Ruzious wrote:stevemcqueen1 wrote:I would not trade the 3rd overall pick for a top 3 protected 2014 pick. You'd probably end up with something in the late lottery if you did that.
I still think Zeller is going to go way earlier than 10ish. I would much rather we pick the guy we want at 3 even if it's a reach than trade down to the mid/late lottery and have to settle for what's left and try and shoe horn them into our construction.
Yeah, if they don't trade the pick, I would go with Zeller - assuming Noah isn't there. He had a bad NCAA tournament, so fans are down on him, but his combo of size, skills, athleticism, and work ethic are rare. Quality bigs are very hard to find - especially ones that play both ends of the court. Porter is probably as good a 3 as Zeller is a 4/5, but quality 3's are nowhere near as difficult to find. And the Wiz need to add 2 quality bigs for the long term, imo. If they add zero this offseason, it puts them in a bind for the future.
I would still favor a trade with Utah - getting Kanter and the 14th pick - and taking the BPA regardless of position (other than a guard who can play only 1 position) with that pick.
Most of the prospects had a bad NCAA tournament. McLemore and Burke had awful games, Bennett and Muhammad were out in the first round, and Noel wasn't even there. I was a little reassured reading old James Harden profiles that talked about how horrible he was in the NCAA tournament and how that cast doubt over him becoming a star in the future. People simply over react to the tourney games, but OKC certainly didn't. They took him at 3, where he was rated, and where hindsight tells us he should have gone. If you redid that draft, I imagine it would go:
1.) Griffin
2.) Curry
3.) Harden
4.) Rubio
5.) Holiday
6.) Lawson
7.) Tyreke
8.) Jennings
9.) DeRozan
It ended up being a much better class than people expected in hindsight. I kind of get that feeling about this draft class. I don't see it being as awful as 2011 was. I think it's got more clean players to choose from, more depth, plenty of seven footers and an excellent group of two guards. I think this class replenishes the league's waning two guard quality.
Anyway, DX currently has Zeller going 11th and NBADraft.net has him 7th. Chad Ford has him ranked 9th. That makes him somewhat unpalatable at 3. I've thought they are wrong to rank him so low, but what if I'm wrong? You might be able to trade back into top ten around 9 or so and still get Zeller. If that's the case, you could conceivably come away with both Porter and Zeller. Historically, late top ten and late lottery picks have not been very hard or expensive to deal for.