hands11 wrote:...I think both Wall and Beal matured a lot this last year. Next year should be awesome.
Right here, Hands points to the crux of the difference between two groups on this Forum; A) those who think Ernie has done a good job (creditable, ok, or for some people: terrific -- as in this thread's title) and B) those who think he's been an exceptionally bad GM.
What do I mean? Well, first off I'm sure both camps want Wall and Beal, and the team, to be "awesome" next year. We're all fans!
But those in A seem to think that 1) if Wall and Beal are outstanding, that proves something about Ernie as a GM, and 2) if those 2 guys are outstanding, that means we are getting better as a team in the sense that we are turning into a team with a solid hope to contend for a title in the Wall-Beal generation of players.
If I'm reading Hands right, for example, then -- leaving nuance aside -- that's what he's saying. E.g. "the plan was always around Wall and Beal", and statements to that effect. But only Hands knows what he really means, so I'm open to correction.
Still, I believe that 1 and 2 above are the essence of the Ernie-supporter group's claims. Subsidiary to that, tho still important, would be 3) the Okariza trade was the other main strut of our future -- it was a great move.
Camp B, on the other hand, says i) the picks of Wall and Beal were just a matter of making the default move, taking the guy every GM would have taken; Ernie gets no particular credit for them, any more than we give him props for the lucky ping pong ball bounce in 2010 that gave us a shot at Wall, and ii) trading cap room and future assets for solid veterans to win a little now was the kind of move that virtually guarantees we'll never contend.
Note that I've left out the disastrous 2011 draft -- no disagreements about that. And I'm eliding minor questions like 'how good/bad is Booker/Seraphin?' etc. And I've also left out the question of Nene. Trying to make this as simple/clear as possible.
So. Am I right about the essential differences? If I am, then next year will tell us a lot about who was and is right. If we do better next year than this, then e.g. Hands will be able to say "look, we are moving in the right direction; it's awesome", and I'm guessing we'll all be happy.
But, if it proves difficult to field a team next year that's even as good as this year's team (lose in round 2 in a very weak conference), then perhaps it will mean that Camp B has been right along.
I'm in Camp B, as you know -- but, I'd still be happier if Camp A turned out to be right. I just don't think it's likely.