Nuggets_Talk wrote:if you hang onto the memphis pick and they dont fall apart, itll lose more value over time.
This is true for any asset. For example, if we'd traded the #28 pick that became RJ Hunter before it became RJ Hunter, it would have had more value than a busted RJ Hunter. On the other hand, if we'd traded the '17 BRK pick during the offseason, we'd be regretting it hard right now.
In this case, I find it less likely that Memphis will still be competitive by 2019 than that they're regressing/rebuilding. So I'm wagering that that pick increases in value
substantially.
I'd also argue that in general the pick has more room to grow in value than fall. If our prospective trade partners value it as "nothing much" right now, which you are telling us you do, then it can only lose so much value from there - the worst it can fall to is pick #30, after all. On the other hand, if Memphis regresses, it could gain a large amount of value.
That's my read, anyway. I think it would be short-sighted to move it this early.
Nuggets_Talk wrote:I certainly wouldnt want to give up nurkic so that maybe 2 years from now we get a decent pick who may become as good as nurkic. I feel like getting a mid first rounder in 2019 is a deal we take when we become desperate to move nurkic down the line.
It's not unreasonable that two teams could rationally value the same asset very differently. Boston can afford to wait on the Memphis pick maturing, since we have so many other picks in the meantime. For us, the upside is what's important. For Denver, maybe it's just a super distant pick that won't help them any time soon. Just another reason why I think it would have to be a three-teamer.