhaAha wrote:i think u just don't get what hes sayin...

Golden State's own 2012 1st round pick to Utah via New Jersey (top 7 protected in the 2012 Draft, top 7 protected in 2013, and top 6 protected in the 2014 Draft)

means if it isn't top 7 Utah will get their pick and we will get 2014....
But if it is top 7 we will have to wait even longer....
So however their season ends we couldn't get any first round pick before 2014 of GS

Ahh, thank you I didn't realize that (I thought Ben was talking about playoffs and seeding). Hmm, well that throws a wrench in my argument. Quick question... where do you go (website) to find information on draft picks?
“Life is a series of natural and spontaneous changes. Don't resist them; that only creates sorrow. Let reality be reality. Let things flow naturally forward in whatever way they like.” - Laozi
User avatar
ADRajX
RealGM
Posts: 18,733
And1: 97
Joined: Aug 15, 2004
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#529 » by ADRajX » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:19 pm

AhaAha wrote:http://basketball.realgm.com/nba/draft/future_drafts/detailed

Of course it's on realgm lol thanks man, this will be useful to me.
“Life is a series of natural and spontaneous changes. Don't resist them; that only creates sorrow. Let reality be reality. Let things flow naturally forward in whatever way they like.” - Laozi
TRWJINC
Banned User
Posts: 1,828
And1: 2
Joined: Oct 30, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#530 » by TRWJINC » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:23 pm

Deng+Noah+Brewer+1st rounder for Dwight QRICH and Redick
Darth Magic
Veteran
Posts: 2,910
And1: 840
Joined: Feb 24, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#531 » by Darth Magic » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:25 pm

Not to be disrespectful but trading Dwight to Golden State would be dumb. Outside of Dwight the warriors have the next three best players. Lee, Curry, ellis. Those three players combined can't even give the warriors a 500 record, and you want to take 2 of those good complimentary players and build your team around them? Are you kidding me? Lee playing center? Lee can't play defense to at power forward and we want him to be the center of our defense? This with players like Jrich, Ryan, hedo? I know things are getting tough but don't let your thoughts descend to madness.
"Real Gs move in silence; like lasagna" Jeff Weltman
User avatar
ADRajX
RealGM
Posts: 18,733
And1: 97
Joined: Aug 15, 2004
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#532 » by ADRajX » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:36 pm

Darth Magic wrote:Not to be disrespectful but trading Dwight to Golden State would be dumb. Outside of Dwight the warriors have the next three best players. Lee, Curry, ellis. Those three players combined can't even give the warriors a 500 record, and you want to take 2 of those good complimentary players and build your team around them? Are you kidding me? Lee playing center? Lee can't play defense to at power forward and we want him to be the center of our defense? This with players like Jrich, Ryan, hedo? I know things are getting tough but don't let your thoughts descend to madness.

No disrespect taken... I know it's an off-the-wall stance to take... most of it has been dimished because the draft pick won't be as good as I had hoped it would be.

But your other point... don't you think the reason Golden State hasn't won is because of the terrible coaching? This team has been perennial terrible defenders. Their X's and O's are atrocious too. You stop their fast break, and they have nothing to offer. The coaching is horrendous. I think Ellis is a terrific player, and if he is given the right coaching and winning environment that preaches defense he could really excel. Lee on the other hand.. he is what he is, he's a 20/10 guy on a bad contract. I made my points about him on the last page, and I'm sticking to it tough. He's played Center before. It wouldn't be ideal, but it'd be a temporary thing until we get a suitable replacement.

But again... my main point was the draft pick... which now is not what I had expected it to be (what Bensational and Ahaha said). Unfortunately, this dumbs down the deal even more. NJ's deal sucks. LA's deal sucks. And now Golden State's deal looks awful without that good draft pick. But I maintain my stance on Ellis and his contract & marketability, and Lee's contract becoming an expiring at the point of his decline (when he's 32/33 years old). Not bad pieces when compared to Lopez, all things considered.

However, without that draft pick... I wouldn't even do the deal now. Sigh. Otis really F'd up this team... and Dwight is going to walk out on us, with us getting nothing worthwhile in return. All these deals SUCK. :evil:
“Life is a series of natural and spontaneous changes. Don't resist them; that only creates sorrow. Let reality be reality. Let things flow naturally forward in whatever way they like.” - Laozi
User avatar
MoMM
RealGM
Posts: 10,597
And1: 1,781
Joined: Jan 08, 2002
Location: Brazilian in Barcelona
Contact:
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#533 » by MoMM » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:40 pm

TRWJINC wrote:Deng+Noah+Brewer+1st rounder for Dwight QRICH and Redick

No, Bulls have to take some of our bad contracts too.
User avatar
ADRajX
RealGM
Posts: 18,733
And1: 97
Joined: Aug 15, 2004
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#534 » by ADRajX » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:42 pm

MoMM wrote:
TRWJINC wrote:Deng+Noah+Brewer+1st rounder for Dwight QRICH and Redick

No, Bulls have to take some of our bad contracts too.

+1
I know this deal would never happen.. but just so TRWJINC knows, if you want Howard, you're going to have to take on a bad contract such as BBD, J-Rich, and/or Duhon. No way you get Redick.
“Life is a series of natural and spontaneous changes. Don't resist them; that only creates sorrow. Let reality be reality. Let things flow naturally forward in whatever way they like.” - Laozi
Darth Magic
Veteran
Posts: 2,910
And1: 840
Joined: Feb 24, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#535 » by Darth Magic » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:45 pm

DJRajX wrote:
Darth Magic wrote:Not to be disrespectful but trading Dwight to Golden State would be dumb. Outside of Dwight the warriors have the next three best players. Lee, Curry, ellis. Those three players combined can't even give the warriors a 500 record, and you want to take 2 of those good complimentary players and build your team around them? Are you kidding me? Lee playing center? Lee can't play defense to at power forward and we want him to be the center of our defense? This with players like Jrich, Ryan, hedo? I know things are getting tough but don't let your thoughts descend to madness.

No disrespect taken... I know it's an off-the-wall stance to take... most of it has been dimished because the draft pick won't be as good as I had hoped it would be.

But your other point... You don't think the reason Golden State hasn't won is because of the coaching? This team has been perennial terrible defenders. The coaching is horrendous. I think Ellis is a terrific player. Lee on the other hand.. he is what he is, he's a 20/10 guy on a bad contract. I made my points about him on the last page, and I'm sticking to it.

But again... my main point was the draft pick... which is now not what I had expected. Unfortunately, this dumbs down the deal even more. NJ's deal sucks. LA's deal sucks. And now Golden State's deal looks awful without that good draft pick. But I maintain my stance on Ellis and his contract & marketability, and Lee's contract becoming an expiring at the point of his decline (when he's 32/33 years old). Not bad pieces when compared to Lopez, all things considered.


It's not that I don't like Lee. I would love him next to Dwight. But these guys are compliments to Franchise players. Second and third options on winning teams. Not the guys you trade your superstar for. As for coaching I agree with you, but you don't take a guy not known for defense and make him the center of your defense especially surrounding him with other poor defenders. That is a recipe for disaster.
"Real Gs move in silence; like lasagna" Jeff Weltman
bonanz
Junior
Posts: 287
And1: 34
Joined: Jun 17, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#536 » by bonanz » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:46 pm

omg that bulls idea is so awful. and you're handing over a decent 2 guard they badly need and tried to grab a couple a years ago...
User avatar
MoMM
RealGM
Posts: 10,597
And1: 1,781
Joined: Jan 08, 2002
Location: Brazilian in Barcelona
Contact:
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#537 » by MoMM » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:46 pm

http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachi ... Id=7gwjeoz

A more realistic trade, and you have the right to swap Omer for Taj, you decide.
User avatar
Reverse_Angle
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,849
And1: 262
Joined: Jul 08, 2010
Location: Keep those balls in the air!

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#538 » by Reverse_Angle » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:52 pm

MoMM wrote:http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=7gwjeoz

A more realistic trade, and you have the right to swap Omer for Taj, you decide.


i just want to say that i am utterly shocked that asik and hedo has the same per.
Image

"Aaron Gordon will cost Henny's job by Dec 2016." Predicted Dec 2014.

"O'Quinn will have a longer and more successful NBA career than Nicholson." Predicted Jun 2012. Verified on Dec 2014.
bonanz
Junior
Posts: 287
And1: 34
Joined: Jun 17, 2010

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#539 » by bonanz » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:52 pm

nope, i like that just as you have it. i love the noah/omer center rotation the bulls have

i like this a lot. if this was on the table i'd do it right now
ZeusIsLoose
Senior
Posts: 729
And1: 234
Joined: Nov 29, 2011
       

Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt XIV: Trade Deadline cont 

Post#540 » by ZeusIsLoose » Mon Mar 5, 2012 1:52 pm

Darth Magic wrote:Not to be disrespectful but trading Dwight to Golden State would be dumb. Outside of Dwight the warriors have the next three best players. Lee, Curry, ellis. Those three players combined can't even give the warriors a 500 record, and you want to take 2 of those good complimentary players and build your team around them? Are you kidding me? Lee playing center? Lee can't play defense to at power forward and we want him to be the center of our defense? This with players like Jrich, Ryan, hedo? I know things are getting tough but don't let your thoughts descend to madness.

+1

Return to Orlando Magic