fishercob wrote:hands11 wrote:fishercob wrote:Longest tenured General Managers in the NBA.
Code: Select all
Name Since Win% Titles Finals Vesely
Riley 1995 .567 3 2 0
Kupchak 2000 .585 4 2 0
Buford 2002 .708 4 1 0
Ainge 2003 .534 1 1 0
ERNIE 2003 .416 0 0 1
Morey 2007 .600 0 0 0
Presti 2007 .561 0 1 0
Ernie's Wizards have won three playoff series
Ted's patience with Ernie is . . . atypical.
PS: The Vesely column is mostly in jest, so when you leap to Ernie's defense, try to avoid others' draft busts.
Right. But I doubt that's what Ted is looking at. He is looking at what they had done since he was owner. Two 2nd round exits since they pushed the self destruct button 5 years ago and a healthy Walls hand from a legit chance at an ECF appearance and with KD in their sights. And had Wall not gotten injured Beals first year not playing until January, they had a legit shot at those being a first round exit. But even without the ECF and third appearance speculation, two 2nd round appearances, one sweep over a higher seed in 5 years from blown up... with Truth choosing them and KD rumors. That is a far cry from where this franchise had been for 20 years.
I'm sure he is weighing that more then whatever happened under Abe when he wasn't in charge of the ship.
EG still makes mistakes. Glen was his latest. I call that a EG relapse. But Ted/EG is way better then Abe/EG. Everyone should be able to see that much. The last two year while still having many regular season

moments, have has lots of playoff
Lets hope we have a good offseason and we get more next year.
Interesting no word on EGs contract. This was supposed to be his last year on the old one. Last year, they made no real noise about the fact Ted had an option year on the old contract. Wonder what the story will be this year.
You are missing my point, which was simply that Ernie is an outlier given the length of his tenure and his lack of success.
As to what Ted is looking at, it certainly strikes me as odd that when Ted took over as owner, he would not evaluate Ernie's body of work in order to decide whether he wanted to continue with him as GM. In fact, I am quite sure that Ted did evaluate Ernie's body of work, and despite the results, felt that the benefits of keeping Ernie (continuity and organizational knowledge perhaps?) outweighed bringing in someone new. Again, this strikes me as atypical. Being atypical doesn't make a decision wrong (other things can0, it just makes it atypical.
Ernie is that bad poker player. As long as he's here, I continue to hope that he's the bad poker player that gets lucky and wins -- and that all the good poker players hate. I also hope he gets better at poker. All I care about is the team. I'd much rather have a buffoon of a GM who stumbled into a great team than a genius who is really unlucky.
Better lucky then good. I agree.
My view has been and it has played out to be correct... EG with Ted would be better then EG with Abe. Following the micro moves is what most pay attension to but the most important thing in building a team are the macro moves, and getting lucky. But you have to set yourself up for that lucky. That's what a front office can do that has the biggest effect.
The other point goes to something I read a long time ago regarding what teams end up being those elite teams. Not good teams that make ECF or maybe win one title, but elite teams. The over riding factor was ... having one of those top 3 players on your team like a LeBron. After that, you needed a few other things like a first team defensive player who had made the team in the last couple years. Something like that. But the over riding factor was...having the right high pick in the right year when one of those players was available.
The part about being a good GM we spend most our time talking about here is about how to create the 2nd to 4th best teams or how a team gets designed around one of those top elite players if you luck into getting one.
So one approach a GM can do that plays into this is what PHI is doing. Just suck until you get the right top pick in the right draft. Because once you get that, you get your 10 plus year window. Well the Wizards already kind of did that. They got Wall. Problem is, an elite PG is great to have but they usually aren't that elite elite player you need. Not even a CP3 has shown to be that player. PG hasn't show to be the best position for that, but rule changes has made that a little more viable today. That said, Wall has been great as a magnet because of his unique combination on past first PG and speed to finish. Now we have to see if that magnetic attraction is enough to draw in KD and others. Beal is a magnet as well. So if you don't land LeBron, 2nd best approach is attracting that player.
KD can be one of those kinds of players like a LeBron. To get one of them is really hard. LeBron decided to return to CLE. What did CLE really do ? Hell, they even wrote him a nasty letter when he left. They had little to do with their GM and a ton to do with being lucky. First in having the pick to get LeBron. Then landing all those other #1s. Then LeBron deciding to return. What GM couldnt sit in the chair cashing checks while that happened ? Being a good GM had little to do with it.
Look at SAS. Landed David Robinson and then Tim Duncan. That's what set them up more then anything. And even with that, not a back to back title type but good over a long period type. Duncan is a Cal Ripken. Not an MJ.
So if you put all the other stuff aside like acquiring fart, Ves, etc., WIZ are doing to two most important things. They got Wall, Beal and Otto in top picks and any one of or all three can become really good, but none really project to be LeBron or MJ elite. So you build out a good team around those players, clear some cap and hope the Wall, Beal, etc magnet attacks KD. Set yourself up to get LUCKY.
All the other micro moves are a battle for 2nd best until LeBron fades and someone else gets to his level.
So what makes the best front office ? Those that do the macro game the best that set themselves up to ... get lucky.
There are GMs that make efficient use of assets, draft well, etc. Then there is CLE. They drafted Bennett #1. So what. They lucked into LeBron twice. That erases all the other mistakes. Hell, Kyrie and Love that good #1 pick and their big offseason move, they aren't even playing and this still might go 6 or 7 games.
So when talking about who the good front offices are, this is what it really comes down to way more then efficient use of assets.
You can make a lot of bad moves if you make the biggest right moves, and get lucky. The right macro plan and luck override perfect micro managing.