I have some issues here...
ShowTimeERA wrote:I come in peace, not bait or troll attempt...Just wanted to shed some light from a long time LA fan's perspective...
First things first, who knows what Dwight will actually do or not do. It seems as if he changes his mind by the minute. What I can tell you is that Dwight has not expressed any desire to Mitch to be traded nor has his agent done so. Perhaps, Dwight still prefers BK but that's not possible on his end without LA's approval unless he's willing to take the Mini-MLE.
Can you validate HOW you can speak as an authority about what Dwight or his agent has had to say to Kupchak? I agree, that its not possible without LA trading him to us. He isnt taking the MLE...not going to happen and given our current payroll an S&T isnt going to happen either. So for the foreseeable future, any shot Dwight has to get to Bklyn has to happen by Thursday. That isnt to say we couldnt possibly have this conversation again in a year...but for the sake of what's relevant, Dwight must be dealt to us by Thursday. Has he asked to be dealt? I dont know...and I would be curious who you are or who you know to say with certainty that he hasnt asked to be dealt.
Now, Dwight's health is a major factor. He's far from healthy as far as his back goes and he's headed for surgery as soon as the season is over (6 Months recoup). Dwight has spoken numerous times about how his recent setbacks have spooked him a bit as far as his career goes. Does he give up the guaranteed 5th year? If you were a no state tax such as Dallas, then I'd be inclined to believe that he wouldn't care about the extra money.
By your own accurate analysis in paragraph 1, you made your point in paragraph 2 moot. If the only way we get him is by trade from LA as of Thursday...then we would be able to give him the 5th year as that we would be trading for his bird rights. Now I know you are going to say...but I meant signing him as a free agent. So again I point out...MOOT. As you said, he isnt taking the Mini MLE so why are we talking about it? Dwight will either get 5 years from you, 5 from us if traded here by Thursday...or from some other team he gets traded to. Or he takes the max he can get from a team with cap space. Those are the options and the bet your GM is making is that no way he leaves the great Laker franchise and max money on the table. Reasonable bet...but if a threat is made...the window would seem to still be open here because it is still a HUUUGE gamble if he is wrong.
Next, LA has plans for a complete rebuild (hopefully with Dwight still around) during the summer of 2014. Everyone is off the books except Dwight, if he resigns, and Steve Nash who I believe will retire after next reason. So for argument sakes, Lets just say Dwight. LA has enough to sign 2 max free agents or possibly wait until 2015 where they can pair Dwight with Kevin Love and Rajon Rondo. Losing Dwight is NOT the end of the world as many of you make it seem. Worst case scenario is Kobe Bryant playing for a lottery team in his final year. Does Kobe ask for a trade then? IMO, teams would be more inclined to give up expiring assets and picks for a 1 year 30M rental of Kobe. Then wait until 2014 or 2015 to rebuild. Remember LA still has there 2014 pick, so being a bottom feeder wouldn't be a bad thing.
Kobe will play both of these seasons with LA unless he retires early. Not because I dont think he would waive his NT clause. I think he would. But its because he would only do it for a team he could contend with. Now do the math. Who could possibly salary match for his nut without gutting their team? Not possible. Kobe leaves LA one of two ways. For retirement or he signs elsewhere for one last run after this contract is up. I know he says he is done in two years...but competitors have been known to change their minds about that when the moment comes.
Then you have the notion that LA would take Brook Lopez. I am positive LA will not take on his contract which would ruin their 14 or 15 plans. If LA were to ship Dwight to BK, a 3-team trade would be the only possibly route.
This makes no sense to me whatsoever. You didnt think this through. Having Dwight signed on the books for 22 mil that summer doesnt hurt your plans but having Lopez signed for 16.7mil does?
You would have an all star caliber big man making significantly less giving you more cap space. Lopez isnt Dwight. But...if you actually knew right now that Dwight has said TRADE me or I bolt...and he actually does bolt? Taking Lopez would be the best thing you can do. People need to stop referring to Lopez as a max player. He got the max HE was eligible to sign. But that amount is 40 mil less than what Dwight will get or what true max is.
Now we get back to LA who is 3 games behind the 8th seed in the L column. Who's to say they don't make a run and sway Dwight's decision...This season has been derailed mostly because of injuries and coaching changes.
Why are you talking about swaying his decision if you are so certain he hasnt asked for a trade? If he isnt looking to leave that what do you need to sway? That leads me to ask you...is it possible you were too confident in paragraph 1?
Now, lets say he is thinking about leaving or has asked for a trade behind the scenes? How far of a run would you need to make to sway him? From 8th seed to where? Beat the Thunder and the Spurs after the year you are having? Seems like a lot has to start clicking...no? You season has been derailed by a lot of things. Not just coaching changes and injuries. Add, a lack of chemistry. Extreme ego by Kobe letting Dwight know who the man is on that team. A bad fit for Gasol and Dwight. And on and on.
One thing which is certain is that Dwight won't be demanding anything here in LA. Ask Shaq, Ariza, and Odom how that went. Also add the fact that Dwight has already confirmed that Mitch told him they are not trading him. That was the perfect time for Dwight to state that he wanted out, in which he didn't. Possibly, Dwight still wants to stay in LA.
All in all, these next few days and possibly months will be interesting...
Demand is funny word. More like ask and inform. As in Dwight quite possibly has had his agent request a trade for all you know. And its possible that he has also told Mitch that his client feels this is a bad fit and is strongly considering walking away in July so if you want to get a return here is list of the teams he would verbally commit to re-sign with should the acquire his Bird rights by Thursday. Anyone else will have to roll the dice same as you.
And its possible Mitchy said...no dice...we are the great LA we will not capitulate to anyone. He will sign here. No one leaves us. Or he said, keep your mouth shut in the media as far as naming teams or leaking rumors about our conversations and we will see what happens. We understand your position and we will let you know our decision at the deadline. Until then lets be professional and not have a media circus.
My point is...you really dont know what was said behind closed doors. Neither do we. And trying to guess at what Dwight has said or hasnt said from what little we really do know doesnt make a lot of sense to me.
What we know is this...
1- Mitch says he isnt trading him. Doesnt mean he is telling the truth. His actions and his words do not need to match. Wouldnt be the first time someone denied something emphatically in the press and did it anyway.
2- Dwight looks and sounds utterly miserable in LA. Doesnt mean he has in fact asked for a trade.
3- Dwight is being deliberately evasive on his intentions in interviews. He has yet to commit any love for LA publicly. Doesnt mean he wont stay for the money or a long term belief in LA's stellar track record. But its reasonable to assert that he keeping his options open and that isnt exactly sold as of yet.
4- So far, nothing has worked for LA. Nothing. On paper the team is scary. But in reality for many reasons or excuses we can give...the bottom line is...a very disappointing season. I think its fair to say, that's bad timing and why fuel is added to the fire for a belief he just might be looking at his options. And it explains why some believe that behind the scenes Dwight HAS asked for a trade.
Now, if you have something more concrete to support why you believe you know what Dwight has told Mitch Kupchak? I would love to hear it. But if not, it would be nice to also hear that perhaps you havent thought it all the way through. If so? No harm no foul. You are speculating like the rest of us.