Illuminaire wrote:The only thing I don't like is the length of Nene's deal. I think that if he stays in shape, his game won't go down hill too far... I do worry about him missing big chunks of time to injuries here and there though.
We definitely need him to sit out for a month or so now, though. Can't screw up the tank; we need a high pick and to go hard after a free agent now. We can't tank again next season with a competent 2-way center on the roster.
I actually distinctly remembered Simmons write up on nene back in December and being glad we didn't try and get him. I don't really understand why we got him now other than that the franchise planned on not resigning him or Nick, and so Nene and a 2nd rounder was preferrable to cap space. Not sure I agree with that but it isn't interesting to read Simmons article and see that his projected salary was actually higher, much higher on the free market scenario, than what Nene actually got. Here's the meat and the link:
http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/731 ... -christmas"..1c. Nene
This one scares the hell out of me. What am I getting, exactly? He's 29 years old and has a surgically repaired knee. He played nearly as many games the past three years (260, including playoffs) as he did for his first six seasons (315, including playoffs). He's not exactly an emotional leader — those Nuggets teams melted down as much as anyone, and you'd have to consider it at least somewhat telling that Carmelo Anthony pushed his way off a team that had a top-five center on it. The biggest thing for me: If he's a top-five center, then why is Nene such a lousy rebounder? These past three seasons, he averaged 32.6, 33.6 and 30.5 minutes per game … and 7.8, 7.6 and 7.6 rebounds. He wasn't even a top-25 rebounder last year. (FYI: LeBron nearly outrebounded him!) He also doesn't protect the rim that well; for instance, Dwyane Wade (1.14) Channing Frye (1.01), Shane Battier (0.99) averaged more blocks than Nene (0.97) last season.
With Nene, you're getting an athletic big man who makes 60 percent of his shots, as well as someone who makes opposing teams say, "They have a center" … and that's about it. At 29, you are who you are. He can't quite take over games; he's never going to do what Chandler did in last year's playoffs from a protecting-the-rim standpoint; he needs extra rebounding help or you're getting killed on the boards; he's never won anything; and oh, you better hope his knees hold up. For me, it's no contest — not only would I rather have Gasol or Chandler, I'd rather overpay Jordan (at least he's an up-and-comer) for 50 to 60 percent of what Nene will probably cost (four years, $74.3 million without a sign-and-trade).
So who's willing to splurge on Nene? Not to go all Hubie Brown on you, but we know the Nets will pay whatever it takes for a center and they're already "all in" after the Deron Williams trade. We know Houston is getting an above-average center come hell or high water. We know Indiana, Denver and Sacramento have a crapload of cap space, and we know Toronto and Washington are an executed amnesty clause away from getting there. We also know that Memphis is vowing to match any restricted offer to Gasol.
That means seven teams might be bidding for Chandler and Nene … and two (New Jersey and Houston) are desperate. Even if they're worth $55 million apiece for four years, they'll end up getting $20 million more; I wouldn't be shocked if the Nets pulled off a sign-and-trade with Denver to give Nene $100 million for five. You think Mikhail Prokhorov cares about overpaying the fifth-best center in basketball? You think he cares about dropping an extra $50 million per year with the tougher luxury tax? I don't think Nene's next contract will be remembered on the Rashard Lewis/Gilbert Arenas level as a historical abomination, but at the very least, it will join Joe Johnson's extension as this decade's defining example of a team overpaying a good player who isn't great (or even close to great)....Let's make some predictions for those 12 centers. Important note to Kendrick Perkins: Stop reading right now. Just trust me.
1. Nene
Prediction: Signs with New Jersey (five years, $100 million, thanks to a sign-and-trade with Denver3)
Verdict: COMICALLY OVERPAID.................."
I dont like the deal because a 30 year old center doesnt make sense to me at all, especially an injury prone one that doesnt hit the boards, period. All I can see in it is a clear move to add BBIQ, subtract 1 ball stopper and two idiots, and make a team that actually knows how to play with Wall intelligently so he stays past his rookie deal as we add pieces the next two offseasons.
I just worry that his 4 year 54 mill deal in '12-'13 and 3 year 41 mill deal as of '13-'14 or thereabouts based on averages could end up being yet another anchor contract when we've spent the past five years shedding a never ending series of them (Etan then DBrick then Gilbert then Antawn then Baltche then Lewis and possibly Nene now, when do these horrible deals end? We'll see soon if we just added another to the train. At least we can take one off the books this summer).