Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season.

[Zonkerbl]

I don't understand all the optimism. Before the Okafor injury, most of the predictions were still in the 38-44 range. The problem was our season was dependent on the health of Wall, Beal, Nene and Okafor; and all but Okafor have a relatively poor track record healthwise.

We lost Okafor which looked like it would tank the season, and we have now replaced him with Gortat. What I don't get is why are all the predictions jumping so much? Last year, Gortat wasn't even as good as Okafor. Even if we assume Gortat plays with something approaching his form from 2 years ago, it's still only a modest upgrade over Okafor. We are still a team that is an injury away from mediocrity. If Beal, Nene or Gortat gets hurt, we will suffer. If Wall gets hurt, we are toast.

I'm sticking with 44 wins. When healthy, I think we can play like a 48-50 win team, but I'm expecting injuries to set us back a bit.

I had us at 38 wins, assuming Beal missed 20 games or so, Nene missed 30 games or so.

Then Okafor went down, and I thought I had revised my win prediction downward but apparently I never got around to it. I vaguely recall thinking we would be lucky to get 35 wins.

Now we are closer to the season and Beal has been pretty good, so that makes me a tad more optimistic than I was, and we've got Gortat. Gortat obviously isn't going to be the defensive stalwart that Okafor was, but I think as long as he plays smart we'll be ok. And Gortat's a smidge better than Okafor offensively. So I'm back to 38 wins plus another four games of optimism due to Beal. Now, I'm also thinking, Gortat being available right from the beginning of the season might allow us to monitor Nene's minutes, plus Nene looks ok in the preseason, so I'm less worried about lingering health issues from him. So that makes me think well shoot, why can't we play a whole season like we did during that one stretch when we were on a 50 win pace? Why not indeed! 47 wins!

Sigh. I suck.

[tontoz]

Could someone delete me at 43? That wasn't a prediction that was a joke. My actual prediction was 39 which certainly isn't looking good either.

[LyricalRico]

^ Updated my original list on page 34, that's the list we'll be going by.

[TGW]

I said 34 and by golly I think I overshot it lol.

[Hypnotizer]

^ Updated my original list on page 34, that's the list we'll be going by.

You have 2 Upper Decker's pred.: 27 and 37.

[montestewart]

Over the last 1 games, the Wizards are unbeaten.They are well on their way to meeting or exceeding my 44-38 prediction.

[Bigwig]

Over the last 1 games, the Wizards are unbeaten.They are well on their way to meeting or exceeding my 44-38 prediction.

Woo hoo! Let's celebrate with a little song:

Well, I'm on my way
I don't know where I'm goin'
I'm on my way
I'm takin' my time but I don't know where
Good night to Monte
The King of Corona
See you, me and Johnny Wall down by the schoolyard
See you, me and Johnny Wall down by the schoolyard

[montestewart]

Over the last 1 games, the Wizards are unbeaten.They are well on their way to meeting or exceeding my 44-38 prediction.

Woo hoo! Let's celebrate with a little song:

Well, I'm on my way
I don't know where I'm goin'
I'm on my way
I'm takin' my time but I don't know where
Good night to Monte
The King of Corona
See you, me and Johnny Wall down by the schoolyard
See you, me and Johnny Wall down by the schoolyard

Wait a minute, isn't there we all got arrested?

[hands11]

Starting Sat, Nov 16, the Wizards schedule get a lot easier over the following 13 games.

A home game win against BRK would do them good to help them get through the next 4 games .. BRK, OKC, DAL, and SA

They have gotten off to such bad starts over the last 4 years that its easy to forget just how bad it is to lose 3 games in a row for a team and just how important every single win really is. 0-3 is actually a lot of ground to make up.

2-6 going into the Cleveland game Nov 16th would be a lot better then 1-7

Now if they beat BRK at home they should be set up nicely to take one in Dallas leaving them 3-5, going into the easier 13 game stretch.

Basically, by the end of Dec, we should have a pretty good idea of what they will be for the season.

[hands11]

Wizards numbers.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/WAS/2014.html


Man, Webster has been insanely efficient.

Beal... Ouch

[dckingsfan]

Wizards numbers.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/WAS/2014.html

Man, Webster has been insanely efficient.

Beal... Ouch

Certain things jump out at me...

Attendance: 17,160 (30th of 30) - what does this mean? Leonsis will continue to try to put something entertaining on the court before he worries about winning.

Def Rtg: 109.0 (28th of 30) - what does this mean? Losing Okafor hurt a lot more than we knew.

Offense Four Factors: FT/FGA (28th of 30) - what does this mean? John Wall is not getting to the line - he must be settling for the jumpshot.

[Zonkerbl]

Starting Booker at PF hurts our defense a LOT. We'd be better off starting Ariza at the four with Webster at the three.

A gimpy Nene is 100% better than Booker on defense.

[dckingsfan]

Starting Booker at PF hurts our defense a LOT. We'd be better off starting Ariza at the four with Webster at the three.

A gimpy Nene is 100% better than Booker on defense.

Cosign!

[Joe_Wiz]

^ Updated my original list on page 34, that's the list we'll be going by.

My old 44 is still there. Please remove (even though it's looking more promising than my official 48).

[LyricalRico]

^ Updated my original list on page 34, that's the list we'll be going by.

My old 44 is still there. Please remove (even though it's looking more promising than my official 48).

Good eye! Updated.

[TheBigThree]

^ Updated my original list on page 34, that's the list we'll be going by.

My old 44 is still there. Please remove (even though it's looking more promising than my official 48).

Good eye! Updated.

My 29-53 prediction doesn't seem to be on your list (posted on page 16). Able to update?

Feeling pretty good about it, as depressing as that is

[dckingsfan]

With 10 games in the bag and a .300 winning percentage, your Washington Wizards are on track for a 24.6 win season.

Current leaders in the dugout... @27 wins - Upper Decker & Induveca

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

If Wittman uses Vesely over Seraphin, Temple before Maynor, and uses both Booker and Harrington only in favorable matchups (vs locking them in a top 8 depth chart where JV doesn't play) the Wizards can still win 43 games or more.

I thought the Wizards had 50-win talent but did not get Okafor's absence right. I figured Webster would start from the beginning. I did not foresee Seraphin getting big minutes.

That said the talent is there for them to flip the switch and play .600 ball here out. Probably won't, but it is possible.

Sent from my SGH-M919 using RealGM Forums mobile app

[dckingsfan]

If Wittman uses Vesely over Seraphin, Temple before Maynor, and uses both Booker and Harrington only in favorable matchups (vs locking them in a top 8 depth chart where JV doesn't play) the Wizards can still win 43 games or more.

I thought the Wizards had 50-win talent but did not get Okafor's absence right. I figured Webster would start from the beginning. I did not foresee Seraphin getting big minutes.

That said the talent is there for them to flip the switch and play .600 ball here out. Probably won't, but it is possible.

Sent from my SGH-M919 using RealGM Forums mobile app

Do you think they could realistically flip the switch to .500 ball?

[noworriesinmd]

I think this year will be the easiest to get into the playoffs. There are several teams doing EVERYTHING possible to tank for the big 3.

I think we'll get in just because everyone will try to be so bad.