RealGM Top 100 List #11

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#121 » by drza » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:07 pm

Chuck Texas wrote:Looked it up myself:

Regular Season

Dirk 23/8/2 46/39/89
KG 22/12/4 52/29/79 And obviously the 3 pt % is irrelevant because KG took like 10 total and that was never his game.

Dirk's team won a couple more games, but again that's irrelevant here.

So yeah I'd concede KG was the better performer in the games both guys played in. I wouldn't call it "one-sided", but clearly an edge to KG.

Post Season (warning tiny sample)

Dirk 33/16/1 53/73/89
KG 24/19/5 43/50/72

First, its obvious KG was great in that series(tho his defense actually wasnt that great as the guy he mostly guarded Finley had maybe the best playoff series of his career) but Dirk was still considerably better. Those are monster numbers. I wouldn't say "one-sided" here either tho not when KG played that well.


So while H2H isn't the best way to compare KG and Dirk imo, I can buy into the idea that KG played a little better than Dirk overall in their matchups.


When I saw the mini-exchange between you and Ushvinder, I had a vague memory that once I had put a bit of time into breaking down the head-to-head matchups between KG and Dirk through the years. It niggled me, so I looked and I have a spreadsheet called "KG vs Dirk". Apparently I had a LOT of free time at some point (the file was last saved in early 2012), because there's a crap-ton of data in the spreadsheet. Not to jump in on the conclusions of your exchange, but I'll post some things here and, like Owly said, people can make of it what they will.

The overall head-to-head numbers from basketball-reference include every time their teams have faced off, but circumstances have changed a lot through time. For instance, in 98-99 Dirk wasn't even a full-time starter yet while KG was early prime so those numbers skew in KG's favor. Meanwhile, in later years Garnett has had a clearly different role so I think it's good to separate them into epochs. Plus, as pointed out, we aren't sure exactly how often they were covering each other in Minnesota. But in Boston I can attest that, especially in this time period, they were the primary covers for each other. Plus, I had access to more detailed play-by-play data for the Boston years so I was able to see how they played on the court against each other vs how they played when the other was on the bench.

Alright, let's do it.

KG vs Dirk 2000 - 2007, when KG was in Minnesota and both were starting

25 games. Mavs lead the win/loss 15 - 10

Dirk: 38.5 mpg, 23.1 ppg (8/17.2 FG, 5.4/6.2 FT, 58.0% TS), 8.4 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.3 TO
KG: 38.5 mpg, 24.3 ppg (9.5/17.8 FG, 5/6.6 FT, 58.6% TS), 12.6 rpg, 4.9 apg, 2.9 TO

Again, we don't know who was guarding who in these games. However, I did think it was interesting that KG actually outscored him on the same scoring efficiency while posting the clear rebounding and assist edges that you would expect.

KG vs Dirk 2002 playoffs

3 games, Mavs win 3 - 0

Dirk: 43.3 mpg, 33.3 ppg (10/19 FG, 10.7/12 FT, 68.6% TS), 15.7 rpg, 0.7 apg, 2.0 TO
KG: 43.3 mpg, 24 ppg (8/18.7 FG, 7.7/10.7 FT, 51.4% TS), 18.7 rpg, 5.0 apg, 4.0 TO

As has been pretty clearly established, they didn't spend a whole lot of time guarding each other. Chuck, I'd quibble slightly with you saying that KG was primarily on Finley because that doesn't match my memory (I remember Wally mainly on Finley, and KG spending time as primary cover for Najera, Dirk and LaFrentz at different times but with a lot of helping off). But that really isn't the biggest deal.

Incidentally, at the time I made the spreadsheet it wasn't as universally accepted that KG wasn't on Dirk much that series, so I had gone through and found some Youtube clips that showed highlights from games 2 and 3 of that series. I did basic scoring on both clips and broke down when Dirk was scoring on KG, when KG was trying to help onto Dirk, when KG was helping someone else off of Dirk, or just not on KG at all.

In game 2, the clip showed 20 of Dirk's 31 points.
4 of his 20 points were scored on KG 1-on-1
3 of the 20 points were scored when KG was trying to help onto Dirk (I think it was a 3-pointer)
3 of the 20 points were scored when KG was helping someone else off of Dirk
10 of the points were just not scored on KG

In game 3, the clip showed 35 of Dirk's 39 points
2 of his 35 points were scored on KG 1-on-1
4 of his 35 points were scored when KG was trying to help onto Dirk
5 of his 35 points were scored when KG was helping someone else off of Dirk
24 of his 35 points were just not scored on KG

All told, across the two Youtube clips, 55 of Dirk's points were shown. 6 of those were scored on KG 1-on-1, 7 were scored when KG was guarding someone else and helping onto Dirk, 8 were scored when KG was guarding Dirk and helping onto someone else, and 34 were scored when KG just wasn't the one guarding him (including fast breaks).

KG vs Dirk, the Boston years (up through Feb. 20, 2012)

10 games total, teams were 5 - 5. But, KG missed 3 of the games. Celtics led series 4 - 3 in games KG played, Mavs led 2 - 1 in games KG sat.

Here, I went through play-by-play data and calculated both KG's and Dirk's stats when both were on the court, Dirk's stats when KG was out of the game (but playing in the game), and Dirk's stats when KG sat out the game completely. And as I mentioned above, during this phase of their careers Dirk and KG were spending a lot of time as each other's primary defenders.

Overall, Dirk played about 200 minutes with KG on the court. He played about 68 minutes with KG off the court (but actually playing in those games), and he had 116 minutes on-court in games KG didn't play in at all. KG had about 31 minutes on-court without Dirk.

Broken down in per-36 minute style:

Dirk (KG on): 21.0 pp36, 57.3% TS, 7.6 reb, 1.6 ast, 3.4 TO
Dirk (KG off): 31.2 pp36, 59.4% TS, 7.9 reb, 1.6 ast, 1.6 TO
Dirk (KG out): 31.3 pp36, 59.6% TS, 11.3 reb, 3.3 ast, 2.0 TO

KG (Dirk on): 18.4 pp36, 50.3% TS, 8.8 reb, 1.8 ast, 1.4 TO
KG (Dirk off): 16.3 pp36, 44.4% TS, 11.6 reb, 5.8 ast, 0 TO

Some fun notes. Clearly they were at much different parts of their careers than the Minnesota numbers. DIrk's role was similar but in Boston (especially post 2008) KG had more defensive than offensive priorities in general. However, when playing Dirk it was clear that defending him was his main priority even beyond his own offense (that conclusion is my opinion from watching the game, not the numbers. But I think the numbers supports it).

It's interesting to see that Dirk absolutely exploded against Boston any time KG wasn't on the court, be it in games that KG was playing but on the bench or games he sat out completely. In both instances Dirk was scoring over 31 pp36 on about 59.5% TS without KG. With KG on court, though, his scoring dropped dramatically (by 10 pp36 and a couple TS%) and his turnovers doubled as well with no bump in assists. On KG's end, his scoring efficiency was poor (though interestingly better when Dirk was on the court), but across the board he came pretty close to equalling Dirk when both were on the court.

Both KG and Dirk seemed to have better non-scoring contributions when they didn't have to worry about the other. Dirk's rebounding/assist bumps happened more in the games KG didn't play in at all, while KG's bumps in those areas came in games with Dirk playing but while Dirk was on the bench.

Bottom line

Again, I put the numbers out there and people can make of it what they will. When taken to this level of detail, it seems clear to me that KG was generally outplaying Dirk to a solid degree in his Minnesota days (though we don't know what proportion of the time they were guarding each other). In Boston Dirk was still near peak as KG went post-prime and changed roles, but we know they were spending more time on each other (especially KG on Dirk). While their on-court numbers were comparable against each other, I'd argue that KG being able to reduce Dirk's scoring output to such a significant degree represented a win because this really hurt the Mavs' approach.

Again, Chuck, not meant to be combatitive (you've already conceded the point to a degree, which is fair). I'm just further amplifying the detail on the comparison, so that we can all make more informed decisions.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#122 » by Quotatious » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:14 pm

I don't care about All-NBA team selections (or even the MVP voting results), but didn't KG have clearly tougher competition (prime Duncan and Nowitzki were competitive every single year) than Kobe, who's only real competition was Wade (and obviously he had two injury-riddled seasons in 2007 and 2008)? Also Bryant played on the biggest market team in the NBA all the time, and some of his antics led to him getting an even greater exposure, while Garnett was for the most part a hard working, low profile superstar (yeah, I know it's an oxymoron :) ) in such backwoods as Minnesota. Also Duncan and Nowitzki played on winning teams (even more so - they played on some absolutely elite teams in the league) and the winning bias is a tremendous factor as far as the All-NBA selections, MVP voting results etc. KG missing the playoffs in his prime 3 times in a row certainly didn't help his reputation, either (despite the fact that it was virtually impossible to lead the 2005-07 Wolves to the playoffs, in the Western conference). Make no mistake, it had a lot of impact on those results, and that's why I don't even take accolades like that into account. All facts point to KG being Kobe's equal (or better) most of the time (before '09, that is, although I think that Garnett's unimpressive volume stats are deceiving, and Kobe wasn't necessarily better every year after 2010 - for instance I'd take 2012 KG over Kobe).
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#123 » by Basketballefan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:14 pm

colts18 wrote:
Basketballefan wrote:This.

Kobe from 08-2013 was clearly better than Kg every year. If KG had any edge in careers before that it would be wiped away after it.

I don't see that. 2012 KG was better than Kobe. In 2013 KG was on the same level as Kobe when he played and definitely could be ahead of Kobe because Kobe was injured.

Um no. 2012 & 2013 Kobe was still a top 10 player in the league easily. KG would be lucky to be called top 20 for both those years. You'll see that when you take your blinders off. KG was still a very impactful player on defense but he couldn't play heavy minutes and his rebounding and offense wasn't near what it was in his prime. Kobe's offense>KG's defense those years.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#124 » by An Unbiased Fan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:15 pm

colts18 wrote:
Basketballefan wrote:This.

Kobe from 08-2013 was clearly better than Kg every year. If KG had any edge in careers before that it would be wiped away after it.

I don't see that. 2012 KG was better than Kobe. In 2013 KG was on the same level as Kobe when he played and definitely could be ahead of Kobe because Kobe was injured.

Really?

12 Garnett: 15.8 ppg, 2.9 apg, 8.2 rpg, 55% TS
12 Kobe: 27.9 ppg, 4.6 apg, 5.4 rpg, 53% TS

13 Garnett: 14.8 ppg, 2.3 apg, 7.8 rpg, 54% TS
13 Kobe: 27.3 ppg, 6.0 apg, 5.6 rpg, 57% TS
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#125 » by Quotatious » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:25 pm

Damn, I'm glad that nobody mentioned the fact that both Garnett and Bryant have 9 All-Defensive 1st Team and 3 All-Defensive 2nd Team selections each... :lol:
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#126 » by An Unbiased Fan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:27 pm

Quotatious wrote:I don't care about All-NBA team selections (or even the MVP voting results), but didn't KG have clearly tougher competition (prime Duncan and Nowitzki were competitive every single year) than Kobe, who's only real competition was Wade (and obviously he had two injury-riddled seasons in 2007 and 2008)? Also Bryant played on the biggest market team in the NBA all the time, and some of his antics led to him getting an even greater exposure, while Garnett was for the most part a hard working, low profile superstar (yeah, I know it's an oxymoron :) ) in such backwoods as Minnesota. Also Duncan and Nowitzki played on winning teams (even more so - they played on some absolutely elite teams in the league) and the winning bias is a tremendous factor as far as the All-NBA selections, MVP voting results etc. KG missing the playoffs in his prime 3 times in a row certainly didn't help his reputation, either (despite the fact that it was virtually impossible to lead the 2005-07 Wolves to the playoffs, in the Western conference). Make no mistake, it had a lot of impact on those results, and that's why I don't even take accolades like that into account. All facts point to KG being Kobe's equal (or better) most of the time (before '09, that is, although I think that Garnett's unimpressive volume stats are deceiving, and Kobe wasn't necessarily better every year after 2010 - for instance I'd take 2012 KG over Kobe).

1) Guys Kobe competed with for spots: GP, Kidd, Vince, Ray, Iverson, Nash, CP3, Wade. They go by the guard spots. For example, in 2000 is was Kidd/GP on 1st team

2) KG was definitely NOT low profile. he had just as many commercials as Kobe if not more. That's like calling Durant low profile because he plays in OKC.

3)You said,"KG missing the playoffs in his prime 3 times in a row certainly didn't help his reputation, either (despite the fact that it was virtually impossible to lead the 2005-07 Wolves to the playoffs, in the Western conference)".....but see, Kobe did lead a similar group to the playoffs in that same conference.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#127 » by Basketballefan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:30 pm

Quotatious wrote:Damn, I'm glad that nobody mentioned the fact that both Garnett and Bryant have 9 All-Defensive 1st Team and 3 All-Defensive 2nd Team selections each... :lol:

Well we all know Kobe didn't deserve half of those, but it annoys me when people act like Kobe from 2003 onward was an average defender.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#128 » by Jim Naismith » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:32 pm

Basketballefan wrote:Even though accolades aren't everything i feel like posters dismiss them totally when it comes to Kobe and i think that's unfair.


Well, let's consider some individual accolades. . .

Moses.....3x MVP, 1x FMVP
Kobe.......1x MVP, 2x FMVP
Dirk........1x MVP, 1x FMVP
DRob.......1x MVP, 0x FMVP
Oscar......1x MVP, 0x FMVP
KG..........1x MVP, 0x FMVP
West.......0x MVP, 1x FMVP

Moses seems to do pretty well here, even better than Kobe.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#129 » by colts18 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:32 pm

Basketballefan wrote:Um no. 2012 & 2013 Kobe was still a top 10 player in the league easily. KG would be lucky to be called top 20 for both those years. You'll see that when you take your blinders off. KG was still a very impactful player on defense but he couldn't play heavy minutes and his rebounding and offense wasn't near what it was in his prime. Kobe's offense>KG's defense those years.

This is the RealGM RPOY results for 2012. KG finished ahead of Kobe. he certainly had more impact in the playoffs that year than Kobe.

Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Points Share
1. LeBron James 18 0 0 0 0 180 1.000
2. Kevin Durant 0 16 2 0 0 122 0.678
3. Chris Paul 0 2 1 4 1 82 0.456
4. Kevin Garnett 0 0 3 5 3 33 0.183
5. Dirk Nowitzki 0 0 0 4 4 16 0.089
6. Kobe Bryant 0 0 1 1 1 9 0.050

KG was also better than 2013 Kobe. Why did they have similar team results despite Kobe having a much better supporting cast? KG had DPOY impact in 2013 while Kobe had James Harden like defensive impact which makes a difference.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#130 » by The Infamous1 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:34 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:
Quotatious wrote:I don't care about All-NBA team selections (or even the MVP voting results), but didn't KG have clearly tougher competition (prime Duncan and Nowitzki were competitive every single year) than Kobe, who's only real competition was Wade (and obviously he had two injury-riddled seasons in 2007 and 2008)? Also Bryant played on the biggest market team in the NBA all the time, and some of his antics led to him getting an even greater exposure, while Garnett was for the most part a hard working, low profile superstar (yeah, I know it's an oxymoron :) ) in such backwoods as Minnesota. Also Duncan and Nowitzki played on winning teams (even more so - they played on some absolutely elite teams in the league) and the winning bias is a tremendous factor as far as the All-NBA selections, MVP voting results etc. KG missing the playoffs in his prime 3 times in a row certainly didn't help his reputation, either (despite the fact that it was virtually impossible to lead the 2005-07 Wolves to the playoffs, in the Western conference). Make no mistake, it had a lot of impact on those results, and that's why I don't even take accolades like that into account. All facts point to KG being Kobe's equal (or better) most of the time (before '09, that is, although I think that Garnett's unimpressive volume stats are deceiving, and Kobe wasn't necessarily better every year after 2010 - for instance I'd take 2012 KG over Kobe).

1) Guys Kobe competed with for spots: GP, Kidd, Vince, Ray, Iverson, Nash, CP3, Wade. They go by the guard spots. For example, in 2000 is was Kidd/GP on 1st team

2) KG was definitely NOT low profile. he had just as many commercials as Kobe if not more. That's like calling Durant low profile because he plays in OKC.

3)You said,"KG missing the playoffs in his prime 3 times in a row certainly didn't help his reputation, either (despite the fact that it was virtually impossible to lead the 2005-07 Wolves to the playoffs, in the Western conference)".....but see, Kobe did lead a similar group to the playoffs in that same conference.


Yeah there's a lot of revisionist history going on. KG was one of the most popular well known superstars of his time.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#131 » by Basketballefan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:43 pm

Being that i'm not sold on the West and KG arguments ill vote Kobe Bryant.

5 time champion
2 time FMVP
MVP
16 all star games
11 all nba first team
etc etc

A top 10 scorer of all time easily(25.5 ppg 56 TS% over 17 full seasons)
4th on the all time scoring list

Here are some of Kobe's best playoff series

2001 2nd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Sacramento Kings

35.0 ppg 9.0 rpg 4.3 apg 47%fg 20%3P 86%FT

2001 3rd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs San Antonio Spurs

33.3 ppg 7.0 rpg 7.0 apg 51%fg 36%3P 77%FT

2003 1st Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Minnesota Timberwolves

31.8 ppg 5.2 rpg 6.7 apg 43%fg 36%3P 87%FT

2008 1st Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Denver Nuggets

33.5 ppg 5.3 rpg 6.3 apg 50%fg 33%3P 74%FT

2008 2nd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Utah Jazz

33.2 ppg 7.0 rpg 7.2 apg 49%fg 21%3P 83%FT

2008 3rd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs San Antonio Spurs

29.2 ppg 5.6 rpg 3.8 apg 53%fg 33%3P 91%FT

2009 3rd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Denver Nuggets


34.0 ppg 5.8 rpg 5.8 apg 48%fg 34%3P 93%FT

2009 NBA Finals Kobe Bryant vs Orlando Magic


32.4 ppg 5.6 rpg 7.4 apg 43%fg 36%3P 84%FT

2010 2nd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Utah Jazz

32.0 ppg 3.8 rpg 5.8 apg 52%fg 25%3P 87%FT

2010 3rd Round Playoffs Kobe Bryant vs Phoenix Suns


33.7ppg 7.2 rpg 8.3 apg 52%fg 43%3P 88%FT
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#132 » by ElGee » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:43 pm

I have some Kobe points, not sure if now is the time. Same with Dirk. So just at 30k feet:

    -Bill Russell is a GOAT candidate because of his overall value on the game, this despite not being a "No. 1 Option" scorer
    -Tim Duncan is on the pantheon because of his overall value on the game
    -Hakeem Olajuwon is on the pantheon, and would be for me even if he didn't improve offensively in the mid 90's
    -David Robinson would be there with more longevity

I really think the hangup with people on Garnett is just a simple scoring fixation, where they can't get their biased memories (as in, remembering only negatives) out of their head about his isolation scoring ability. Yet,

    if we compare his clutch scoring to Tim Duncan's, almost any way we slice it, the numbers are very similar.
    If we compare their performance against good defenses in the RS, again, numbers similar.
    If we look at numbers against good defense in the PS, again, numbers similar.
    If we look at synergy numbers since 2005, again, numbers similar.

The point is not to say Duncan and KG are on Kobe's level offensively, it's that wherever you have them, you are likely defaulting to some kind of narrative in your head that makes you feel more comfortable with Duncan's bank shot than Garnett's fadeaway (ironically, of course, these are both mid-range shots...and Garnett's a better shooter.) You've probably not accessed the "KG offensive ass-kicking file" in years, and don't the most pivotal 08 games against Detroit, LA, 04 games vs. Sac and 03 games vs LA.

Similarly, one of the things that has moved Garnett up in my valuations (besides title odds calculations) is all of the research around scoring.

    People say you need a "No. 1 Option" like Kobe. Not true -- evidence doesn't support that.
    People say clutch scoring is really important -- not true, evidence doesn't support that (and again, show me the difference between TD and KG there).
    People say in the PS all the games are close -- not true, evidence doesn't support that.
    People say you need a guy to create offense out of nothing -- turns out Hero Ball is usually a bad strategy

...although in certain situations it has value. And it turns out those situations are almost always situations that don't bear out champions...so again, I say why do we care so much about these situations? It would be like arguing against Kobe and Mike simultaneously because if they were on the same team they'd clash with each other.

Kobe, even with his shot selection issues, is a just a tier below the GOAT offensive players to me. The easiest way to see this is to anchor him to Mike, who is a better passing, quicker, more decisive version of him. The dividing line with Kobe seems to be his defense. All I can say there is that starting in 2005, if you still think he was an elite defender, we're just always going to have a major separation here. The reason for this is you don't trust defensive stats, and I'm not going to take the time to break down the 10-20 games (and stat-track them) necessary to display this. To me it was just clear that 2005 was a huge shift on to Kobe and he struggled at times with the load. In 06 and 07 Jackson used the old "rest him on the weak opponent" trick quite a lot. Kobe used up crazy energy on O, and was selectively used for his man D. By 2008, Jeff Van Gundy called it a "joke" that Kobe was making all-defensive teams based on his reputation. In 2008. As the years went on, bloggers started to cover this phenomenon. In 2010, I started stat-tracking and there was Kobe, getting blown by and/or losing his rotational/man responsibilities at a pretty sizable rate. At this point I'm not really sure if I disagree with some of Kobe's ardent supporters on his offense -- even with their love of PPG! -- because I think his "issues" are overblown. He's still a good passer, good defensive reader, and IMO a very underrated pure shooter.

Dirk is a similar story. Great offensive player -- way better than KG/Duncan and on Kobe's level. It's his defense that suffers. Weird for me because before Dirk won a title (Winning Bias alert!) I used to have argue for Dirk all the time. People said he wasn't clutch. And that we was a sieve on defense. And my response then is what it is now: Dirk's solid on defense, but it's unlikely you are getting positive impact on that end. In many years it's around neutral, and it's better than many "replacement level" defenders, but I consider Larry Bird a far better defender. Think of all the good things Dirk does on D, then amplify them and you get Bird's D. (I think Bird's D is usually underrated.)

I've definitely refined my rankings this summer and am looking forward to additional information/revision on the 20-40 crowd. But the guy I see little about, and that Doc MJ has been too sidetracked to mention is Doctor J. I have him a mental tug-of-war for my No. 13 spot with Kobe and there's enough between the ABA, generational differences, 3-point line, etc. that it's not clear which way to go there. But the Doctor thing...it's like Garnett. And Duncan. And Mutombo. And Kidd. If you think Erving's a better offensive player than Kobe, well, I really really strongly disagree. For the exact same things that have been said about Garnett. However, I think Erving was a monster defensively. Similar to some of what we've seen from LeBron in recent years ITO of a large, athletic wing being able to rim protect eat up space on defense.

I think it's hard sometime, without getting your hands really dirty (i.e stat-tracking, synergy-like film breakdown) to counter the arguments people make for an offensive player. (e.g. Dirk, Kobe) I mean, Kobe > Dr. J for me on offense by a clear amount, and in many seasons a sizable amount. But there are fewer stats and runs and samples etc. that demonstrate this for Dr. J. So as a result, you see pages and pages of the same argument -- offensive/ppg based -- sliced in 20 different ways.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#133 » by An Unbiased Fan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:44 pm

Jim Naismith wrote:
Basketballefan wrote:Even though accolades aren't everything i feel like posters dismiss them totally when it comes to Kobe and i think that's unfair.


Well, let's consider some individual accolades. . .

Moses.....3x MVP, 1x FMVP
Kobe.......1x MVP, 2x FMVP
Dirk........1x MVP, 1x FMVP
DRob.......1x MVP, 0x FMVP
Oscar......1x MVP, 0x FMVP
KG..........1x MVP, 0x FMVP
West.......0x MVP, 1x FMVP

Moses seems to do pretty well here, even better than Kobe.

MVP Shares + FMVP
Kobe - 6.206
Dr. J - 4.807(Don't have ABA MVP shares, so estimated it on a .800 basis)
Mailman - 4.296
Moses - 3.873
DRob- 3.123
West - 3.090
Dirk - 2.810
KG - 2.753
Oscar - 2.479
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#134 » by Quotatious » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:49 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:1) Guys Kobe competed with for spots: GP, Kidd, Vince, Ray, Iverson, Nash, CP3, Wade. They go by the guard spots. For example, in 2000 is was Kidd/GP on 1st team

None of these players except Wade was really on Kobe's level (Nash and CP3 were, but at certain point it just became ridiculous with those selections, Kobe getting All-NBA 1st team and, what's even worse, All-Defensive team nods, even in 2010s...).

Also, 2000 was still pre-prime Kobe, so no surprise that Payton and Kidd got the nod over him.

KG competed with Duncan, Dirk, Shaq, Dwight, prime Brand, prime Pau, Yao, prime JO, Webber, Sheed, Amare, Boozer etc....See what I did here?
An Unbiased Fan wrote:2) KG was definitely NOT low profile. he had just as many commercials as Kobe if not more. That's like calling Durant low profile because he plays in OKC.

Maybe, but I'd still bet that Kobe is a way more popular player (for example his jersey is still among the top 5 most popular among fans, despite the fact that he missed almost an entire season). Also after the Colorado incident Kobe was hugely unpopular and then it was a great redemption story which earned him a ton of publicity. Anyway, let's leave it at that, as it's a rather irrelevant stuff.
An Unbiased Fan wrote:3)You said,"KG missing the playoffs in his prime 3 times in a row certainly didn't help his reputation, either (despite the fact that it was virtually impossible to lead the 2005-07 Wolves to the playoffs, in the Western conference)".....but see, Kobe did lead a similar group to the playoffs in that same conference.

KG would kill to have a guy like Lamar Odom and a coach like Phil Jackson on his team (the latter is the most important). Instead he had Wally Szczerbiak/Ricky Davis (but not at the same time) and a rookie coach like Dwane Casey. Even when he had Flip Saunders as his coach, his best teammates (I'm talking about 2005) were old, washed-up Sam Cassell and Latrell Sprewell (Spree was horrible in '05). Then McHale took over as a coach. Still, he led them to 44 wins, coming up short by just 1 win of the 8th seed. Cassell not only hugely declined from 2004 (when he was great, and admittedly better than Odom), but also played just 59 games.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#135 » by Notanoob » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:51 pm

penbeast0 wrote:My computer is acting up so I cannot do this myself, but if anyone has a spreadsheet set up, I wanted to post numbers for (a) career and (b) peak year normed to year 2000 stats (adjusted for points, rebounds, assists, ts%, etc. so that the numbers each player posted would be the equivalent distance from the average for the year 2000) for some of the top candidates for the next 10 spots. I find this more useful than rebound rate, etc. because it presents the information in a consistent and easily recognized and compared format.

IF I can get a new computer bought and set up and transfer over my spreadsheets (which looks unlikely right now), I will try to get to this but at the moment, I am taking forever just to post simple posts.

Players I would like to see comps v. league norm for . . .

Mikan
Pettit
Oscar
West
Havlicek
Gilmore
Erving
Moses
Ewing
DRobinson
KMalone
Barkley
Kobe
Garnett
Dirk
Nash

I don't think these are necessarily my next 15 (I rank Frazier over Nash, Pippen over Havlicek, etc.) but I think they are the ones likely to be brought up early and some of them will be pretty polarizing.
I previously found a list of league average TS% by year going back quite a ways, but I have since lost it. Is anybody working on this? Or is the OP getting ignored here.

Also, I think that this is the first mention of A-Train in this project so far, congratulations to him, he's earned a mention.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#136 » by Basketballefan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 4:55 pm

colts18 wrote:
Basketballefan wrote:Um no. 2012 & 2013 Kobe was still a top 10 player in the league easily. KG would be lucky to be called top 20 for both those years. You'll see that when you take your blinders off. KG was still a very impactful player on defense but he couldn't play heavy minutes and his rebounding and offense wasn't near what it was in his prime. Kobe's offense>KG's defense those years.

This is the RealGM RPOY results for 2012. KG finished ahead of Kobe. he certainly had more impact in the playoffs that year than Kobe.

Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Points Share
1. LeBron James 18 0 0 0 0 180 1.000
2. Kevin Durant 0 16 2 0 0 122 0.678
3. Chris Paul 0 2 1 4 1 82 0.456
4. Kevin Garnett 0 0 3 5 3 33 0.183
5. Dirk Nowitzki 0 0 0 4 4 16 0.089
6. Kobe Bryant 0 0 1 1 1 9 0.050

KG was also better than 2013 Kobe. Why did they have similar team results despite Kobe having a much better supporting cast? KG had DPOY impact in 2013 while Kobe had James Harden like defensive impact which makes a difference.

KG's playoff numbers look like they do because he faced the cupcake frontline of the Sixers and Heat. He didn't face any real big men in that playoff run. You could argue KG had a better postseason i suppose but regular season no way, not even close. 2013 KG over Kobe is just laughable sorry. Kobe 27 6 6 57 TS% 23 PER, KG 15 7 54 TS% 19 PER, i think you overrate KG's defensive impact in 2013 he didn't make an all defensive team or the all star game. The Celtics' defense also slipped that year. Kobe had to deal with that disaster that was the lakers that season, all those injuries ,bad coaching etc. He was the reason the Lakers even made the playoffs and anyone who watched NBA that year knew this was true, and knew Kobe>KG that year. Saying KG>Kobe that year would be like saying Duncan was better than Melo this year, it's just dumb.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#137 » by An Unbiased Fan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 5:04 pm

Quotatious wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:1) Guys Kobe competed with for spots: GP, Kidd, Vince, Ray, Iverson, Nash, CP3, Wade. They go by the guard spots. For example, in 2000 is was Kidd/GP on 1st team

None of these players except Wade was really on Kobe's level (Nash and CP3 were, but at certain point it just became ridiculous with those selections, Kobe getting All-NBA 1st team and, what's even worse, All-Defensive team nods, even in 2010s...).

Also, 2000 was still pre-prime Kobe, so no surprise that Payton and Kidd got the nod over him.

KG competed with Duncan, Dirk, Shaq, Dwight, prime Brand, prime Pau, Yao, prime JO, Webber, Sheed, Amare, Boozer etc....See what I did here?

KG had to deal with Duncan, Webber, Sheed, Dirk, Pau, Amare for spots

Kobe had to deal with Wade, Vince, Ray, Iverson, Harden for spots

I don't see the difference. And Shaq, Dwight, Yao were centers.

KG would kill to have a guy like Lamar Odom and a coach like Phil Jackson on his team (the latter is the most important). Instead he had Wally Szczerbiak/Ricky Davis (but not at the same time) and a rookie coach like Dwane Casey. Even when he had Flip Saunders as his coach, his best teammates (I'm talking about 2005) were old, washed-up Sam Cassell and Latrell Sprewell (Spree was horrible in '05). Then McHale took over as a coach. Still, he led them to 44 wins, coming up short by just 1 win of the 8th seed. Cassell not only hugely declined from 2004 (when he was great, and admittedly better than Odom), but also played just 59 games.

Odom played just 56 games in 2007 with a whopping 16.1 PER. Ricky Davis was 17 ppg on 57% TS for Minny, and nearly the same production. Kwame only played 41 games, Luke played 60 games. That squad was injury riddled and Kobe had to put up spans like the 4 straight 50+ games just to get them into the post-season.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#138 » by ardee » Fri Jul 25, 2014 5:04 pm

colts18 wrote:
Basketballefan wrote:Um no. 2012 & 2013 Kobe was still a top 10 player in the league easily. KG would be lucky to be called top 20 for both those years. You'll see that when you take your blinders off. KG was still a very impactful player on defense but he couldn't play heavy minutes and his rebounding and offense wasn't near what it was in his prime. Kobe's offense>KG's defense those years.

This is the RealGM RPOY results for 2012. KG finished ahead of Kobe. he certainly had more impact in the playoffs that year than Kobe.

Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Points Share
1. LeBron James 18 0 0 0 0 180 1.000
2. Kevin Durant 0 16 2 0 0 122 0.678
3. Chris Paul 0 2 1 4 1 82 0.456
4. Kevin Garnett 0 0 3 5 3 33 0.183
5. Dirk Nowitzki 0 0 0 4 4 16 0.089
6. Kobe Bryant 0 0 1 1 1 9 0.050

KG was also better than 2013 Kobe. Why did they have similar team results despite Kobe having a much better supporting cast? KG had DPOY impact in 2013 while Kobe had James Harden like defensive impact which makes a difference.


So what? There were 20 people voting in that, and most of the guys voting were KG zealots (I won't take names but just go through the list and tell me if I'm wrong).

I used to think KG was better in 2012, but I've changed my mind mainly because I think the Playoff sample size is far too tiny to make a judgment. And it was against Atlanta and Philly, hardly an advertisement for tough competition. He was miserable in the first half of the season. Got better in the second half but I still think it's hard to say he was having superstar impact when his offense was all basically jumpers that Rondo fed him.

He was great in the Playoffs, but so was Kobe. And Kobe didn't have a teammate like Rondo who would explode for triple doubles or 40 point games against the eventual champions.

And 2013, KG didn't get a SINGLE DPOY vote. Not even fifth place. I don't know how you can say that he was at that level. If 120 or so voters all didn't consider him even worth a fifth-place vote, where is the question of this mysterious impact being so evident? He was a role player that year, nothing more.

Once their primes began KG was better in 2000, 2003-05. Kobe was better in 2001-02, 2006-13.

And I thought you ranked Kobe over KG on your ATL? Why the change in tune, considering you argue against KG more than any player as well?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#139 » by colts18 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 5:05 pm

Basketballefan wrote:KG's playoff numbers look like they do because he faced the cupcake frontline of the Sixers and Heat. He didn't face any real big men in that playoff run. You could argue KG had a better postseason i suppose but regular season no way, not even close. 2013 KG over Kobe is just laughable sorry. Kobe 27 6 6 57 TS% 23 PER, KG 15 7 54 TS% 19 PER, i think you overrate KG's defensive impact in 2013 he didn't make an all defensive team or the all star game. The Celtics' defense also slipped that year. Kobe had to deal with that disaster that was the lakers that season, all those injuries ,bad coaching etc. He was the reason the Lakers even made the playoffs and anyone who watched NBA that year knew this was true, and knew Kobe>KG that year. Saying KG>Kobe that year would be like saying Duncan was better than Melo this year, it's just dumb.


KG did have great defensive impact in 2013. The only reason the defense slipped is because of the minutes KG was off the court

on court: 99 defensive rating (better than the #1 rated Pacers)
off court: 108 defensive rating (equivalent to 25th best defense)

That's massive impact

You can't credit Kobe for taking the 2013 Lakers to the playoffs with all the turmoil while not acknowledging that he was a big reason for all of it. Any time with an alleged top 5 player plus Dwight Howard should have no business finishing with 45 wins. A big reason why they underachieved is because Kobe took plays off on defense for the whole year. His defense was a disaster in 2013 which won't show up in the PER stats.

Why did the 2013 Celtics play better with KG than the 2013 Lakers played with Kobe if Kobe had the much better supporting cast?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#140 » by penbeast0 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 5:08 pm

Votes so far:

Oscar Robertson: Jaivyl
Kobe Bryant: GC Pantalones, An Unbiased Fan, basketballefan
Kevin Garnett: Doctor MJ
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.

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