MagicFan32 wrote:Devin 1L wrote:MagicFan32 wrote:this is a dumb example, so when embiid was dominating the NCAA this year, does that mean he's any less of a player due to playing against "inferior" talent, since he was quite clearly better than everyone? Why exactly should Exum's size not be a plus in his favor?

Oh, come on, really?
It means he's less proven and less certain.
Is it really that hard to comprehend that there would be a continuum of certainty based upon (a) a players output and (b) level of competition that they faced while producing that output.
Every draft pick is inherently unproven by the simple fact that by definition they've never played in the NBA, which is the future performance which we are attempting to predict.
If a player is out on the court dominating kids at Podunk Regional Middle School (inferior NBA talent,) they may well be a great NBA prospect, but it's going to be a lot more certain if that player is dominating the Big 12 in Division 1 of the NCAA (also inferior NBA talent.)
the point is, talent is talent, irregardless of where they play
First off, "irregardless" isn't a real word.
I don't normally do this -- I'm not the resident "spelling/grammar Nazi." It's just that I've used that word before, probably in conversation, and most definitely in written form. But, years ago, here on RealGM, mhectorgato corrected me on my usage of the word; I've never used it since then. So, there's that.
Secondly, I agree. Talent is talent [regardless/irrespective] of where they play. Agreed!
But what is talent? That's what we're trying to determine (in the context of the future expected NBA performance.) The And1 Mixtape dudes look talented as heck!
It's not like there is some objective "Talent Test" that can be given to all potential NBA prospects. We derive it. We consider big things like (a) their performance, and (b) who that performance was against to try to gauge things like talent, but it's not like a two-part "here's his talent number, so here is where he goes" solution. We then consider other things, like, (c) age, notably, because we don't just want to know where you are, but where you'll be. Talent is contextual.