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Political Roundtable - Part VI

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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1501 » by DCZards » Mon Apr 6, 2015 2:15 pm

dckingsfan wrote:Wow, just wow... I call this the "head in the sand" strategy. Zonk - help me with this? What is there thinking?

http://politicalwire.com/2015/04/06/dem ... -strategy/


According to the WSJ article here's the liberal Dems core argument: "The liberals’ argument is that Social Security benefits are meager and that people in retirement need more, not less, money. Some also contend that concerns about the program’s solvency are exaggerated. And inside the Democratic Party, that argument is gaining traction."

Truth is, the first part of the argument has merit: Benefits are too meager for many Americans to live off of in 2015 and beyond, especially with the decline in employer-provided pensions.

Second part of the argument regarding concerns about the program's solvency being "exaggerated" may also be true. I personally do not have enough info to know for sure, but this is not the first time I've heard it said that the concerns were overblown.

I think you'd be surprised how many Americans agree with the liberal Dems on this issue, especially those either retired or approaching retirement. In other words, people who are the most likely to vote. So I don't think the Dems are going out on as big a limb as you think.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1502 » by nate33 » Mon Apr 6, 2015 2:33 pm

Deficits don't matter. Why not just print money and give every American $50,000 a year every year?
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1503 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 6, 2015 2:37 pm

DCZards wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:Wow, just wow... I call this the "head in the sand" strategy. Zonk - help me with this? What is there thinking?

http://politicalwire.com/2015/04/06/dem ... -strategy/


According to the WSJ article here's the liberal Dems core argument: "The liberals’ argument is that Social Security benefits are meager and that people in retirement need more, not less, money. Some also contend that concerns about the program’s solvency are exaggerated. And inside the Democratic Party, that argument is gaining traction."

Truth is, the first part of the argument has merit: Benefits are too meager for many Americans to live off of in 2015 and beyond, especially with the decline in employer-provided pensions.

Second part of the argument regarding concerns about the program's solvency being "exaggerated" may also be true. I personally do not have enough info to know for sure, but this is not the first time I've heard it said that the concerns were overblown.

I think you'd be surprised how many Americans agree with the liberal Dems on this issue, especially those either retired or approaching retirement. In other words, people who are the most likely to vote. So I don't think the Dems are going out on as big a limb as you think.


You may be right - politics trumps reality many times. If I were the Rs I would double down on this strategy and promise doubling SS and Medicare. Why be rational, just let them become insolvent and then deal with the problem. It would fit with the Rs new thinking about increasing the size of Military spending without paying for it.

My perverse sense is that the spend Ds will meet the spend Rs and both programs will be increased.

After all - our grandkids can pay for this right?
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1504 » by DCZards » Mon Apr 6, 2015 2:50 pm

nate33 wrote:Deficits don't matter. Why not just print money and give every American $50,000 a year every year?


Or maybe we should trim some of the fat in the defense budget and close corporate tax loopholes before asking many older Americans to live out their lives in near poverty.
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Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1505 » by Induveca » Mon Apr 6, 2015 3:02 pm

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:Deficits don't matter. Why not just print money and give every American $50,000 a year every year?


Or maybe we should cut some of the fat in the defense budget or reform corporate tax breaks before asking older Americans to live out their lives in near poverty.


Image

You make a valid point. It obviously needs to come down, but not to create a welfare state. I'd suggest huge infrastructure projects which create millions of jobs.

Fund real high speed rail. I was just on a train that took me from one major EU capital to another in just 2 1/2 hours at 350 km/hr. By car it would have been 9 hours. Even look into the crazy, but viable hyperloop ideas.

Obviously far more to do, especially around education and fixing a broken public school system. This is the young generation that is ready and willing to dominate in the sciences. Dial back the excessive Shakespeare and tuba playing a bit for skills that will actually earn them a steady paycheck in 20 years.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1506 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 6, 2015 3:09 pm

And the other way to look at it...
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Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1507 » by Induveca » Mon Apr 6, 2015 3:13 pm

dckingsfan wrote:And the other way to look at it...
Image


Take out/add discretionary spending and pretty amazing how the numbers can literally be used for any argument, on either side.

US voters are largely ignorant, sadly it will come down to what it almost always comes down to......who has the most money at their disposal.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1508 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 6, 2015 3:17 pm

And the problem with both charts is the other "things" are being squeezed out by the entitlement (62%) + defense (19%) + growing interest (5%). That is 86% of the budget. Let's say the Ds got there way and upped entitlement programs 10%.

Then you would have (68%) + defense (19%) + growing interest (5%).

Do you cut research? Do you cut transportation and infrastructure spending? Wait, that is only 3%. Let's add any spending on Agriculture and education.

Okay. I see how they are going to do that one. We can be the Detroit of the modern world.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1509 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 6, 2015 3:18 pm

Or Indu, in this case who promises what they don't have. Still looking for that presidential candidate with some spine.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1510 » by dobrojim » Mon Apr 6, 2015 7:41 pm

Found the column by Ruth Marcus in the Sunday Post very intriguing.

http://tinyurl.com/pjnca4h

Question 1: “Do you believe it is acceptable to discriminate against individuals in employment, housing or public accommodations and services (that is, commercial enterprises) on the basis of sexual orientation?”


So on to Question 2: “If you believe that such discrimination is unacceptable, do you support state and federal legislation to prohibit it?”


Which leads to Question 3: “If you do not support such legislation, why not? Specifically, assuming that you support existing laws barring discrimination on the basis of race, gender and, yes, religion, why is sexual orientation deserving of less protection?”


If you (a politican) answer yes to question 1, you're not viable, at least nationally, in America today.

This could create a problem or an opportunity for either party based upon their response to question 2 and 3.
The GOP took great advantage and were successful in doing so in 2004 adding LGBT issues to ballots in swing states
at a time the public felt differently than they do today. Will or should the Dems do similarly with regard to
questions 2/3 above in 2016? Can Pubs maintain the enthusiasm of their base and answer 'yes' to 2?

Or does it just not matter because HRC is going to win anyway?
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1511 » by nate33 » Mon Apr 6, 2015 7:50 pm

As I understand it, the pizza shop in Indiana was trying to walk a more nuanced line. They were perfectly willing to serve homosexuals pizza, but they didn't want to cater to a same sex marriage. It wasn't that they were trying to discriminate against homosexual individuals, it's that they didn't want to be part of a ceremony that was in contradiction to their religious beliefs.

I'm not sure where I fall on the debate, but I do think their position is more nuanced the perception that they are simply denying service to all homosexuals because it's against their religion.

Would it be okay for a Jewish caterer to deny service to a neo-Nazi rally?
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1512 » by fishercob » Mon Apr 6, 2015 7:57 pm

nate33 wrote:

Would it be okay for a Jewish caterer to deny service to a neo-Nazi rally?


We'd never turn down the business. :wink:
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1513 » by dobrojim » Mon Apr 6, 2015 8:03 pm

If you're open for business to the public, I think that means you have to take all comers.
That's been the law for 50 years or so and I'd say it works pretty well. In your example,
what's the chance that a neo-nazi org takes their business to a jewish caterer.

Either way it's a distraction from the issue of whether LGBTs should be included in the legal
protections that other groups enjoy. In her article (or maybe somewhere else I read)
hypothetical case of a gay couple being allowed to marry but being (legally) fired for
it (in some states) when they report to work on Monday.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1514 » by fishercob » Mon Apr 6, 2015 8:14 pm

Surprised to check back into the Political Quasar of death and see zero discussion of Iran over the past few weeks. Obama was masterful in his 45 minute interview with Tom Friedman.

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/04/06/op ... errer&_r=0
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1515 » by Dat2U » Mon Apr 6, 2015 8:25 pm

Induveca wrote:
DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:Deficits don't matter. Why not just print money and give every American $50,000 a year every year?


Or maybe we should cut some of the fat in the defense budget or reform corporate tax breaks before asking older Americans to live out their lives in near poverty.


Image

You make a valid point. It obviously needs to come down, but not to create a welfare state. I'd suggest huge infrastructure projects which create millions of jobs.

Fund real high speed rail. I was just on a train that took me from one major EU capital to another in just 2 1/2 hours at 350 km/hr. By car it would have been 9 hours. Even look into the crazy, but viable hyperloop ideas.

Obviously far more to do, especially around education and fixing a broken public school system. This is the young generation that is ready and willing to dominate in the sciences. Dial back the excessive Shakespeare and tuba playing a bit for skills that will actually earn them a steady paycheck in 20 years.


I was actually with you until you trashed the arts. IMO the arts plays an invaluable role in kids development. It provides an outlet to many kids that struggle with the mundane subject matter. Studies show sustained learning in music correlates with higher achievement in the math & sciences. It also promotes creativity, something especially lacking in many schools.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1516 » by Severn Hoos » Mon Apr 6, 2015 8:37 pm

nate33 wrote:As I understand it, the pizza shop in Indiana was trying to walk a more nuanced line. They were perfectly willing to serve homosexuals pizza, but they didn't want to cater to a same sex marriage. It wasn't that they were trying to discriminate against homosexual individuals, it's that they didn't want to be part of a ceremony that was in contradiction to their religious beliefs.

I'm not sure where I fall on the debate, but I do think their position is more nuanced the perception that they are simply denying service to all homosexuals because it's against their religion.

Would it be okay for a Jewish caterer to deny service to a neo-Nazi rally?


Should an African-American baker be forced to create a cake for KKK members depicting a tree with a noose?

Should a Muslim publisher be forced to print the Mohammed cartoons?

Should a Feminist videographer be forced to film a Fraternity bachelor party?

Should a homosexual florist be forced to create an arrangement spelling out Leviticus 20:13 for the Westboro Baptist "Church"?

At what point can an individual (or, yes, "closely-held corporation") decline to provide a particular contracted service based on a personal (not necessarily religious) conviction?

What I have read on the Indiana law leads me to believe that the issue at hand is not the law itself, but the lack of a public accommodation law. It seems to me that any reasonable person will distinguish between Jim Crow era discrimination and the examples above. The former was a refusal to provide identical services to people or groups based on the skin color or religion of the customer. The latter is declining to provide individualized services based on the conviction of the vendor.

Why Is Everyone So Mad about Indiana’s RFRA, Then?

The fear is that it could be used to deny service to gay people in places of public accommodation like businesses and restaurants. But, as discussed above, no RFRA has ever been used that way before. Also, Indiana does not have a public accommodation law that protects against anti-gay discrimination, meaning there’s no state law in Indiana preventing anti-gay discrimination in businesses even before the state RFRA was enacted. Notably, despite the lack of such a law, nobody can point to any Indiana businesses that were discriminating against gays.

That’s what makes this an informed attribute. Gay marriage is on many people’s minds lately, for obvious reasons. In truth, though, Indiana is merely catching-up to states that have had RFRAs for decades—like Illinois, for example, which got its RFRA with the help of a young state senator named Barack Obama. Unfortunately, Indiana is now caught in the cultural cross-fire.


http://thefederalist.com/2015/03/30/you ... -answered/

So, to answer jim's Question #1, the answer is No - for public accommodations and services (though I would not make an absolute equation of "commercial enterprise" and "public accommodations and services"). It would in no circumstance be acceptable for a store owner to open the doors to one person or class of people and refuse service to another person or class of people on the basis of sexual orientation.

However, as soon as you get into individually contracted services, that area becomes much grayer. An artist, florist, caterer, etc. has to take on each contracted job individually. And by virtue of taking part in the ceremony/event, the contractor is giving an implicit endorsement. Is there any limit to this line of thinking? Would an Evangelical Pastor be subject to a lawsuit for declining to marry a homosexual couple? My Pastor would certainly decline - but then he will also decline to marry heterosexual couples who are non-Christians, or people who have been previously married and not legitimately divorced, or people who are living together with no sense of repentance. [Please - I am not trying to stir up trouble, these are examples that may offend some here on this board, but they are long-held Christian beliefs and practices. I only bring them up to show that it is not an anti-homosexual discrimination issue, it is a freedom of conscience issue.] is there any protection for a church or clergy in such a situation?

Or an artist - would the artist be free to turn down business based on the subject matter they are being asked to paint/draw/photograph? What if a faithful/observant Muslim female photographer was asked to shoot a wet T-shirt contest? On what basis could she say no?

There are many more examples one could use. And to turn jim's other response back around - what gay couple would want to have their wedding catered by someone they know disapproves? Which brings up my last point for now - there could be reasons beyond discrimination for turning down business. Back to the Mohammed cartoons - should that printer who is "open for business to the public" have to "take all comers", even if it means risking his life and business?

Or, what if you are a wedding photographer who is asked to shoot a wedding that you know the couple is aware of your beliefs? In any other wedding, a missed shot at the perfect moment, or a blurry exposure, or whatever other problem occurs, might have been ascribed to incompetence and would be treated as a failure to deliver the contracted service at the expected quality. Might have meant the loss of the income for that event, in the form of a partial or full rebate to the customer.

But now, it could be viewed as an intentional slight based on discrimination, and could mean lawsuits and the end of the photographer's business. Do you want to take that risk? And again, why would the couple make the hire, unless they were looking to stir up trouble (like in the Jewish/KKK example)?

There can be any number of reasons why one independent contractor declines to take a job. Simply declining business is not pro forma proof of discrimination. (Which is the point of that article, and the Indiana law - that it is not a carte blanche defense for discrimination, but a requirement that the courts must take personal conviction into consideration when weighing whether to declare said refusal of service as actionable discrimination.)
"A society that puts equality - in the sense of equality of outcome - ahead of freedom will end up with neither equality nor freedom. The use of force to achieve equality will destroy freedom" Milton Friedman, Free to Choose
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1517 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 6, 2015 8:42 pm

Well written Severn Hoos, I might not agree with all of it but well framed.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1518 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 6, 2015 8:46 pm

fishercob wrote:Surprised to check back into the Political Quasar of death and see zero discussion of Iran over the past few weeks.


It is interesting to see many Jewish Ds trying to figure out what to do now. But I think most are just waiting to see what the agreement will end up being and if it is enforceable.

If it is enforceable and keeps Tehran from building bombs, then KUDOS! to Obama.

If not, he is going to look even worse than he has in recent times with his foreign policy.

Kind of an interesting side track is Judith Miller's assertion that Bush didn't lie about WMD in Iraq. I kind of look at Bush and Obama through the same light of nativity.
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Re: Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1519 » by dobrojim » Tue Apr 7, 2015 2:16 pm

Good points Sev. I would tend to agree with you that public accommodation does or should not impose a burden on
businesses to accept any individualized contract that might be proposed (however implausible).
Or an alternative might be to allow the vendor place terms (price or many other conditions that could
be imagined) on such a contract that would tend to motivate the person(s) seeking the contract to look elsewhere.
ie. Sure I'll bake that cake for you but it'll cost you $2M.
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Political Roundtable - Part VI 

Post#1520 » by Induveca » Tue Apr 7, 2015 3:05 pm

Dat2U wrote:
Induveca wrote:
DCZards wrote:
Or maybe we should cut some of the fat in the defense budget or reform corporate tax breaks before asking older Americans to live out their lives in near poverty.


Image

You make a valid point. It obviously needs to come down, but not to create a welfare state. I'd suggest huge infrastructure projects which create millions of jobs.

Fund real high speed rail. I was just on a train that took me from one major EU capital to another in just 2 1/2 hours at 350 km/hr. By car it would have been 9 hours. Even look into the crazy, but viable hyperloop ideas.

Obviously far more to do, especially around education and fixing a broken public school system. This is the young generation that is ready and willing to dominate in the sciences. Dial back the excessive Shakespeare and tuba playing a bit for skills that will actually earn them a steady paycheck in 20 years.


I was actually with you until you trashed the arts. IMO the arts plays an invaluable role in kids development. It provides an outlet to many kids that struggle with the mundane subject matter. Studies show sustained learning in music correlates with higher achievement in the math & sciences. It also promotes creativity, something especially lacking in many schools.
.


I didn't "trash" the arts, just think it's time to dial back the traditional 1800s approach. Learning to code a game is just as creative as playing a trombone. And more practical/useful in the real world.

I see far too many amazing musicians on the streets and subways daily. If they had put that same level of effort into creating music for applications/games via PC they'd have learned multiple programming languages/interfaces.

Music, like writing or acting....should be viewed as a hobby or side-job. Not your full time job. The competition is fierce, and almost all jobs in those fields are 20-40k/year. I didn't say stop teaching them, I agree they important skills. Just let your kid know a staff writer at the Post is lucky to make 40k in his 7th year on the job. Then show your musician kid the business realities of music. Broadway pit musicians are lucky to make 25k a year with multiple gigs.

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